November 2021

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Iceresistance
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70s & 80s are expected across Oklahoma next week, I thought that Summer was over, but I'm guessing it's going to have one last stand before it finally gives out.
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snowman65
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looking like a long, warm, boring winter season. shorts and t shirts will be the outfit of choice this season.
Iceresistance
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snowman65 wrote: Sat Nov 13, 2021 8:40 pm looking like a long, warm, boring winter season. shorts and t shirts will be the outfit of choice this season.
Don't take it for granted though, the same mindset was also in place last winter, & then February 2021 came . . .
Last edited by Iceresistance on Sat Nov 13, 2021 9:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Stratton20
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Snowman65 Im gonna have to stop you right there. 1. Its still fall.. and 2. We still will get cold shots in the winter, t-shirts and shorts will not be the norm in winter
Cromagnum
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Ah...the typical year of no Texas fall. 80 degree weather got old a long time ago.
TXWeatherMan
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Am I crazy or have we actually had decent fall weather this year? We live in Southeast Texas, we’re gonna have warm days in fall and winter.
Cpv17
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TXWeatherMan wrote: Sun Nov 14, 2021 1:10 pm Am I crazy or have we actually had decent fall weather this year? We live in Southeast Texas, we’re gonna have warm days in fall and winter.
I completely agree. Been a pretty normal fall to me so far.
Cpv17
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Ugh, I really hope the PNA doesn’t screw us out of this cold.
Stratton20
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CPV17 well its about 10 days out on the Euro with the cold so their definitely will be a lot of time for this to change
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Sun Nov 14, 2021 1:42 pm CPV17 well its about 10 days out on the Euro with the cold so their definitely will be a lot of time for this to change
I’ve noticed many times on the models that they originally have the cold going east of us only to correct back west as it gets closer.
Iceresistance
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Nov 14, 2021 1:57 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Sun Nov 14, 2021 1:42 pm CPV17 well its about 10 days out on the Euro with the cold so their definitely will be a lot of time for this to change
I’ve noticed many times on the models that they originally have the cold going east of us only to correct back west as it gets closer.
At least the Euro is hinting this as well
Stratton20
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CPV17 exactly! This will likely change, trying to forecast where arctic air will go 10 days out is next to impossible lol, fingers crossed it comes back west
Kingwood36
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Doesn't the models loose the cold air because it's dense? Or shallow..or whatever lol
Iceresistance
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Kingwood36 wrote: Sun Nov 14, 2021 2:14 pm Doesn't the models loose the cold air because it's dense? Or shallow..or whatever lol
Or it's giving the models a fit.
Stratton20
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Arctic air always gives the models a problem haha
Cpv17
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Kingwood36 wrote: Sun Nov 14, 2021 2:14 pm Doesn't the models loose the cold air because it's dense? Or shallow..or whatever lol
Something like that. I’d like to hear a refresher on that.
Kingwood36
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So did the models just drop that fantasy artic air?
Iceresistance
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Kingwood36 wrote: Sun Nov 14, 2021 4:59 pm So did the models just drop that fantasy artic air?
Yes, the GFS (Still pending for 18z Model run) & Euro models are dropping the Arctic Hammer in the Eastern Side of the CONUS right now.
Stratton20
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The 18z GFS has shifted the arctic air back to the west alibeit 11 days out, as I continue to say, expect changes in each model run day by day
Iceresistance
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Stratton20 wrote: Sun Nov 14, 2021 5:49 pm The 18z GFS has shifted the arctic air back to the west alibeit 11 days out, as I continue to say, expect changes in each model run day by day
It's already showing a winter storm for Oklahoma Next Thursday-Saturday.
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