January 2023

[tireman4]

What shall the New Year bring?

[CrashTestDummy]

Hopefully warmer weather!!!

[Cpv17]

Hopefully warmer weather!!!

It will be to start the month but mid to late month may turn cold again.

[Stratton20]

First 10-12 days will be warm but then. the bottom falls out 2nd half of the month

[Cpv17]

First 10-12 days will be warm but then. the bottom falls out 2nd half of the month

Yeah I’m already seeing signs of ridging starting to show up as we head into the second or third week of January. Might be able to repeat the -AO, -NAO, and -EPO all over again.

[DoctorMu]

Replay of December, but not quite as warm early.

[srainhoutx]

First 10-12 days will be warm but then. the bottom falls out 2nd half of the month

Yeah I’m already seeing signs of ridging starting to show up as we head into the second or third week of January. Might be able to repeat the -AO, -NAO, and -EPO all over again.

We may not have to wait that long. From what I am seeing the relaxation ends early in the second week of January. Also be careful of anyone that says a "torch" is coming. That is simply not true. Certainly temperatures will moderate, but my hunch is that it's nothing more than typical averages for the time of year. Winter is no where near over!

[Cpv17]

First 10-12 days will be warm but then. the bottom falls out 2nd half of the month

Yeah I’m already seeing signs of ridging starting to show up as we head into the second or third week of January. Might be able to repeat the -AO, -NAO, and -EPO all over again.

We may not have to wait that long. From what I am seeing the relaxation ends early in the second week of January. Also be careful of anyone that says a "torch" is coming. That is simply not true. Certainly temperatures will moderate, but my hunch is that it's nothing more than typical averages for the time of year. Winter is no where near over!

Sounds good to me. I’m already looking for the next cold blast to start tracking.

[CrashTestDummy]

Yeah I’m already seeing signs of ridging starting to show up as we head into the second or third week of January. Might be able to repeat the -AO, -NAO, and -EPO all over again.

We may not have to wait that long. From what I am seeing the relaxation ends early in the second week of January. Also be careful of anyone that says a "torch" is coming. That is simply not true. Certainly temperatures will moderate, but my hunch is that it's nothing more than typical averages for the time of year. Winter is no where near over!

Sounds good to me. I’m already looking for the next cold blast to start tracking.

I'll be happy to watch it skate across the northern third of the US, giving those folks weather they're both used to, and expecting this time of year.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

First 10-12 days will be warm but then. the bottom falls out 2nd half of the month

Yeah I’m already seeing signs of ridging starting to show up as we head into the second or third week of January. Might be able to repeat the -AO, -NAO, and -EPO all over again.

We may not have to wait that long. From what I am seeing the relaxation ends early in the second week of January. Also be careful of anyone that says a "torch" is coming. That is simply not true. Certainly temperatures will moderate, but my hunch is that it's nothing more than typical averages for the time of year. Winter is no where near over!

Most casual weather watchers don't understand what a torch truly is.....

Torches are typically positive AO, super Nino/Nina type events. This "warm up" is only 5-8 above normal and transient. It's ocurring in an absent MJO cycle, with a -AO and following a large cold spell. It is not a torch.