January 2023

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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srainhoutx
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Re: January 2023

Post by srainhoutx » Wed Jan 25, 2023 4:02 pm

NWS Houston
@NWSHouston
·
1m
NWS Houston can now confirm that the Deer Park/Pasadena tornado will be preliminarily rated EF3, with an estimated maximum path length of 18 mi, maximum path width of 0.66 mi, and maximum wind speed of 140 mph. We will provide a full summary later this evening. #houwx #txwx
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Cpv17
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Re: January 2023

Post by Cpv17 » Wed Jan 25, 2023 5:51 pm

Pretty big difference between the Euro and GFS as far as precipitation goes.

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don
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Re: January 2023

Post by don » Wed Jan 25, 2023 5:57 pm

The GFS is showing one heck of a stormy pattern with the subtropical jet and a blocking SE ridge allowing storms to dig more.

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MontgomeryCoWx
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Re: January 2023

Post by MontgomeryCoWx » Wed Jan 25, 2023 6:00 pm

don wrote:
Wed Jan 25, 2023 5:57 pm
The GFS is showing one heck of a stormy pattern with the subtropical jet and a blocking SE ridge allowing storms to dig more.
That’s all we can ask for. Don’t need extreme cold to cash in.
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Stratton20
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Re: January 2023

Post by Stratton20 » Wed Jan 25, 2023 6:07 pm

yep the upper level pattern looks great on the GFS, just need it to trend colder again, typical losing the cold again, should be back in a few runs lol
The euro actually has some light snow accumulations across the area fwiw

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Re: January 2023

Post by Kingwood36 » Wed Jan 25, 2023 6:45 pm

Security certificate has expired and the site is messing up again..

Cpv17
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Re: January 2023

Post by Cpv17 » Wed Jan 25, 2023 6:47 pm

Kingwood36 wrote:
Wed Jan 25, 2023 6:45 pm
Security certificate has expired and the site is messing up again..
Yeah it just did it to me too.

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srainhoutx
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Re: January 2023

Post by srainhoutx » Wed Jan 25, 2023 9:24 pm

I've notified Andrew about the Certificate.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Stratton20
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Re: January 2023

Post by Stratton20 » Wed Jan 25, 2023 10:57 pm

00z CMC has a nasty ice storm for central and north texas next week
meanwhile the GFS continues to secure last place out of the three global models right now as it still isnt seeing the arctic air,

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DoctorMu
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Re: January 2023

Post by DoctorMu » Wed Jan 25, 2023 11:02 pm

MontgomeryCoWx wrote:
Wed Jan 25, 2023 8:31 am
Cromagnum wrote:
Wed Jan 25, 2023 7:03 am
If we are supposed to have an Arctic front next week, my 7day forecast isn't showing any hints of that. Lows in the 50s.
I’m 20s and 30s. 50s over the weekend with nasty humid weather but I’ll be around zero in the mountains so y’all enjoy that trash. ;)
I just cooked some fajitas on the BBQ in the cool dry air. An evening affair, but those coals in the darkness. I've never enjoyed the smell and sight as much.

A great day today and Chamber of Commerce day tomorrow.

TWC has capitulated. Arctic air on the way in a week.

Hope everybody is OK in HOU... the damage was really bad and the tornado swath was formidable - wedge shaped and rain wrapped?

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