January 2023

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Stratton20
Posts: 4225
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

DoctorMu CMC has a light glazing for CS
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5647
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

TBH, the entire winter so far has gone as expected in CLL. It's been cooler than normal until later today. January thaw after Christmas dry cold. We have colder weather ahead later in the upcoming week.

In the Houston area, the warm sector has dominated, including last weekend's severe weather.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5647
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Sat Jan 28, 2023 12:26 pm DoctorMu CMC has a light glazing for CS
That's no surprise. A Shipley's Donuts layer of glaze is possible.
User avatar
don
Posts: 2575
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Heights
Contact:

Cpv17 wrote: Sat Jan 28, 2023 9:54 am I just looked at the mesoscale models for tomorrow and I’m not really seeing much rain around for a lot of us yet rain chances are like 80-90%. I don’t see anything that should warrant such high chances.
I don't see that...I guess it depends where you're located.For the eastern half of SE Texas (Houston and points east) rain chances still look pretty good,with most models showing widespread thunderstorms developing tomorrow morning/afternoon.Could be some localized street flooding also tomorrow.
wpc_excessive_rainfsll_day2.us_sc.png
Attachments
Screenshot 2023-01-28 at 12-21-09 Models HRW WRF-NSSL — Pivotal Weather.png
Screenshot 2023-01-28 at 12-20-29 Models NAM 3km CONUS — Pivotal Weather.png
Screenshot 2023-01-28 at 12-21-46 Models HRW FV3 — Pivotal Weather.png
Cpv17
Posts: 5234
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

don wrote: Sat Jan 28, 2023 12:46 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sat Jan 28, 2023 9:54 am I just looked at the mesoscale models for tomorrow and I’m not really seeing much rain around for a lot of us yet rain chances are like 80-90%. I don’t see anything that should warrant such high chances.
I don't see that...I guess it depends where you're located.For the eastern half of SE Texas (Houston and points east) rain chances still look pretty good,with most models showing widespread thunderstorms developing tomorrow morning/afternoon.Could be some localized street flooding also tomorrow.

wpc_excessive_rainfsll_day2.us_sc.png
I was mainly talking about my area. I should’ve mentioned that. My bad.
User avatar
snowman65
Posts: 1191
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 6:39 am
Location: Orange, Tx
Contact:

Nothing unhealthy about living in reality, but chosing to dodge it is definately unhealthy.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5647
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Still icy glaze on NAM12k from a Brenham to College Station to Buffalo line.

A very unstable line and complex forecast in a Battle Royale between Artic air and the SE ridge. The Baja ULL is a fly in the ointment that NAM and CMC are struggle with and GFS is ignoring. The Euro isn't sure. Neither the Euro nor GFS are great in the winter with arctic air masses.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5647
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

18zNAM is edging ice and snow closer and closer to covering CLL.

Image
Cromagnum
Posts: 2592
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:42 pm
Contact:

How is the storm situation looking for Sunday?
Iceresistance
Posts: 577
Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 11:48 pm
Location: Tecumseh, OK
Contact:

Cold Front faster than expected.
Post Reply
  • Information