August 2021: Major Hurricane Ida/SE Louisiana Landfall

[Stratton20]

Don yep looking likely that we have another potential system to track soon

[DoctorMu]

Jasons2k I wouldnt say that just yet, until the upper texas coast is out of the cone, its not all clear just yet

Monday’s forecast: hot and dry.

Really hot.

[tireman4]

The latest briefing on TD Nine from HGX

[captainbarbossa19]

I am starting to get 2008 vibes this season now.

[sambucol]

I am starting to get 2008 vibes this season now.

Why? I thought the models are showing it heading away from us?

[captainbarbossa19]

I am starting to get 2008 vibes this season now.

Why? I thought the models are showing it heading away from us?

They are generally. I just think that this will not be the last threat and the next one might be a direct hit. This is reminding me of Gustav before Ike.

[srainhoutx]

RECON in the air.

[Cpv17]

Man that next storm looks nasty!! Like Scott was saying a few days back, that one could have big potential.

[don]

I am starting to get 2008 vibes this season now.

Why? I thought the models are showing it heading away from us?

They are generally. I just think that this will not be the last threat and the next one might be a direct hit. This is reminding me of Gustav before Ike.

FWIW 2008 is one of the analogs for this years season.

[Waded]

I feel bad for Louisiana. 5 storms last year, and here they are getting another one. Can't catch a break.

[tireman4]

Wxman 57 on S2K

Not much time to post. I have Cat 3 landfall south of Morgan City around 6pm Sunday. I'm east of TVCN (consensus) and a little faster, thinking consensus is shifting east of Vermilion Bay. Need to get this one inland before the big Labor Day Hurricane hits Louisiana the Tuesday after Labor Day (GFS).

[Kingwood36]

Wxman 57 on S2K

Not much time to post. I have Cat 3 landfall south of Morgan City around 6pm Sunday. I'm east of TVCN (consensus) and a little faster, thinking consensus is shifting east of Vermilion Bay. Need to get this one inland before the big Labor Day Hurricane hits Louisiana the Tuesday after Labor Day (GFS).

Wait..we have another coming after labor day?

[don]

Wxman 57 on S2K

Not much time to post. I have Cat 3 landfall south of Morgan City around 6pm Sunday. I'm east of TVCN (consensus) and a little faster, thinking consensus is shifting east of Vermilion Bay. Need to get this one inland before the big Labor Day Hurricane hits Louisiana the Tuesday after Labor Day (GFS).

Wait..we have another coming after labor day?

Possibly, the GFS and CMC are already picking up on TC genesis as early as next Wednesday in the northwest caribbean like TD 9.

[Stratton20]

Kingwood36 I assume hea talking about the storms that the GFS is showing around day 8-10 after IDA, dont know why hes claiming its going to hit Lousiana when that literally is 11 days out on the model

[don]

Kingwood36 I assume hea talking about the storms that the GFS is showing around day 8-10 after IDA, dont know why hes claiming its going to hit Lousiana when that literally is 11 days out on the model

He was being sarcastic...

[weatherguy425]

Kingwood36 I assume hea talking about the storms that the GFS is showing around day 8-10 after IDA, dont know why hes claiming its going to hit Lousiana when that literally is 11 days out on the model

He was being sarcastic...

[Stratton20]

Ah gotcha lol, sarcasm is hard to pick up on social media a lol

[225forlyfe]

Kingwood36 I assume hea talking about the storms that the GFS is showing around day 8-10 after IDA, dont know why hes claiming its going to hit Lousiana when that literally is 11 days out on the model

He was being a smart ***. He has a dry sense of humor. The GFS spins up systems all the time, the GEFS shows nothing ATM. He was trying to be funny.

[Stratton20]

225forlyfe ah gotcha haha, I dont follow his twitter account ao I didnt know if he was joking or being serious lol

[Andrew]

The 12Z ECMWF is a little faster with TD Nine and a tad weaker. Makes it a little further west which would be a better solution compared to the GFS for NOLA region