Major Hurricane Florence/Hurricane Warnings Hoisted SC/NC

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srainhoutx
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BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Six Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
1100 AM AST Thu Aug 30 2018

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHERN CABO VERDE
ISLANDS ON FRIDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.9N 18.4W
ABOUT 425 MI...680 KM ESE OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Cabo Verde Islands has issued a Tropical
Storm Warning for the southern islands of Santiago, Fogo and
Brava.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Santiago
* Fogo
* Brava

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the disturbance was centered near
latitude 12.9 North, longitude 18.4 West. The system is moving
toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion
with a gradual turn toward the west-northwest is expected to
continue during the next few days. On the forecast track, the
disturbance is expected to move near or over the southern Cabo
Verde Islands on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
disturbance is expected to become a topical storm during the next
day or so.

Environmental conditions are favorable for the system to become a
tropical cyclone tonight or Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: The system could produce total rain accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches across the southern Cabo Verde Islands. These
rains could produce life-threatening flash floods.

WINDS: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the southern Cabo
Verde Islands on Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila
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srainhoutx
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Hurricane Florence Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
835 AM AST Wed Sep 05 2018

...FLORENCE BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE...
...FIRST OF THE 2018 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON...

Recent satellite imagery indicates that Florence is still
strengthening and is now a major hurricane. Maximum sustained
winds are estimated to be 120 mph (195 km/h). This increase in
intensity will be reflected in the forecast issued with the 1100 AM
AST (1500 UTC) advisory package.


SUMMARY OF 835 AM AST...1235 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.7N 45.2W
ABOUT 1185 MI...1910 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 1405 MI...2265 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Berg/Rhome
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TexasBreeze
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Since developing close to Africa, the system has had modelling to be an eventual threat to the east coast. There have been some funky model tracks for it including large loops and southerly u-turns off the east coast!
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Euro and Canadian have Florence slamming into the NC coastline in a week. GFS not so much - so it's a lock! ;)

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_30.png

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... p_us_8.png
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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE DISCUSSION NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062018
500 AM AST FRI SEP 07 2018

FLORENCE'S STRUCTURE CONTINUES TO BE NEGATIVELY AFFECTED BY STRONG
SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR. CLOUD TOPS HAVE GENERALLY WARMED OVER THE
PAST 6 HOURS, AND RECENT MICROWAVE DATA SHOW THAT THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER OF FLORENCE IS DISPLACED NEARLY 20 NMI TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF THE MID-LEVEL CENTER. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES
HAVE DECREASED SINCE LAST NIGHT, AND NOW SUPPORT AN INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 55 KT.

BASED ON GFS AND ECMWF SHIPS DIAGNOSTIC OUTPUT, THE SOUTHWESTERLY
SHEAR IS NEAR ITS PEAK NOW, AND SHOULD GRADUALLY DECREASE OVER THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 H. ALL OF THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE
IN INTENSITY THROUGH THAT TIME. FROM 48 H ONWARD, A LOW SHEAR/WARM
SST ENVIRONMENT SHOULD ALLOW THE TROPICAL STORM TO RE-STRENGTHEN.
HOWEVER, THE EXTENT AND TIMING OF THE STRENGTHENING VARIES GREATLY
FROM MODEL TO MODEL, WITH THE DYNAMICAL MODELS GENERALLY SHOWING
MORE INTENSIFICATION, AND SOONER, THAN THE STATISTICAL MODELS. AS
HAS BEEN THE CASE FOR MOST OF FLORENCE'S EXISTENCE THUS FAR,
CONFIDENCE IN THE INTENSITY FORECAST, ESPECIALLY BEYOND 36 H, IS
LOW. THE NEW OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A LITTLE LOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY FOR THE FIRST 48 H, BUT CLOSE TO IT AFTER THAT, AND LIES
BETWEEN THE MORE AGGRESSIVE HCCA AND LESS AGGRESSIVE IVCN CONSENSUS
AIDS.

NIGHTTIME PROXY-VIS AND EARLIER MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT
FLORENCE HAS TURNED WESTWARD, WITH AN ESTIMATED INITIAL MOTION OF
275/6 KT. MOST OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TOWARD THE
SOUTHWEST, SO THE NHC TRACK FORECAST HAS ALSO BEEN NUDGED IN THAT
DIRECTION. OVER THE NEXT 3 DAYS OF THE FORECAST, FLORENCE SHOULD BE
STEERED GENERALLY WESTWARD, AND THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD, BY A
MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. BY DAYS 4 AND 5, A DEVELOPING
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH COULD CREATE A WEAKNESS IN THIS RIDGE AND ALLOW
FLORENCE TO MOVE MORE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST, BUT THERE IS STILL
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE GLOBAL MODELS AND THEIR ENSEMBLES
REGARDING THE STRENGTH OF THE RIDGE AND IF THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH
WILL HAVE ANY NOTABLE IMPACT ON THE TRACK OF FLORENCE. THE NHC
FORECAST FOLLOWS HCCA VERY CLOSELY, AND IS ALSO NEAR THE MIDDLE OF
THE LARGE COMBINED ENVELOPE OF THE GFS, UKMET, AND ECMWF ENSEMBLES.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. REGARDLESS OF FLORENCE'S EVENTUAL TRACK, LARGE SWELLS WILL BEGIN
TO AFFECT BERMUDA LATER TODAY AND PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST
THIS WEEKEND, RESULTING IN LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS.

2. THERE IS STILL VERY LARGE UNCERTAINTY IN FLORENCE'S TRACK
BEYOND DAY 5, AND IT IS TOO SOON TO DETERMINE WHAT, IF ANY, OTHER
IMPACTS FLORENCE COULD HAVE ON THE U.S. EAST COAST NEXT WEEK.

3. SINCE WE ARE NEAR THE PEAK OF HURRICANE SEASON, THIS IS A GOOD
TIME FOR EVERYONE WHO LIVES IN A HURRICANE-PRONE AREA TO ENSURE THEY
HAVE THEIR HURRICANE PLAN IN PLACE.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 07/0900Z 25.1N 50.7W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 07/1800Z 25.1N 51.8W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 08/0600Z 25.0N 53.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 08/1800Z 25.0N 54.3W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 09/0600Z 25.1N 55.4W 70 KT 80 MPH
72H 10/0600Z 26.2N 58.3W 95 KT 110 MPH
96H 11/0600Z 27.5N 63.5W 110 KT 125 MPH
120H 12/0600Z 30.0N 70.0W 110 KT 125 MPH

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Tropical Storm Florence Discussion Number 36
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
500 AM AST Sat Sep 08 2018

Although Florence remains a sheared tropical cyclone, satellite
imagery during the past 6 h also indicates that the shear has
started to abate somewhat, which has allowed the dense cirrus
canopy to build back over the previously exposed low-level
circulation center. Furthermore, deep convection with overshooting
cloud tops near -80C and an abundance of lightning activity have
developed very close to the center. Based on these data along with
Dvorak intensity estimates of T3.5/55 kt from TAFB and SAB, the
initial intensity has been raised to 55 kt.

The initial motion estimate is 265/8 kt. The mid-latitude flow
across CONUS and the northern Atlantic is forecast to flatten out
and become more zonal over the next 48 h or so, resulting in the
development of a narrow east-west oriented ridge along 35/36N
latitude. This large-scale feature is expected to steer Florence
in a general westward direction during that time. By days 3-5,
however, the flow across the central and western U.S. is forecast
to buckle and become more meridional as a deep mid-/upper-level
trough over the northeast Pacific pushes inland over the western
U.S., causing downstream ridging over the northeastern U.S. and
northwestern Atlantic. The global models agree on this general
change in the synoptic-scale flow pattern, but they differ
noticeably on where a downstream mid-/upper-level high pressure cell
takes up residence over the Atlantic either to the northwest or
northeast of Bermuda. The farther west/east the high develops will
determine how far west/east Florence will eventually move and
possibly affect the U.S. east coast beyond the 5-day forecast
period. The new official forecast track is close to the previous
advisory track through 48 h, and then was nudged a little to the
left or west of the previous track, which is close to the consensus
model TVCN and is north of the corrected-consensus models FSSE and
HCCA since the bulk of the NHC model guidance lies north of those
latter two models.

The upper-level environment is expected to improve to significantly
during the next 12 h and beyond with the current 20 kt of
southwesterly shear forecast to give way to shear of less than 10
kt. By 72 h and beyond, light shear from the southeast and east
along with the development of strong upper-level outflow jets to
the north of Florence is expected to create an environment that
favors significant and possibly even rapid strengthening. The new
NHC intensity forecast has been increased over the previous advisory
in anticipation of these very favorable dynamical conditions
developing, and now shows Florence becoming a hurricane by Sunday
and a major hurricane in 3 days, followed by additional
strengthening over the very warm Atlantic waters of at least 29 deg
C that are about 2 deg C above normal right now. The consensus
models IVCN and HCCA were closely followed, which are a little
below the FSSE model.

Key Messages:

1. Regardless of Florence's eventual track, large swells are
affecting Bermuda and will begin to affect portions of the U.S.
East Coast this weekend, resulting in life-threatening surf and rip
currents.

2. The risk of other direct impacts associated with Florence along
the U.S. East Coast next week has increased. However, there is
still very large uncertainty in model forecasts of Florence's track
beyond day 5, making it too soon to determine the exact location,
magnitude, and timing of these impacts. Interests near and along
the U.S. East Coast should monitor the progress of Florence through
the weekend and ensure they have their hurricane plans in place.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 08/0900Z 24.5N 54.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 08/1800Z 24.6N 55.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 09/0600Z 24.6N 56.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 09/1800Z 24.6N 57.2W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 10/0600Z 24.9N 59.0W 90 KT 105 MPH
72H 11/0600Z 26.0N 64.0W 105 KT 120 MPH
96H 12/0600Z 28.0N 70.2W 120 KT 140 MPH
120H 13/0600Z 30.9N 75.8W 125 KT 145 MPH

$$
Forecaster Stewart

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unome
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Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2010 6:11 pm

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Florence
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphi ... k#contents

Tropical Storm Florence Discussion Number 37
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
1100 AM AST Sat Sep 08 2018

Code: Select all

Florence has undergone a dramatic structural evolution just within
the past 6 hours or so.  Vertical shear has decreased just enough
for the storm to take on a more symmetric shape, with convection
developing in a ring around the low-level center, and an elongated
band wrapping around to the northeastern part of the circulation.
The convection has waned a little bit in intensity, however, due to
the presence of dry air, and Dvorak estimates support maintaining
an initial intensity of 55 kt for now.  A NOAA P-3 aircraft is
approaching Florence now on a research mission and should provide
some useful data to better assess the storm's intensity.

Recent WindSat microwave data revealed that Florence has a
well-defined low-level ring in the 37-GHz channel, which tends to
be a harbinger of strengthening when environmental conditions are
favorable.  Since vertical shear is decreasing and should be 10 kt
or less by later today, and Florence is heading toward a deeper
pool of warm water over the southwestern Atlantic, a significant
phase of intensification is likely to begin by tonight, continuing
through Tuesday or Wednesday.  In fact, the official intensity
forecast explicitly shows rapid intensification occurring between
24 and 48 hours from now, and Florence is expected to become a
major hurricane by Monday.  The HFIP Corrected Consensus (HCCA) and
the Florida State Superensemble (FSSE), both of which tend to do
well in these scenarios, are both near the upper end of the guidance
suite, especially through day 3.  Even by days 4 and 5, the HWRF,
HMON, and ICON intensity consensus are near the top end of the
guidance, close to HCCA and FSSE.  Given the signals in the
environment, and the solutions provided by these models, the NHC
intensity forecast shows Florence reaching category 4 intensity by
day 3 and maintains that through the end of the forecast period.

Florence's longer-term motion is 265/6 kt.  The cyclone appears to
be slowing down as was expected, and this type of motion is likely
to continue for the next 24-36 hours.  In fact, the track guidance
has slowed down during this period, and the updated NHC track
forecast is a little slower than the previous one.  After 36 hours,
the most notable change in the models was a northeastward shift in
the 06Z GFS.  However, that run appears to be an outlier from the
rest of the dynamical models, and its trend opposes the slight
westward shift noted in the HCCA and FSSE aids.  The updated NHC
track forecast is therefore very close to or slightly west of the
previous forecast on days 4 and 5.  The exact path of Florence as it
approaches the southeastern U.S. coastline will depend heavily on
the position and strength of the blocking high pressure that is
expected to develop north of Bermuda and extend westward over the
eastern U.S., and so far there has not been much more clarity on
those important details.

Key Messages:

1. Florence is forecast to be a dangerous major hurricane near the
southeast U.S. coast by late next week, and the risk of direct
impacts continues to increase. However, given the uncertainty in
track and intensity forecasts at those time ranges, it's too soon to
determine the exact timing, location, and magnitude of those
impacts.

2. Interests along the U.S. East Coast, particularly from north
Florida through North Carolina, should closely monitor the progress
of Florence, ensure they have their hurricane plan in place, and
follow any advice given by local officials.

3. Large swells are affecting Bermuda and will begin to affect
portions of the U.S. East Coast this weekend, resulting in
life-threatening surf and rip currents.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  08/1500Z 24.5N  54.3W   55 KT  65 MPH
 12H  09/0000Z 24.6N  55.0W   60 KT  70 MPH
 24H  09/1200Z 24.6N  56.1W   70 KT  80 MPH
 36H  10/0000Z 24.8N  57.5W   85 KT 100 MPH
 48H  10/1200Z 25.1N  59.3W  100 KT 115 MPH
 72H  11/1200Z 26.3N  64.9W  115 KT 130 MPH
 96H  12/1200Z 28.5N  71.5W  125 KT 145 MPH
120H  13/1200Z 31.5N  77.0W  120 KT 140 MPH

$$
Forecaster Berg
[/i]
Last edited by unome on Tue Sep 11, 2018 8:52 am, edited 1 time in total.
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srainhoutx
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Tropical Storm Florence Discussion Number 38
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
500 PM AST Sat Sep 08 2018

A NOAA P3 aircraft conducted a research mission several hours ago
in Florence and measured SFMR surface winds of around 60 kt and
winds up to 65 kt at a flight level of 8000 feet. Velocities of
65-70 kt at 500 meters were also measured by the Doppler radar on
the plane. Based on these data, the initial wind speed is raised to
60 kt. Dropsonde data also showed that the central pressure was
down to 989 mb.

Florence is slowly recovering from the dry air its circulation
ingested while it was under the influence of strong shear.
Convection in the outer bands is relatively thin but is deeper and
more persistent near the center. Now that the shear has decreased
and the warm waters ahead of Florence reach deeper into the ocean,
continued strengthening is anticipated. In fact, the official
forecast continues to show a period of rapid intensification, now
beginning 12-24 hours, with Florence reaching major hurricane
intensity between 36-48 hours. One fly in the ointment is that the
SHIPS diagnostics are keeping mid-level relative humidities around
the cyclone around 50 percent, which isn't particularly moist, but
I'm going to assume that Florence will be able to scour out the dry
air within its circulation in the coming days. The HCCA model and
the ICON intensity consensus support maintaining a forecast peak
intensity of 125 kt in 4 days or so, so no significant changes were
made from the previous forecast. Regardless of the specifics of
the other models--some of which are higher and some of which are
lower--Florence is expected to be a powerful major hurricane on
days 3 through 5 as it moves across the southwestern Atlantic Ocean.

Florence is creeping westward (270 degrees) at 4 kt, trapped
between high pressure to its northeast and southwest. A different
blocking ridge is expected to develop north and northeast of
Bermuda over the next few days, causing Florence to accelerate
toward the west-northwest and northwest between days 3-5. There
have been some notable shifts in the model guidance on this cycle,
with the ECMWF model swinging to the northeast closer to the GFS,
and the HWRF model swinging farther south along the southern edge
of the guidance envelope. Despite this change in the deterministic
ECMWF run, its individual ensemble members are still showing a
significant spread of solutions from just north of the Bahamas to
offshore the coast of North Carolina by day 5. Because of this
spread, the updated NHC track forecast largely maintains
continuity and remains close to the TVCN multi-model consensus.
And despite the ECMWF's shift, this track prediction remains north
of the HCCA and FSSE solutions.

Key Messages:

1. Florence is forecast to be a dangerous major hurricane near the
southeast U.S. coast by late next week, and the risk of direct
impacts continues to increase. However, given the uncertainty in
track and intensity forecasts at those time ranges, it's too soon to
determine the exact timing, location, and magnitude of those
impacts.

2. Interests along the U.S. East Coast, particularly from north
Florida through North Carolina, should closely monitor the progress
of Florence, ensure they have their hurricane plan in place, and
follow any advice given by local officials.

3. Large swells affecting Bermuda and portions of the U.S. East
Coast will continue into next week. These swells will result in
life-threatening surf and rip currents.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 08/2100Z 24.6N 54.7W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 09/0600Z 24.6N 55.4W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 09/1800Z 24.7N 56.6W 80 KT 90 MPH
36H 10/0600Z 25.0N 58.3W 95 KT 110 MPH
48H 10/1800Z 25.4N 60.5W 110 KT 125 MPH
72H 11/1800Z 26.9N 66.4W 120 KT 140 MPH
96H 12/1800Z 29.5N 72.5W 125 KT 145 MPH
120H 13/1800Z 32.5N 77.0W 120 KT 140 MPH

$$
Forecaster Berg
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unome
Posts: 3059
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2010 6:11 pm

our peeps on the east coast are paying close attention to Florence, as is the Navy in Norfolk, VA (https://www.cnic.navy.mil/regions/cnrma ... rfolk.html https://www.facebook.com/pg/NavalStationNorfolk)

11:00 AM AST Sun Sep 9
Location: 24.4°N 56.3°W
Moving: W at 6 mph
Min pressure: 984 mb
Max sustained: 75 mph


https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhc_at1.xml
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Florence
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphi ... k#contents

Image

Image

Hurricane Florence Discussion Number 41
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
1100 AM AST Sun Sep 09 2018

Satellite images indicate that Florence is strengthening. Deep convection has intensified in the central dense overcast, with hints of a ragged eye in the latest GOES-16 visible channel. The NOAA Hurricane Hunters just flew through the eye, finding 70 kt winds at flight-level and 66 kt from the SFMR. This data confirms that Florence has become a hurricane again, and the initial wind speed is set to 65 kt. The aircraft also found that the minimum pressure has decreased to 984 mb.

Overnight microwave data and the Hurricane Hunter vortex message show that a mostly complete eyewall has formed with Florence. In combination with low vertical wind shear and progressively warmer waters near 29C, this structure is a blueprint for rapid intensification. Almost all of the intensity guidance is showing at least one period of rapid strengthening during the next few days, which is rather rare. The NHC wind speed forecast is raised in the first couple of days following the guidance trend, then is very similar to the previous one. All indications are that Florence will be an extremely dangerous Category 4 hurricane while it moves over the western Atlantic toward the southeastern United States.

Florence continues moving slowly westward, caught between a pair of mid-level ridges over the Atlantic Ocean. A very strong ridge is forecast to build over the northwestern Atlantic during the next few days, which should steer Florence west-northwestward at a much faster forward speed. By Wednesday, the hurricane should turn northwestward, and slow down somewhat due to another ridge forming over the Ohio Valley. It is interesting to note that while the ensemble means from the ECMWF and UKMET are west of the NHC forecast, the strongest members are on the right side of their ensemble envelope. Thus, the new NHC track forecast is very similar to the previous one, and continues to lie between the corrected consensus and consensus aids. The Ohio Valley ridge is concerning because Florence could stop moving pretty quickly around day 5, potentially leading to a serious heavy rain episode and inland flood hazard.

Key Messages:

1. There is an increasing risk of two life-threatening impacts from Florence: storm surge at the coast and freshwater flooding from a prolonged heavy rainfall event inland. While it is too soon to determine the exact timing, location, and magnitude of these impacts, interests at the coast and inland from South Carolina into the mid-Atlantic region should closely monitor the progress of Florence, ensure they have their hurricane plan in place, and follow any advice given by local officials.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 09/1500Z 24.4N 56.3W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 10/0000Z 24.5N 57.4W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 10/1200Z 24.9N 59.3W 95 KT 110 MPH
36H 11/0000Z 25.6N 61.7W 105 KT 120 MPH
48H 11/1200Z 26.4N 64.5W 120 KT 140 MPH
72H 12/1200Z 29.0N 70.8W 125 KT 145 MPH
96H 13/1200Z 32.2N 75.8W 120 KT 140 MPH
120H 14/1200Z 35.0N 78.5W 85 KT 100 MPH...INLAND

$$
Forecaster Blake
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