Wx Infinity Forums

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Mon Feb 13, 2023 4:27 pm Lots of rain (30 days preferably) and below average temps please!

I loathe Spring almost as much as Summer because of allergies. Rain keeps it at bay.

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0358 AM CST Sun Feb 26 2023

Valid 011200Z - 061200Z

...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK POSSIBLE ON D5/THU...

...DISCUSSION...
...Wednesday/Day 4...
West-southwest mid-level flow will be in place on Wednesday as
moisture advection occurs across much of the Southeast.
Thunderstorms will be possible across the moist sector from east
Texas eastward across the Gulf Coast states and northward into the
mid Mississippi Valley. At this time, any severe threat is expected
to remain isolated on Wednesday, due to weak instability and limited
large-scale ascent.

...Thursday/Day 5 and Friday/Day 6...
An upper-level trough will move quickly eastward on Thursday from
the Desert Southwest into the southern Plains. By late afternoon on
Thursday, model forecasts develop a corridor of moderate instability
in east Texas and have strong deep-layer shear present over much of
the southern Plains. This environment should support severe storms
capable of large hail, wind damage and perhaps some tornadoes. A
widespread outbreak of severe weather will be possible beginning
Thursday afternoon and continuing into the overnight period. The
potential for severe storms should shift eastward across the lower
to mid Mississippi Valley and into the central Gulf Coast states
Thursday night where the threat for wind damage, hail and tornadoes
should continue.

don wrote: ↑Sun Feb 26, 2023 12:52 pm Need to keep an eye on the storm late this week. (especially areas north of I-10) It looks to be powerful with not only a severe weather threat but also a non storm wind damage threat.Models are already showing a squall line developing,with strong winds wrapping around the backside of the low afterwards.(Both the EURO & GFS have winds gusting over 60 mph behind the front in some areas)SPC already mentioning a widespread outbreak may be possible.

day5prob.gif

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0358 AM CST Sun Feb 26 2023

Valid 011200Z - 061200Z

...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK POSSIBLE ON D5/THU...

...DISCUSSION...
...Wednesday/Day 4...
West-southwest mid-level flow will be in place on Wednesday as
moisture advection occurs across much of the Southeast.
Thunderstorms will be possible across the moist sector from east
Texas eastward across the Gulf Coast states and northward into the
mid Mississippi Valley. At this time, any severe threat is expected
to remain isolated on Wednesday, due to weak instability and limited
large-scale ascent.

...Thursday/Day 5 and Friday/Day 6...
An upper-level trough will move quickly eastward on Thursday from
the Desert Southwest into the southern Plains. By late afternoon on
Thursday, model forecasts develop a corridor of moderate instability
in east Texas and have strong deep-layer shear present over much of
the southern Plains. This environment should support severe storms
capable of large hail, wind damage and perhaps some tornadoes. A
widespread outbreak of severe weather will be possible beginning
Thursday afternoon and continuing into the overnight period. The
potential for severe storms should shift eastward across the lower
to mid Mississippi Valley and into the central Gulf Coast states
Thursday night where the threat for wind damage, hail and tornadoes
should continue.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 26, 2023 1:05 pm

don wrote: ↑Sun Feb 26, 2023 12:52 pm Need to keep an eye on the storm late this week. (especially areas north of I-10) It looks to be powerful with not only a severe weather threat but also a non storm wind damage threat.Models are already showing a squall line developing,with strong winds wrapping around the backside of the low afterwards.(Both the EURO & GFS have winds gusting over 60 mph behind the front in some areas)SPC already mentioning a widespread outbreak may be possible.

day5prob.gif

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0358 AM CST Sun Feb 26 2023

Valid 011200Z - 061200Z

...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK POSSIBLE ON D5/THU...

...DISCUSSION...
...Wednesday/Day 4...
West-southwest mid-level flow will be in place on Wednesday as
moisture advection occurs across much of the Southeast.
Thunderstorms will be possible across the moist sector from east
Texas eastward across the Gulf Coast states and northward into the
mid Mississippi Valley. At this time, any severe threat is expected
to remain isolated on Wednesday, due to weak instability and limited
large-scale ascent.

...Thursday/Day 5 and Friday/Day 6...
An upper-level trough will move quickly eastward on Thursday from
the Desert Southwest into the southern Plains. By late afternoon on
Thursday, model forecasts develop a corridor of moderate instability
in east Texas and have strong deep-layer shear present over much of
the southern Plains. This environment should support severe storms
capable of large hail, wind damage and perhaps some tornadoes. A
widespread outbreak of severe weather will be possible beginning
Thursday afternoon and continuing into the overnight period. The
potential for severe storms should shift eastward across the lower
to mid Mississippi Valley and into the central Gulf Coast states
Thursday night where the threat for wind damage, hail and tornadoes
should continue.

As usual, the worst of it will be NE of us.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 26, 2023 1:20 pm can we just skip severe weather season please lol

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Sun Feb 26, 2023 2:40 pm What do you guys recommend for a home weather station? Our old cheapo La Crosse unit bit the dust finally. I don't necessarily need one with an anemometer, but it seems like all the ones that just do temp / humidity have big accuracy problems.