September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Rip76
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I fully agree.
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sambucol
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Is this winter supposed to be cold or colder than normal? I hope so.
Stratton20
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Interesting to see moderate chance for TC formation along the Texas coast next week(15th-21)
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Kingwood36
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sambucol wrote: Wed Sep 08, 2021 1:46 pm Is this winter supposed to be cold or colder than normal? I hope so.
I hope so to! I'd rather it be cold and be without power then be hotter than hell and without power..last years freeze wasn't that bad..just a bunch of spoiled texans lol jk
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DoctorMu
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Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Sep 08, 2021 1:51 pm
sambucol wrote: Wed Sep 08, 2021 1:46 pm Is this winter supposed to be cold or colder than normal? I hope so.
I hope so to! I'd rather it be cold and be without power then be hotter than hell and without power..last years freeze wasn't that bad..just a bunch of spoiled texans lol jk
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sambucol
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Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Sep 08, 2021 1:51 pm
sambucol wrote: Wed Sep 08, 2021 1:46 pm Is this winter supposed to be cold or colder than normal? I hope so.
I hope so to! I'd rather it be cold and be without power then be hotter than hell and without power..last years freeze wasn't that bad..just a bunch of spoiled texans lol jk
I agree! I hope we have a really cold winter.
Stratton20
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12z Euro is concerning, granted it keeps the “worst of the accumulations” well to the west of us, but showing the potential for some nasty accumulation totals
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Stormlover2020
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Euro been bad all year
Stratton20
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StormLover2020 this is a rainfall projection map, the Euro is only bad with tropical cyclogensis ...... Considering the GFS also has some excessive amounts of rain next week, with a bullsye of 12 inches, the Euro absolutely cannot be discredited here
Stormlover2020
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Stratton20 wrote: Wed Sep 08, 2021 3:44 pm StormLover2020 this is a rainfall projection map, the Euro is only bad with tropical cyclogensis ...... Considering the GFS also has some excessive amounts of rain next week, with a bullsye of 12 inches, the Euro absolutely cannot be discredited here
Gfs been way more consistent, euro has been back and forth the last 3 runs..I’m with the gfs right now.. now euro ensembles is towards gfs
Stratton20
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StormLover2020 we will see, both the Euro and GFS are in agreement that someone could see excessive rainfall next week , it just happens that one model shows a higher and uglier rainfall amount , at least we have that, but amounts obviously will continue to change by both models
Stormlover2020
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Lol earlier u said prob wasn’t going to happen, u like to model hump a lot
Cpv17
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Stormlover2020 wrote: Wed Sep 08, 2021 4:14 pm Lol earlier u said prob wasn’t going to happen, u like to model hump a lot
It still might not happen. I believe by Friday we’ll know a lot more.
Stratton20
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CPV17 thats exactly what I was saying lol, but the fact that the euro and GFS both show the potential for excessive rain totals somewhere in Texas is concerning
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MontgomeryCoWx
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sambucol wrote: Wed Sep 08, 2021 1:46 pm Is this winter supposed to be cold or colder than normal? I hope so.
The first couple I've seen has us at normal precip and colder than normal. I'm leaving this heat hell hole tomorrow morning and headed to the mountains. Lows around 50 and highs around 70.
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srainhoutx
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Sep 08, 2021 5:58 pm
sambucol wrote: Wed Sep 08, 2021 1:46 pm Is this winter supposed to be cold or colder than normal? I hope so.
The first couple I've seen has us at normal precip and colder than normal. I'm leaving this heat hell hole tomorrow morning and headed to the mountains. Lows around 50 and highs around 70.
Another cold front just passed my back yard. Lows in the upper 40’s to the low 50’s the next several nights and highs in the low to mid 70's. Enjoy!
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MontgomeryCoWx
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srainhoutx wrote: Wed Sep 08, 2021 6:04 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Sep 08, 2021 5:58 pm
sambucol wrote: Wed Sep 08, 2021 1:46 pm Is this winter supposed to be cold or colder than normal? I hope so.
The first couple I've seen has us at normal precip and colder than normal. I'm leaving this heat hell hole tomorrow morning and headed to the mountains. Lows around 50 and highs around 70.
Another cold front just passed my back yard. Lows in the upper 40’s to the low 50’s the next several nights and highs in the low to mid 70's. Enjoy!
You live in such a beautiful area. My parents lived there for 10 years in the Tri-Cities area.
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Stratton20
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srainhoutx lucky!! I would take low to mid 70’s for highs anyday! Unfortunately just the same ole heat here:(
Kingwood36
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Starting to get darker sooner..sign that fall is quickly approaching
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Rip76
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Looking out my back window today, I said to myself “that angle of the sun is fall.”
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