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Extratropical Depression Lee: Inland N Gulf States

Posted: Wed Aug 24, 2011 10:01 am
by djmike
Anyone have any insight on the possible Labor Day weekend Gulf storm Larry Cosgrove has mentioned for several days now in his daily posts? I can't seem to find not one topic about it anywhere! I don't know whether to get my hopes up or not...Thanks

http://www.examiner.com/weather-in-hous ... st-24-2011

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Posted: Wed Aug 24, 2011 10:11 am
by srainhoutx
djmike wrote:Anyone have any insight on the possible Labor Day weekend Gulf storm Larry Cosgrove has mentioned for several days now in his daily posts? I can't seem to find not one topic about it anywhere! I don't know whether to get my hopes up or not...Thanks

http://www.examiner.com/weather-in-hous ... st-24-2011
Day 10 GFS and Euro have suggested some disturbed weather in the NW Caribbean/Southern Gulf. We will see.

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Posted: Wed Aug 24, 2011 1:28 pm
by djmike

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Posted: Fri Aug 26, 2011 9:00 am
by djjordan
Any new model information regarding Labor Day weekend here in SE Texas? I've got a busy outdoors weekend planned that weekend.... I know it's still a week off but any insight from our professionals would help. Thanks everyone.

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Posted: Fri Aug 26, 2011 11:24 am
by djmike
Larry Cosgrove continues to mention it in his daily posts along with a noticable cold front on or around that time frame aswell...Here's the link for todays post.

http://www.examiner.com/weather-in-hous ... st-26-2011

:D

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Posted: Sat Aug 27, 2011 8:39 am
by Katdaddy
New Orleans AFD:

FRI AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND...THE MDLS ARE STRUGGLING IN HOW THEY
HANDLE THE RIDGE AND A POSSIBLE WEAK UPPER LOW OVER TX/WRN GULF. THE
ECMWF AND CANADIAN ARE A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH WITH THE RIDGE AND
STRONGER WITH THE UPPER LOW AND THEN PUSH IT EAST INTO THE GULF.
THIS COULD LEAD TO A WEAK SFC LOW TO DEVELOP IN THE GULF AND COULD
BARE WATCHING. ON THE OTHER HAND THE GFS IS WEAKER WITH THE UPPER
LOW AND THEN RETROGRADES THE MID LVL RIDGE FASTER AND THUS NOT
LEADING TO ANY SFC LOW. LUCKILY THIS IS AT THE BACK END OF THE FCST
SO WE HAVE TIME TO WATCH AND IF ANYTHING DOES DEVELOP IT WOULD BE
NEXT WEEKEND.

Corpus Christi AFD:

AT THIS TIME...WILL WAIT AND SEE WHAT FUTURE MODEL RUNS HAVE IN STORE
FOR SOUTH TEXAS IN THE EXTENDED. ALSO...THESE TWO MODELS TRY TO
DEVELOP SOMETHING TROPICAL IN THE GULF OF MEXICO BEYOND DAY 7 (BOTH
DIFFER ON TIMING AND LOCATION).

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Posted: Sat Aug 27, 2011 2:49 pm
by wxman57
Or possibly a pattern change that might bring some deep Gulf moisture to Texas, along with some rain. Euro now agrees with the GFS in that. No development in the 12Z Euro run.

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Posted: Sat Aug 27, 2011 3:49 pm
by don
12z Euro does show a trough of low pressure along the Texas coast...these have been known to spin up into homebrew storms from time to time...

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Posted: Sat Aug 27, 2011 6:25 pm
by Ptarmigan
wxman57 wrote:Or possibly a pattern change that might bring some deep Gulf moisture to Texas, along with some rain. Euro now agrees with the GFS in that. No development in the 12Z Euro run.
Let's hope that is the case. Rain. :twisted: 8-)

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Posted: Sun Aug 28, 2011 8:04 am
by PaulEInHouston
wxman, correct me if I'm wrong, but the death ridge is progged to weaken and move East/NE towards TN valley, correct? I've seen some say move West but don't think that's the case. East would open up the GOM, especially TX coast for tropical moisture and associated with a weakness along the lower/mid TX coast. The ECMWF has backed off on hintings of BOC development but GFS keeps hinting at BOC/Yucatan/W Carrib?

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Posted: Sun Aug 28, 2011 11:24 am
by hlewis
wait, wait, wait...hold up just a moment... did i just read that a cold front would possibly come through? *Rubs eyes* can someone give this lurker some info on that? simple terms, just tell me what's gonna happen. rain and a cold front? someone pinch me now! :lol: :lol:

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Posted: Sun Aug 28, 2011 12:03 pm
by Ptarmigan
I wonder if it will be a low pressure system or something tropical. Nice to see rain.

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Posted: Sun Aug 28, 2011 3:51 pm
by hlewis
??????????????????????????????????????????

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Posted: Sun Aug 28, 2011 5:02 pm
by ticka1

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Posted: Sun Aug 28, 2011 5:41 pm
by hlewis
Thanks, Ticka...but what is this talk of a cold front from an earlier reply??

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Posted: Sun Aug 28, 2011 7:27 pm
by tireman4
FWIW - ECMWF IS
PUSHING A FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO THE AREA NEXT MONDAY...SOMETHING
THE 06Z GFS WAS ALSO HINTING AT. 47

The cool front?

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Posted: Mon Aug 29, 2011 11:32 am
by srainhoutx
The 12Z GFS is a bit more aggressive today with developing a Western Gulf disturbance. We may need to keep an eye out for a quick spin up and just possibly a depression or tropical storm forming. We will see...

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Posted: Mon Aug 29, 2011 11:40 am
by rnmm
Thank you for that information Srain! As much as I hate hurricane season, this very well could be a very welcome sight around here right now! Not too stong and rain, can't beat that!! IMHO :D

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Posted: Mon Aug 29, 2011 11:46 am
by tireman4
Sraintx, great information as usual. Spot on. I wonder what Wxman 57 thinks of this.

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Posted: Mon Aug 29, 2011 12:08 pm
by srainhoutx
For what it's worth, the Canadian is suggesting a slowing moving TC along the NE Coast of Mexico/S TX bringing copious moisture across the Coastal Plains of TX and LA and showers/storms for inland areas as well.