Wx Infinity Forums

Cpv17 yep, right now models favor ridging setting up closer to the aleutians, still lots of time for it to change, not all ensemble members agree with this solution though

GFS says what winter storm.

The 7-day forecast for the first week of winter/December looks great if you like mild weather with an occasional chance of rain. Works for me. I’ll be outside a lot. Already thinking about what sounds good on grill or smoker….yum.

You’ll be paying for it in late week 2 through week 4 … enjoy it while you can.

MontgomeryCoWx yep! Looks like a disruption of the polar vortex occurs by then, the cold is coming, these warm days are limited haha

Anyone debating whether December ends up above or below normal isn’t paying attention. My confidence in finishing below normal is very high.

The question is how severe our cold will be, and whether or not the Soutbern jet delivers more rain and/or fun (sleet/snow). I think we can feel a bit more confident Christmas will feel like Christmas. For me, in Texas, that’s mid 50s or colder for highs and 40 or lower for lows.

Our source region and snow depth in the plains states will be highly on the cold lovers side. Week 2-3 December would be the time to get a -EPO like we experienced in mid November.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Wed Nov 30, 2022 4:43 pm The 7-day forecast for the first week of winter/December looks great if you like mild weather with an occasional chance of rain. Works for me. I’ll be outside a lot. Already thinking about what sounds good on grill or smoker….yum.

On a side note, I love duck gumbo and have a lot of excess duck meat I need to freeze, but if you want it, it’s yours.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Tue Nov 22, 2022 7:34 pm Here is an old article about the 1980's freezes:

Yep. After last year, I don't think i have any use for any temperatures below 50°F, let alone such manner of freeze. Those back-to-back 80s events, while perhaps a novelty, would thoroughly be devastating to local agriculture, architectural, environmental, etc aspects unused to such intensity — thankfully, I was born late 90s (such that I missed out on all the cold in earlier years).

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Tue Nov 22, 2022 11:37 am Yes, the CPC is lazy these days with regards to seasonal outlooks. They take a textbook Nina map and just copy it.

I never pay attention to seasonal maps regardless of what they say. They are wrong more times than not.

I agree.

user:null wrote: ↑Wed Nov 30, 2022 8:42 pm

jasons2k wrote: ↑Tue Nov 22, 2022 7:34 pm Here is an old article about the 1980's freezes:

Yep. After last year, I don't think i have any use for any temperatures below 50°F, let alone such manner of freeze. Those back-to-back 80s events, while perhaps a novelty, would thoroughly be devastating to local agriculture, architectural, environmental, etc aspects unused to such intensity — thankfully, I was born late 90s (such that I missed out on all the cold in earlier years).

I was 20 months old in 1983 event. I remember 1989 vividly and it is what sold me on Extreme Winter Weather. I was doing yard work with my Dad in Longview and it was 75 and starting to thunderstorm and a few hours later it was 25 with heavy sleet and snow.

On another note, I’m going to have change my name this Summer. We are officially giving up our house here and moving.

It took longer than expected due to Covid and work environment, but we are looking forward to a new era!

I don’t really like the cold but I just think it’s extremely exciting and I get giddy like a kid in a candy store when there’s a good chance at an extreme weather event. I just like experiencing it. Really gives me something to look forward to and I just can’t get enough of it lol only once in my life did I actually want an extreme event to stop and that was Harvey.

What I would give to experience another 1895 event here in southeast Texas at least just once. I think that would be the highlight of my life lol

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 30, 2022 9:00 pm I don’t really like the cold but I just think it’s extremely exciting and I get giddy like a kid in a candy store when there’s a good chance at an extreme weather event. I just like experiencing it. Really gives me something to look forward to and I just can’t get enough of it lol only once in my life did I actually want an extreme event to stop and that was Harvey.

What I would give to experience another 1895 event here in southeast Texas at least just once. I think that would be the highlight of my life lol

1895 makes 1989 look like child’s play, as does 1899.

I would love another event similar to the 2017 snow event in december when CS got 6 inches of snow, that would be amazing

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Wed Nov 30, 2022 9:02 pm

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 30, 2022 9:00 pm I don’t really like the cold but I just think it’s extremely exciting and I get giddy like a kid in a candy store when there’s a good chance at an extreme weather event. I just like experiencing it. Really gives me something to look forward to and I just can’t get enough of it lol only once in my life did I actually want an extreme event to stop and that was Harvey.

What I would give to experience another 1895 event here in southeast Texas at least just once. I think that would be the highlight of my life lol

1895 makes 1989 look like child’s play, as does 1899.

Yep! Some places in southeast Texas were in the negatives! Unreal

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Wed Nov 30, 2022 8:54 pm On another note, I’m going to have change my name this Summer. We are officially giving up our house here and moving.

It took longer than expected due to Covid and work environment, but we are looking forward to a new era!

Montana?

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Wed Nov 30, 2022 8:48 pm

user:null wrote: ↑Wed Nov 30, 2022 8:42 pm

jasons2k wrote: ↑Tue Nov 22, 2022 7:34 pm Here is an old article about the 1980's freezes:

Yep. After last year, I don't think i have any use for any temperatures below 50°F, let alone such manner of freeze. Those back-to-back 80s events, while perhaps a novelty, would thoroughly be devastating to local agriculture, architectural, environmental, etc aspects unused to such intensity — thankfully, I was born late 90s (such that I missed out on all the cold in earlier years).

I was 20 months old in 1983 event. I remember 1989 vividly and it is what sold me on Extreme Winter Weather. I was doing yard work with my Dad in Longview and it was 75 and starting to thunderstorm and a few hours later it was 25 with heavy sleet and snow.

I mentioned before, that in 1983 we were up in the NC mountains and below zero. Houses had less insulation back then. lol those were 3 dog nights.

I didn't mention in 1989, we were in Florida when it snowed in Gainesville and ice shut down the Jacksonville airport.

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Wed Nov 30, 2022 10:22 pm

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Wed Nov 30, 2022 8:54 pm On another note, I’m going to have change my name this Summer. We are officially giving up our house here and moving.

It took longer than expected due to Covid and work environment, but we are looking forward to a new era!

Montana?

And Weimar. Work is allowing it, finally. Probably 9 months and 3 month splits. I’ll still have my Aggie season tickets for the 3 majors.

The plan is to see the boys through HS in Weimar. Magnolia is getting too big for me.

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Wed Nov 30, 2022 10:32 pm

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Wed Nov 30, 2022 10:22 pm

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Wed Nov 30, 2022 8:54 pm On another note, I’m going to have change my name this Summer. We are officially giving up our house here and moving.

It took longer than expected due to Covid and work environment, but we are looking forward to a new era!

Montana?

And Weimar. Work is allowing it, finally. Probably 9 months and 3 month splits. I’ll still have my Aggie season tickets for the 3 majors.

The plan is to see the boys through HS in Weimar. Magnolia is getting too big for me.

Yeah, we were just on 249/Aggie Tollway going back and forth to IAH. WTH is the deal with that bizarre 2 lane section that bypasses Plantersville? It's the only part of 249 until 99 that gets backed up! Why even build it when there will be another 5 years of construction to make that section and 1*5 four lanes?

I guess then Magnolia will really be overrun.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 30, 2022 9:00 pm I don’t really like the cold but I just think it’s extremely exciting and I get giddy like a kid in a candy store when there’s a good chance at an extreme weather event. I just like experiencing it. Really gives me something to look forward to and I just can’t get enough of it lol only once in my life did I actually want an extreme event to stop and that was Harvey.

What I would give to experience another 1895 event here in southeast Texas at least just once. I think that would be the highlight of my life lol

I agree. I use to LOVE extreme weather and still do to an extent. But Harvey is the first time I was ever praying for the water in my house to stop. Harvey is the first storm that now gives me PTSD if rains hard enough without stopping for a while. I think for me it has a lot to do when I was a kid and didnt have adult responsibilities like a home and car note, I wanted extreme. It was up to my parents to figure out! But as an adult with everything in my name, I thought crap, its now my problem and my money! My house flooded and its a horrible horrible feeling and find my anxiety is extremely high and find myself praying for it to stop. Harvey scarred me for life. I still love extreme weather, but only as long as Im not faced with upcoming problems.