2022 Hurricane Season Discussions

Tropical Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Katdaddy
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2022 Hurricane Season Discussions

Post by Katdaddy » Sun May 22, 2022 1:01 pm

10 days until the official start of the 2022 Hurricane Season. This is the time to have a plan ready should it be needed this season. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring the first
disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico which poses no threat to Texas but just a reminder that the 2022 Hurricane Season is almost here.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun May 22 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. North Central Gulf of Mexico:
An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is associated with a surface trough of low pressure over the north central Gulf of
Mexico. Surface pressures remain high, and environmental conditions do not appear favorable for significant development before this
system moves inland over the central Gulf Coast in a day or so. Regardless of development, the system could produce heavy rainfall
and gusty winds over portions of the central Gulf Coast from southeastern Louisiana to the western Florida Panhandle. Additional information on the rainfall and flooding potential can be found in
products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office and Excessive Rainfall Outlooks issued by the Weather Prediction Center.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
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NHC_1.png

Iceresistance
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Re: 2022 Hurricane Season Discussions

Post by Iceresistance » Tue Sep 20, 2022 4:12 am

I'm surprised it's extremely dead, I'll try to bump it.

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Re: 2022 Hurricane Season Discussions

Post by tireman4 » Tue Sep 20, 2022 10:32 am

Look out..it is heating up..

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1055 AM EDT Tue Sep 20 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Fiona, located near the Turks and Caicos islands, and on newly
formed Tropical Depression Eight, located over the north-central
Atlantic Ocean.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
Updated: Satellite data indicate that the tropical wave located
several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands has become better
organized this morning. Additional development is expected, and a
tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days as
the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph
across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea. Interests in the
Windward Islands should closely monitor the progress of this system
as heavy rainfall and gusty winds could affect these islands
beginning on Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

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Re: 2022 Hurricane Season Discussions

Post by tireman4 » Wed Sep 21, 2022 7:20 am

Western Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is producing shower and thunderstorm activity a
couple hundred miles east of the southern Windward Islands. The
system continues to show signs of organization, and it will likely
become a tropical depression within the next couple of days. The
disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward across the
southern Windward Islands today and then move toward the central
Caribbean Sea later this week. Interests in the Windward Islands
should closely monitor the progress of this system as heavy rainfall
and gusty winds are affecting these islands. Regardless of
development, heavy rainfall is forecast to affect northwestern
Venezuela, northeastern Colombia, and the ABC island chain later
this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

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Re: 2022 Hurricane Season Discussions

Post by tireman4 » Mon Sep 26, 2022 9:25 am

...IAN FORECAST TO CONTINUE RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING... ...CONDITIONS IN WESTERN CUBA TO DETERIORATE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT WITH SIGNIFICANT WIND AND STORM SURGE IMPACTS EXPECTED...


11:00 AM EDT Mon Sep 26
Location: 19.1°N 82.7°W
Moving: NW at 13 mph
Min pressure: 980 mb
Max sustained: 80 mph

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