August Weather Discussion

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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tireman4
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Why God Why? This summer will not quit.
niner21
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I'll try and upload my 5 minute cell phone video of me walking around with the laser thermometer....

I got 130 degrees on the regular concrete (these are "in the sun" readings). 174 degrees on the rear glass of the Yukon, and the highest I got was 184 HOT Degrees on the brown trash can next to the house.

The house brick was 131 deg, the concrete in the shade was 113 and a tree trunk in the shade was 107.1 which is probably what air temp was.

The roof was actually 164 deg which I thought would be the highest reading....
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jasons2k
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I recorded a high of 112 degrees today.
PaulEInHouston
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Had 105.9 yesterday. With no high clouds like were present yesterday morning, I think we will break records today again...as for Monday, prob few degrees cooler area-wide, but still in triple digits.
unome
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we hit 107 in Cypress

this article has an interesting note from NWS in it http://www.chron.com/news/houston-texas ... 144472.php

"Relief ahead

Despite the brutal heat - and, alas, today should be nearly as warm - relief does appear to be in sight.

The high-pressure systems that have baked Houston all summer appear likely to move east by the middle of the week, say forecasters with the Houston/Galveston office of the National Weather Service.

Daytime high temperatures should finally fall out of the 100s by Tuesday or Wednesday.

Computer models forecasters rely upon show a large area of tropical moisture moving north from the Caribbean and Bay of Campeche later in the week.

Such a feature has a good chance of bringing widespread showers into the greater Houston area toward the end of the week, as well as bringing daytime high temperatures into the lower 90s.

In other words, next weekend could be 15 degrees cooler than this one."
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wxman57
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Rain is on the horizon! Models all showing the "death ridge" over Texas breaking down by Thursday with a lot of tropical moisture streaming northward across the western Gulf. Could be a nice, rainy Labor Day weekend.
unome
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wxman57 wrote:Rain is on the horizon! Models all showing the "death ridge" over Texas breaking down by Thursday with a lot of tropical moisture streaming northward across the western Gulf. Could be a nice, rainy Labor Day weekend.
you just made my day !!! look at HPC's 4 & 5-day QPF folks

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mckinne63
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Hurray! Let's hope the models prove to be true.
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Ptarmigan
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NWS Houston forecasts rain starting on Wednesday night. Gets higher on Thursday and Friday.

Code: Select all

Expires:201108282130;;062011
FPUS54 KHGX 280918
ZFPHGX
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
418 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2011

TXZ213-282130-
HARRIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOUSTON...HUMBLE...KATY...PASADENA...
TOMBALL
418 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2011
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT MONDAY...
.TODAY...SUNNY EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
SUNNY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 107. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
HIGHS AROUND 104. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 100. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 90. CHANCE
OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
$$
http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/foreca ... txz213.txt
biggerbyte
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For the first time, all summer long, we have the real deal with a pattern change. Relief is on the way. Confidence is high. If something happens this time to delay said change, then there just is no forecasting this rediculous heat wave.
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Ptarmigan
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wxman57 wrote:Rain is on the horizon! Models all showing the "death ridge" over Texas breaking down by Thursday with a lot of tropical moisture streaming northward across the western Gulf. Could be a nice, rainy Labor Day weekend.
Our RAID has come to kill that Cockroach Ridge of Death. :lol: :twisted: 8-)
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jasons2k
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I was even hotter Sunday - 113 at my place.
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srainhoutx
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Afternoon update from Jeff re: Montgomery County Wildfire and future early September tropic troubles:

A wildfire has developed near Needham Rd and FM 494 in SE Montgomery County this afternoon. The fire is burning in heavy pine forest and brush with several homes in the area. Several local fire departments are responding to cut containment lines.

While RH is very low this afternoon, winds are weak with a flat pressure gradient and while the fire is spreading, it is spreading at a fairly slow rate and at this time has not reached into the tree canopy as some of the larger fires did this past June. Winds will likely increase some early this evening as the seabreeze moves inland from the south and southeast.

End of the Week:
Nearly all forecast models now attempt to close off a surface low pressure over the western/northwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. In fact the ECMWF and GFS show a fairly deep surface low off the TX coast this weekend that is left to meander in a weak steering flow and then begins to drift SW as high pressure builds southward early next week from the central plains. Significant forecast changes may be required for the period from Friday-Monday given the potential for a tropical system to develop off the TX coast. This may also have a big impact on rain chances and totals this weekend with rainfall becoming more concentrated near the coast/offshore. Any time you have the potential for surface low formation over 88-90 degree waters and abundant tropical moisture if can spell trouble. Stay tuned!


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jgreak
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There seems to be so many crisscrossing boundaries - curious as to why nothing is firing along them? Seems as though heating wouldn't be a problem :?:
Andrew
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jgreak wrote:There seems to be so many crisscrossing boundaries - curious as to why nothing is firing along them? Seems as though heating wouldn't be a problem :?:

Boundaries that crossed would be a good thing. When two boundaries combine, that is when you see some of the strongest storms. The main problem we have is it is just too dry. Even with the lift from the sea breeze and some of the other boundaries, it wasn't enough to get many storms going. Don't worry this weekend looks promising. :)
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sleetstorm
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I am seeing some dead trees & shrubs here in Baytown.
vbhoutex
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sleetstorm wrote:I am seeing some dead trees & shrubs here in Baytown.
If you are just starting to see them you are lucky. A drive by Memorial Park off of I-610 will make you sick. Literally hundreds, if not thousands of dead trees are visible. I am losing shrubs as well as grass in my yard and I have been watering. If I watered enough to keep everything green and growing, as opposed to just keeping it alive, I would go bankrupt. Rain so far this month in the Spring Branch area of Houston is 0.26"(I think it is that much).
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tireman4
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We are just beat down with the temperatures. I figured, what the heck, why not go for broke. Well, we did. Ahh. Sigh..


.CLIMATE...
THE TEMPERATURE HAS REACHED 100 DEGREES AT BOTH HOUSTON AND
COLLEGE STATION THIS AFTERNOON...CAPPING OFF WHAT WILL GO DOWN AS
HOTTEST MONTH OF ANY MONTH ON RECORD FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS. FOR
COLLEGE STATION...THIS IS THE 58TH DAY OF 100-DEGREE
TEMPERATURES...TYING THE ALL-TIME RECORD FOR MOST IN A YEAR SET IN
1917. THE TEMPERATURE REACHED 100 DEGREES A TOTAL OF 30 OUT OF THE
31 DAYS THIS MONTH IN HOUSTON...SOMETHING THAT SEEMED ALMOST
UNTHINKABLE PRIOR TO THIS MONTH. THE AVERAGE DAILY HIGH
TEMPERATURE IN HOUSTON FOR AUGUST WILL EXCEED 100 DEGREES FOR THE
FIRST TIME EVER FOR ANY MONTH. THE MONTHLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN
HOUSTON WILL END UP CLOSE TO 90.4 DEGREES...WHICH EXCEEDS THE
PREVIOUS RECORD HOTTEST MONTH (AUGUST 2010) BY A WHOPPING 2.7
DEGREES. 35

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1
CAK
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Good Riddance to August discussion... an August I'd like to soon forget.
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