March 2023

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cpv17
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Doesn’t look like much of a severe weather event south of I-10. Oh well. Hopefully can get at least a half inch outta it. Need some rain down here.
Cromagnum
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I'll take rain without the severe stuff, but recent track records means it will just be a broken line for us.
Iceresistance
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Slight Risk now includes Houston, Enhanced risk now in place for DFW.
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jasons2k
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Well at least I should get rain out of it. According to this around an inch:

Thursday
A chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Breezy, with a south wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Thursday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 45. Windy, with a south wind 20 to 25 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.

Friday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55. Windy, with a north wind 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Cpv17
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The hi-res models don’t seem very enthused about much rain.
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Wed Mar 15, 2023 8:08 pm The hi-res models don’t seem very enthused about much rain.
HRRR has weak streamer showers tomorrow during the day with a line of showers around midnight. Sever seems unlikely, especially S of CLL. I think we'll get some rain. Maybe half an inch, possibly more.

South of I-10 looks more sparse on the Mesos.

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Cromagnum
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It is quite windy today. It may not necessarily be in our area but someone has plenty of fuel to work with for storms.
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jasons2k
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Weather App shows 35 here Monday AM :shock:
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MontgomeryCoWx
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jasons2k wrote: Thu Mar 16, 2023 10:26 am Weather App shows 35 here Monday AM :shock:
33 here. I’ll take it!
Team #NeverSummer
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don
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Looks like most of the precip is going to be post frontal,so im not concerned about severe weather.Still looks like a pretty rainy day for those along and north of I-10 as a disturbance passes through behind the front.
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don
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Looks like most of the precip is going to be post frontal,so im not concerned about severe weather.Still looks like a pretty rainy day for those along and north of I-10 as a disturbance passes through behind the front.

Most of the precip may not be till tonight and overnight.
Screenshot 2023-03-16 at 14-40-51 Models HRRR — Pivotal Weather.png
Cromagnum
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A few doses of heavy sprinkles/ light rain earlier. Hopefully can manage 0.5 inch or more tonight.
Stratton20
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How really inconvenient, traveling home from seaside tommorow, looks like an ugly day of driving
Cromagnum
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Is this actually going to ro anything in our area later? Radar looks pretty weak sauce along I10
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don
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Cromagnum wrote: Thu Mar 16, 2023 6:16 pm Is this actually going to ro anything in our area later? Radar looks pretty weak sauce along I10
As i mentioned above most precip wont be till later tonight after the front gets here (around midnight in the Houston area). Mainly overnight into tomorrow morning.

The HRRR at 7 AM tommorow
Screenshot 2023-03-16 at 18-02-18 Models HRRR — Pivotal Weather.png
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jasons2k
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Great time for the radar to go out…
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jasons2k
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Storms cometh…
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dp6
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Some thunder in the Land of Sugar with brief bouts of cats and dogs, in between fairly steady kittens and puppies.

Decent sized band on the radar stretching from Greatwood to north of the Katy Fwy.
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don
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As expected the disturbance is now moving into the area.
Screenshot_20230317-070908_MyRadar.jpg
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jasons2k
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Weather app shows 34 Monday AM.
NWS went from 40’s to 35.
A little too close for comfort.

Had a great rain last night. I haven’t checked the rain gauge yet. It’s a good day to stay inside.
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