December 2021

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Kingwood36
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Looks like Lucy is getting the football ready...lol
Iceresistance
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 3:30 pm Iceresistance we will have to keep our fingers crossed!🤞
Model consistency is key for this winter, that's how we got the Extreme Cold & Snow in February 2021, the models hinted it up to 15 days away!
Iceresistance
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Kingwood36 wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 3:33 pm Looks like Lucy is getting the football ready...lol
I knew that someone was going to say that, LOL
Stratton20
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Iceresistance that is true! I definitely hope for some cold and wintry precip weather this winter, but preferably not of the magnitute that we had in february haha
Kingwood36
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Iceresistance wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 3:38 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 3:33 pm Looks like Lucy is getting the football ready...lol
I knew that someone was going to say that, LOL
It always happens..lol I hope not..but I won't start getting excited till Monday or Tuesday
Iceresistance
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Kingwood36 wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 3:39 pm
Iceresistance wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 3:38 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 3:33 pm Looks like Lucy is getting the football ready...lol
I knew that someone was going to say that, LOL
It always happens..lol I hope not..but I won't start getting excited till Monday or Tuesday
Well, if the Football gets kicked, RUN
Kingwood36
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:lol:
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Stratton20
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😂😂Haha thats a classic, never gets old
Iceresistance
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18z GFS clearly showing +PNA for the cold blast in Early December.
Stratton20
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Iceresistance is that a good or bad thing for us?
Iceresistance
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 5:15 pm Iceresistance is that a good or bad thing for us?
Remember that a +PNA means that the Cold Air gets pushed more towards the East Coast?
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 5:15 pm Iceresistance is that a good or bad thing for us?
We want a neutral PNA.
Stratton20
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Ah gotcha well im putting my money on a neutral PNA, im not buying the GFS, its too far east, the euro has a more neutral pna solution
Iceresistance
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 5:58 pm Ah gotcha well im putting my money on a neutral PNA, im not buying the GFS, its too far east, the euro has a more neutral pna solution
So did the 12z GFS . . .
Stratton20
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Iceresistance its 12+ days out, its going to change alot, im not gonna put a whole lot of trust into the PNA right now, especially since the 12z Euro favors a more neutral pna phase,
Iceresistance
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The CFS is still very consistent with the December Cold Wave Round #2 (And maybe #3) around Christmas Week, & it has finally jumped up with the Euro on the Chilly Blast on the 12z run (It's behind every model run by 1 run time)
Iceresistance
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0z GFS has a more Neutral PNA on the first cold wave compared to the 18z GFS
Iceresistance
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The 6z GFS is featuring POWERFUL Highs in December.

1067 MB & 1060 MB at the same time
Image

Another 1059 MB, over Montana
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The Powerful Blocks over Alaska & Greenland will do the trick.
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Very Cold Air comes screaming in with these Powerful Highs
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3 BIG Winter Storms are also in play
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24-Hour Kuchera Ratio Snowfall
Image
Kingwood36
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Nothing even remotely close to snow down here lol...yet
Iceresistance
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0z Euro has a more positive PNA
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