January 2023

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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MontgomeryCoWx
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snowman65 wrote: Tue Jan 24, 2023 3:39 pm from Deer Park. Abut 2 miles from my dads. Sister lost some fencing. No family injuries reported.
I'm glad everyone is okay.

As someone that used to chase in college, and has seen a couple F3 wedges in NETX growing up, its' not something you wish on anyone.
Team #NeverSummer
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tireman4
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City of Pasadena TX #pasadenatxgov
@pasadenatxgov
·
36m
‼️Tornado Damage in SE Harris County including Pasadena.
Avoid these areas:
⚠️Beltway 8 @ Genoa Red Bluff
⚠️Fairmont Parkway @ Mickey Gilley Blvd.
⚠️Burke @ Crenshaw
Updates as they arise.
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don
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This was the first PDS tornado warning ever issued for Harris County.Just terrible.
Cromagnum
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don wrote: Tue Jan 24, 2023 4:00 pm This was the first PDS tornado warning ever issued for Harris County.Just terrible.
Is that true? I remember when the F4 (before EF days) Tornado hit Channelview.
dp6
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^^^ Did they issue PDS warnings back then?

Waded wrote: Tue Jan 24, 2023 3:08 pm Hearing reports that a tornado went through Deer Park on Independence Parkway and made a mess. Lines down, trucks overturned.

Looks like it passed just east of the San Jac monument. During Santa Ana's usual nap time.
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don
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Cromagnum wrote: Tue Jan 24, 2023 4:02 pm
don wrote: Tue Jan 24, 2023 4:00 pm This was the first PDS tornado warning ever issued for Harris County.Just terrible.
Is that true? I remember when the F4 (before EF days) Tornado hit Channelview.
Yes, because they only started issuing PDS warnings the last 10+ years.
Last edited by don on Tue Jan 24, 2023 4:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Cromagnum
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Sounds like Old Man Winter cleared his throat pretty good, and is gonna send the good stuff soon.
Cpv17
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Cromagnum wrote: Tue Jan 24, 2023 4:08 pm Sounds like Old Man Winter cleared his throat pretty good, and is gonna send the good stuff soon.
I haven’t checked the models today but it doesn’t seem to be much buzz going on about the potential cold since yesterdays crazy 18z GFS run. I read Cosgroves write-up earlier and he expects it to get cold in early February and then a big grand finale after the middle of the month. So possibly two big cold shots in February from the way I interpreted it.
Goomba
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Tornado Warning
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
345 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

TXC199-245-361-242200-
/O.CON.KLCH.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230124T2200Z/
Jefferson TX-Hardin TX-Orange TX-
345 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CST FOR
NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON...SOUTHEASTERN HARDIN AND NORTHWESTERN ORANGE
COUNTIES...

At 345 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near China, or 8 miles southwest of Beaumont, moving
northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
Bevil Oaks around 355 PM CST.
Beaumont around 400 PM CST.
Rose City and Lakeview around 410 PM CST.
Vidor and Pine Forest around 415 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile
home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and
protect yourself from flying debris.

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3032 9413 3030 9412 3026 9411 3026 9410
3024 9412 3024 9407 3010 9396 2996 9427
3014 9440
TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 229DEG 32KT 3004 9427

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

78
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tireman4
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Hodograph of the Tornado
Attachments
Hodograph Deer Park Tornado 01 24 23.jpg
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djmike
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Getting hairy in beaumont. Man this is intense. Tornado warning for me. Prayers for all involved.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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tireman4
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00
FXUS64 KHGX 242138
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
338 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 251 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

A line of strong to severe thunderstorms has pushed southwest of
the Houston Metro area this afternoon. Multiple reports of wind,
hail, tornado damage as well as street/coastal flooding have been
received across our CWA. Areas along the Gulf Coast (northwest of
Matagorda Bay) should be wary of these storms until it clears our
area. Once it does, windy conditions should linger behind the
front, slowly diminishing thereafter into Wednesday. Benign
weather should be the main story mid week onwards with highs in
the 50s and lows in the 30s/40s.

Stay weather aware until these storms clear. If you are under a
warning, take shelter immediately. Avoid driving through flooded
roadways.

Plans are underway to survey the damage from this storm system.
Please send any storm reports to our office ASAP.

03

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Monday)
Issued at 251 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

Little in the way of chances for the long term. High pressure
and clear skies should dominate through the end of the week with
highs in the 50s/60s and lows in the 30s/40s. Surface high
pressure pushes east into the Mississippi River Valley over the
weekend, ushering in onshore flow, rising temperatures and moisture
return ahead of our next storm system/cold front progged to
arrive on Sunday.

03

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1123 AM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

Strong cold front is pushing through the region today. Low MVFR /
IFR cigs with locally IFR cigs will continue through the
afternoon. The primary concern will be strong to severe
thunderstorms capable of strong damaging winds, hail, and even
isolated tornadoes. Visibility could drop to 1SM, or lower, during
times of heavy rainfall. Ambient winds will be strong out of the
SE ahead of the front. TS/RA chances will decrease quickly after
~21-22Z in the front`s wake. NW winds 15-20 knots with higher
gusts expected tonight. Cigs are expected to remain MVFR through
tomorrow morning north of I-10. Areas south of I-10 may experience
a period of VFR cigs this evening and tonight before MVFR cigs
return tomorrow morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 251 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

Strong winds and high seas are currently ongoing across the SE
Texas Gulf waters. Freeport buoy is reporting sustained Gale-Force
winds offshore with wave heights nearing 11 feet. A cold front is
in the process of pushing offshore right now, so expect these
winds to shift from southerly to northwesterly, with speeds in the
range of 30-40 knots and gusts nearing 50 knots. Strong to severe
storms associated with this cold front may bring even higher
winds and seas. Winds should be slow to diminishing behind the
front with seas around 10-13 feet expected late tonight into the
early morning hours of Wednesday.

Caution flags and advisories will likely be needed on
Wednesday/early Thursday to allow conditions to subside. Onshore
flow returns Friday, with increasing winds and seas into the
weekend ahead of the next weather system.

03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 37 54 33 54 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 40 55 36 57 / 10 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 44 55 43 54 / 20 0 0 0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for TXZ163-164-176>179-
195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-335>338-436-438-439.

Beach Hazards Statement until 6 PM CST this evening for
TXZ436>439.

GM...Gale Warning until midnight CST tonight for GMZ330-335-350-355-
370-375.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...03
LONG TERM....03
AVIATION...Self
MARINE...03
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djmike
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607CB5D3-E40B-4EE7-AF8F-DEAFC5069B53.jpeg
Now flooded in
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
dp6
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So far on Twitter I've seen a nursing home with major damage off Center St. in Deer Park, houses with missing or heavily damaged roofs in Sagemont, southern Pasadena, and Deer Park, at least one of those cheaply built metal shack industrial businesses (reportedly unoccupied) flattened in the Fairmont Pky/Mickey Gilley Rd area, and a lot of down or leaning power poles & insulation/building debris along various roads. Unconfirmed report it went over Pasadena Memorial High School but everyone is ok there.
Houstonkid
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Rail cars blown over at 225/Battleground

I can’t get the pic to upload on my phone
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djmike
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Tornado and debris confirmed in orange area. Orange Field I believe. Hope all ok. That was a doozy for January! Wow. Im flooded in Beaumont. 60 mph gusts. 30-40mph all day. My morgan shed in my backyard might have water damage from flooding. If thats all the bad I get, Ill take it. Line is crossing the LA border now. All is said and done in Setx for today. Take care everyone. On to the next… (hopefully less severe).
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
dp6
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Houstonkid wrote: Tue Jan 24, 2023 5:11 pm Rail cars blown over at 225/Battleground

I can’t get the pic to upload on my phone
Image
dp6
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Channel 13 coverage sucks, they're losing every live shot because apparently they cheaped out and are only relying on local cell service, unlike 11 and 2. Maybe should upgrade back to sat trucks instead of Cricket.
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djmike
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24F42402-503C-4BB0-A275-F7DBBC4F71CC.jpeg
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Cpv17
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dp6 wrote: Tue Jan 24, 2023 5:44 pm Channel 13 coverage sucks, they're losing every live shot because apparently they cheaped out and are only relying on local cell service, unlike 11 and 2. Maybe should upgrade back to sat trucks instead of Cricket.
Channel 13 is basically the only news channel that I watch. Never had any issues with them.
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