2011 ATL Hurricane Season: Coming to an End

Tropical Weather Discussions and Analysis
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djjordan
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That would be a good sign for development too..... I'm pretty sure the ATL season is about to heat up significantly.
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srainhoutx
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rnmm wrote:It has been renumbered to 91L
Time for a new Topic, then rnmm. You do the Honors... ;)

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_al912011.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201107290409
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 91, 2011, DB, O, 2011072900, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL912011
AL, 91, 2011072800, , BEST, 0, 78N, 326W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2011072806, , BEST, 0, 79N, 343W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2011072812, , BEST, 0, 80N, 361W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2011072818, , BEST, 0, 81N, 378W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2011072900, , BEST, 0, 83N, 395W, 20, 1009, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0,
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rnmm
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srainhoutx wrote:
rnmm wrote:It has been renumbered to 91L
Time for a new Topic, then rnmm. You do the Honors... ;)

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_al912011.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201107290409
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 91, 2011, DB, O, 2011072900, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL912011
AL, 91, 2011072800, , BEST, 0, 78N, 326W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2011072806, , BEST, 0, 79N, 343W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2011072812, , BEST, 0, 80N, 361W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2011072818, , BEST, 0, 81N, 378W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2011072900, , BEST, 0, 83N, 395W, 20, 1009, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0,
Thank you Srain. I added it :D but this weather enthusiast girl has no idea on its exact location so I just put it as 91L :lol:
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srainhoutx
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rnmm wrote:
srainhoutx wrote:
rnmm wrote:It has been renumbered to 91L
Time for a new Topic, then rnmm. You do the Honors... ;)

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_al912011.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201107290409
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 91, 2011, DB, O, 2011072900, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL912011
AL, 91, 2011072800, , BEST, 0, 78N, 326W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2011072806, , BEST, 0, 79N, 343W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2011072812, , BEST, 0, 80N, 361W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2011072818, , BEST, 0, 81N, 378W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2011072900, , BEST, 0, 83N, 395W, 20, 1009, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0,
Thank you Srain. I added it :D but this weather enthusiast girl has no idea on its exact location so I just put it as 91L :lol:

Central Atlantic for the time being will do... :D
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srainhoutx
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The next disturbance rolling off Africa looks to be the threat behind a future Emily. I'd not be surprised to see Franklin in the not to distant future...

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vbhoutex
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That looks like one of the strongest, if not the strongest TW I have ever seen come off of Africa. Definitely bears watching. Can we say hello Cape Verde season?
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vbhoutex wrote:That looks like one of the strongest, if not the strongest TW I have ever seen come off of Africa. Definitely bears watching. Can we say hello Cape Verde season?

Agreed! Things have really ramped up fast lately and I am afraid things won't slow down for a while. This wave should get a Two mention in the next day or so I would expect.
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Ptarmigan
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vbhoutex wrote:That looks like one of the strongest, if not the strongest TW I have ever seen come off of Africa. Definitely bears watching. Can we say hello Cape Verde season?
Future Franklin.
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srainhoutx
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CSU Tropical Update for August is out...
The ENSO-related warming trend in the tropical Pacific has abated, and we are reasonably confident that we will have near-neutral conditions for the remainder of this year’s hurricane season. The combination of the neutral tropical Pacific along with continued warm sea surface temperature anomalies and unusually low sea level pressure anomalies in the tropical Atlantic will likely lead to a very active Atlantic basin hurricane season.

We are also now issuing a separate hurricane forecast for activity in the Caribbean Basin. This forecast is based on a statistical prediction scheme that utilizes 60 years of past data. This model is also predicting a very active season for the Caribbean.
http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Fo ... ug2011.pdf
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srainhoutx
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The 12Z GFS has a robust disturbance heading W across the Atlantic today. That wave is currently E of the African Coast will to splash into the Eastern Atlantic in a couple of days...
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08042011 12Z gfs_atlantic_141_850_vort_ht.gif
08042011 12Z gfs_atlantic_168_850_vort_ht.gif
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