January 2023

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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tireman4
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January 2023

Post by tireman4 » Thu Dec 15, 2022 6:16 pm

What shall the New Year bring?

CrashTestDummy
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Re: January 2023

Post by CrashTestDummy » Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:29 pm

Hopefully warmer weather!!!
Gene Beaird,
Pearland, Texas

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Cpv17
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Re: January 2023

Post by Cpv17 » Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:48 pm

CrashTestDummy wrote:
Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:29 pm
Hopefully warmer weather!!!
It will be to start the month but mid to late month may turn cold again.

Stratton20
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Re: January 2023

Post by Stratton20 » Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:53 pm

First 10-12 days will be warm but then. the bottom falls out 2nd half of the month

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Re: January 2023

Post by Cpv17 » Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:58 pm

Stratton20 wrote:
Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:53 pm
First 10-12 days will be warm but then. the bottom falls out 2nd half of the month
Yeah I’m already seeing signs of ridging starting to show up as we head into the second or third week of January. Might be able to repeat the -AO, -NAO, and -EPO all over again.

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DoctorMu
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Re: January 2023

Post by DoctorMu » Thu Dec 22, 2022 5:14 pm

Replay of December, but not quite as warm early.

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srainhoutx
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Re: January 2023

Post by srainhoutx » Thu Dec 22, 2022 7:33 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:58 pm
Stratton20 wrote:
Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:53 pm
First 10-12 days will be warm but then. the bottom falls out 2nd half of the month
Yeah I’m already seeing signs of ridging starting to show up as we head into the second or third week of January. Might be able to repeat the -AO, -NAO, and -EPO all over again.
We may not have to wait that long. From what I am seeing the relaxation ends early in the second week of January. Also be careful of anyone that says a "torch" is coming. That is simply not true. Certainly temperatures will moderate, but my hunch is that it's nothing more than typical averages for the time of year. Winter is no where near over!
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Re: January 2023

Post by Cpv17 » Fri Dec 23, 2022 10:45 am

srainhoutx wrote:
Thu Dec 22, 2022 7:33 pm
Cpv17 wrote:
Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:58 pm
Stratton20 wrote:
Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:53 pm
First 10-12 days will be warm but then. the bottom falls out 2nd half of the month
Yeah I’m already seeing signs of ridging starting to show up as we head into the second or third week of January. Might be able to repeat the -AO, -NAO, and -EPO all over again.
We may not have to wait that long. From what I am seeing the relaxation ends early in the second week of January. Also be careful of anyone that says a "torch" is coming. That is simply not true. Certainly temperatures will moderate, but my hunch is that it's nothing more than typical averages for the time of year. Winter is no where near over!
Sounds good to me. I’m already looking for the next cold blast to start tracking.

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Re: January 2023

Post by CrashTestDummy » Sat Dec 24, 2022 12:00 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Fri Dec 23, 2022 10:45 am
srainhoutx wrote:
Thu Dec 22, 2022 7:33 pm
Cpv17 wrote:
Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:58 pm


Yeah I’m already seeing signs of ridging starting to show up as we head into the second or third week of January. Might be able to repeat the -AO, -NAO, and -EPO all over again.
We may not have to wait that long. From what I am seeing the relaxation ends early in the second week of January. Also be careful of anyone that says a "torch" is coming. That is simply not true. Certainly temperatures will moderate, but my hunch is that it's nothing more than typical averages for the time of year. Winter is no where near over!
Sounds good to me. I’m already looking for the next cold blast to start tracking.
I'll be happy to watch it skate across the northern third of the US, giving those folks weather they're both used to, and expecting this time of year.
Gene Beaird,
Pearland, Texas

"You can learn a lot from a Dummy."

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Re: January 2023

Post by MontgomeryCoWx » Sun Dec 25, 2022 12:16 am

srainhoutx wrote:
Thu Dec 22, 2022 7:33 pm
Cpv17 wrote:
Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:58 pm
Stratton20 wrote:
Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:53 pm
First 10-12 days will be warm but then. the bottom falls out 2nd half of the month
Yeah I’m already seeing signs of ridging starting to show up as we head into the second or third week of January. Might be able to repeat the -AO, -NAO, and -EPO all over again.
We may not have to wait that long. From what I am seeing the relaxation ends early in the second week of January. Also be careful of anyone that says a "torch" is coming. That is simply not true. Certainly temperatures will moderate, but my hunch is that it's nothing more than typical averages for the time of year. Winter is no where near over!
Most casual weather watchers don't understand what a torch truly is.....

Torches are typically positive AO, super Nino/Nina type events. This "warm up" is only 5-8 above normal and transient. It's ocurring in an absent MJO cycle, with a -AO and following a large cold spell. It is not a torch.
Team #NeverSummer

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