Remnants of Matthew Inland Over Southern Mexico
- srainhoutx
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Today's 12Z version of the GFS suggests a large Hurricane entering the Gulf SW of Florida...moving NE...
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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- Met Tech
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Very interesting since it's been so consistent in development. I sure hope I can get to the bottom of Josh's Kestrel problem before another chase comes up.srainhoutx wrote:Today's 12Z version of the GFS suggests a large Hurricane entering the Gulf SW of Florida...moving NE...
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What is becoming rather clear is that we will see the genesis of a large storm in the NW Caribbean in the next 6-10 days. Where this cyclone ends up is pure speculation at this point. The worrisome point is that area of the NW Caribbean has a history of spawning some Hurricane names that will not soon be forgotten. We will see what the other guidance offers today.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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- srainhoutx
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I've been thinking about that as well, Cory. Contruction of some sort of 'shield' without affecting the readings and performance of the Kestrel is certainly a challenge.Met Tech wrote:Very interesting since it's been so consistent in development. I sure hope I can get to the bottom of Josh's Kestrel problem before another chase comes up.srainhoutx wrote:Today's 12Z version of the GFS suggests a large Hurricane entering the Gulf SW of Florida...moving NE...
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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- srainhoutx
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12Z Canadian has settled down and now shows development in the SW Caribbean @ 144 hours..
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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Is there anything preventing this storm from heading our way on the upper TX coast?srainhoutx wrote:12Z Canadian has settled down and now shows development in the SW Caribbean @ 144 hours..
What would that mean for the track in the GOM?Met Tech wrote:My model is doing similar to what the CMC was doing before changing its mind today. This is 12Z Sep 25th and it's paralleling Cuba at the time.
http://www.sanfordlabs.com/WRF/caribbean1.png
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I only ran it out to 144 hours, but at the time it was on a track straight for the Gulf. I'm rerunning it out to 180 now just out of curiosity.sambucol wrote:What would that mean for the track in the GOM?
Ok. I'm curious if Texas is possibly at target.Met Tech wrote:I only ran it out to 144 hours, but at the time it was on a track straight for the Gulf. I'm rerunning it out to 180 now just out of curiosity.sambucol wrote:What would that mean for the track in the GOM?