TS Earl: Near Southern Bay of Campeche

Tropical Weather Discussions and Analysis
unome
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radar and recon available on Jim William's site; hurricanecity hosted for Chris Hollis'; tropicalatlantic

http://hurricanecity.com/recon/recon.cg ... r&latest=1
unome
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Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2010 6:11 pm

Chris made a youtube video of the radar

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zQP6KukOEZ4
rnmm
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Location: Santa Fe, Texas
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...CENTER OF EARL MAKES LANDFALL NEAR BELIZE CITY...
1:00 AM CDT Thu Aug 4
Location: 17.4°N 88.3°W
Moving: W at 14 mph
Min pressure: 979 mb
Max sustained: 80 mph
My name is Nicole and I love weather!!
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
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srainhoutx
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Location: Maggie Valley, NC
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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016
700 AM CDT THU AUG 04 2016

...EARL WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 89.5W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM W OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...105 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has discontinued all warnings. The
Government of Belize has replaced the Hurricane Warning with
a Tropical Storm Warning.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* the coast of Belize.

Interests along the southern coast of the Bay of Campeche should
monitor the progress of Earl.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Earl was
located near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 89.5 West. Earl is
moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h). A turn toward the
west-northwest and a decrease in forward speed are expected later
today. On the forecast track, Earl is expected to move across
northern Guatemala and southeastern Mexico today, and be near or
over the southern Bay of Campeche Friday night.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (105 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected as the center
moves farther inland, and Earl is forecast to weaken to a tropical
depression by tonight or Friday morning.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
to the east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.23 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are still affecting the coast of
Belize, but should gradually subside. These conditions should spread
over northern Guatemala this morning.

RAINFALL: Earl is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 8 to 12 inches over portions of Belize, Guatemala, and the
Mexican states of Campeche, Chiapas, Quintana Roo, Tabasco and
Veracruz through Friday morning. Isolated maximum amounts of 18
inches are possible in Belize, northern Guatemala and the central
part of the Mexican state of Chiapas. These rains could result in
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

STORM SURGE: A storm surge along the immediate coast of Belize and
the eastern Yucatan Peninsula should continue to subside today as
the center of Earl moves farther inland.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016
400 PM CDT FRI AUG 05 2016

...EARL RESTRENGTHENS OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE...
...TORRENTIAL RAINS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 95.0W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM NW OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM ESE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for
the coast of Mexico from Laguna Verde to Tecolutla.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Puerto Dos Bocas westward to Tecolutla, Mexico.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Earl was
located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 95.0 West. Earl is
moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue during the next day or so. On the
forecast track, Earl will move inland into the Mexican state of
Veracruz later tonight.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft
indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph
(95 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected
before landfall.

Tropical-storm-force winds have expanded and now extend outward up
to 125 miles (205 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will spread westward across the
warning area this afternoon and tonight.

RAINFALL: Earl is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 8 to 12 inches over portions of the Mexican states of Chiapas,
Oaxaca, Puebla, Tabasco and Veracruz through Saturday morning with
possible isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches. These rains could
result in life- threatening flash floods and mudslides. Reports
from the Meteorological Service of Mexico indicate that at least
7.63 inches (194 mm) of rainfall has occurred at Yamonho Chiapas and
5.64 inches (143 mm) has occurred at Boca del Cerro thus far.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart
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