January 2023
Posted: Thu Dec 15, 2022 6:16 pm
What shall the New Year bring?
Page 1 of 42
Re: January 2023
Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:29 pm
Hopefully warmer weather!!!
Re: January 2023
Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:48 pm
It will be to start the month but mid to late month may turn cold again.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:53 pm
First 10-12 days will be warm but then. the bottom falls out 2nd half of the month
Re: January 2023
Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:58 pm
Yeah I’m already seeing signs of ridging starting to show up as we head into the second or third week of January. Might be able to repeat the -AO, -NAO, and -EPO all over again.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:53 pm First 10-12 days will be warm but then. the bottom falls out 2nd half of the month
Re: January 2023
Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 5:14 pm
Replay of December, but not quite as warm early.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 7:33 pm
We may not have to wait that long. From what I am seeing the relaxation ends early in the second week of January. Also be careful of anyone that says a "torch" is coming. That is simply not true. Certainly temperatures will moderate, but my hunch is that it's nothing more than typical averages for the time of year. Winter is no where near over!Cpv17 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:58 pmYeah I’m already seeing signs of ridging starting to show up as we head into the second or third week of January. Might be able to repeat the -AO, -NAO, and -EPO all over again.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:53 pm First 10-12 days will be warm but then. the bottom falls out 2nd half of the month
Re: January 2023
Posted: Fri Dec 23, 2022 10:45 am
Sounds good to me. I’m already looking for the next cold blast to start tracking.srainhoutx wrote: ↑Thu Dec 22, 2022 7:33 pmWe may not have to wait that long. From what I am seeing the relaxation ends early in the second week of January. Also be careful of anyone that says a "torch" is coming. That is simply not true. Certainly temperatures will moderate, but my hunch is that it's nothing more than typical averages for the time of year. Winter is no where near over!Cpv17 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:58 pmYeah I’m already seeing signs of ridging starting to show up as we head into the second or third week of January. Might be able to repeat the -AO, -NAO, and -EPO all over again.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:53 pm First 10-12 days will be warm but then. the bottom falls out 2nd half of the month
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Dec 24, 2022 12:00 pm
I'll be happy to watch it skate across the northern third of the US, giving those folks weather they're both used to, and expecting this time of year.Cpv17 wrote: ↑Fri Dec 23, 2022 10:45 amSounds good to me. I’m already looking for the next cold blast to start tracking.srainhoutx wrote: ↑Thu Dec 22, 2022 7:33 pmWe may not have to wait that long. From what I am seeing the relaxation ends early in the second week of January. Also be careful of anyone that says a "torch" is coming. That is simply not true. Certainly temperatures will moderate, but my hunch is that it's nothing more than typical averages for the time of year. Winter is no where near over!
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sun Dec 25, 2022 12:16 am
Most casual weather watchers don't understand what a torch truly is.....srainhoutx wrote: ↑Thu Dec 22, 2022 7:33 pmWe may not have to wait that long. From what I am seeing the relaxation ends early in the second week of January. Also be careful of anyone that says a "torch" is coming. That is simply not true. Certainly temperatures will moderate, but my hunch is that it's nothing more than typical averages for the time of year. Winter is no where near over!Cpv17 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:58 pmYeah I’m already seeing signs of ridging starting to show up as we head into the second or third week of January. Might be able to repeat the -AO, -NAO, and -EPO all over again.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:53 pm First 10-12 days will be warm but then. the bottom falls out 2nd half of the month
Torches are typically positive AO, super Nino/Nina type events. This "warm up" is only 5-8 above normal and transient. It's ocurring in an absent MJO cycle, with a -AO and following a large cold spell. It is not a torch.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sun Dec 25, 2022 12:52 pm
No torch, for this area anyway. Certainly warmer. It may not feel much like winter. Winter is progged to return pretty quickly. My family in Oklahoma got snow out of this event. Folks, seldom do we see an extended deep freeze in our area.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sun Dec 25, 2022 2:19 pm
Models are hinting at the polar vortex weakening mid january , i definitely expect a return to very cold weather after a brief 1-2 week warm up
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sun Dec 25, 2022 3:07 pm
Yeah, people forget it’s hard to stay cold down here.biggerbyte wrote: ↑Sun Dec 25, 2022 12:52 pm No torch, for this area anyway. Certainly warmer. It may not feel much like winter. Winter is progged to return pretty quickly. My family in Oklahoma got snow out of this event. Folks, seldom do we see an extended deep freeze in our area.
Our average high is in the 60s in Winter.
My favorite Winters are classic Nino, qbo favorable winters.
Never gets much warmer than the 50s and several events in the 30s and 40s with precip present.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Fri Dec 30, 2022 11:54 am
Monday afternoon might be interesting around here. Especially east of 45 and north of 10 as of right now.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Dec 31, 2022 10:49 am
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Dec 31, 2022 11:08 am
Things will start to get real again about the 13th.sambucol wrote: ↑Sat Dec 31, 2022 10:49 am Pow Ponder on the Polar Vortex
https://youtu.be/udmD9PlOWUM
AP, NAO go negative, STJ active for a La Nina. Just sayin'
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Dec 31, 2022 11:17 am
Yes it is.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Dec 31, 2022 1:26 pm
A sign of things to come
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sun Jan 01, 2023 12:28 am
Happy 2023 everyone!! Heres to more exciting weather events down the road! Sounds like a war zone here haha
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sun Jan 01, 2023 12:36 am
Adios, 2022. Ola 2023. I hope we never see another summer like 2022!