January 2022

[sambucol]

I’m getting the things ready to cover the garden. Don’t want to lose the tomatoes!

[sswinney]

Kim Castro mentioned it on the noon KHOU broadcast.

[Kingwood36]

Kim Castro mentioned it on the noon KHOU broadcast.

Very quick maybe like 2 seconds..shows they are not confident yet but atleast it was a mention

[sambucol]

Kim Castro mentioned it on the noon KHOU broadcast.

Very quick maybe like 2 seconds..shows they are not confident yet but atleast it was a mention

And so it begins. Panic shopping at H‑E‑B.

[Stratton20]

18z NAM, coming in a bit more aggressive with wintry precip

[don]

Yep 18Z NAM has heavier precip in this run with temps for most of the area in the mid to low 30s.Looking at the soundings it has a small pocket of subfreezing air just above the surface (which is a sleet profile) Its close to showing an all sleet storm.

[Stratton20]

Don this would be nasty if the Nam verifies

[Kingwood36]

I'll take some sleet! You can keep the frz rain tho if that were to happen

[Kingwood36]

This stuff is supposed to push east right? Comes right over us?

[Kingwood36]

They bought in...will hou?

[don]

The 18Z ICON is onboard now.Shows a sleet storm.

[Kingwood36]

Is that sleet all the way to the coast as well?

[don]

Yes it eventually brings some sleet to the coast, but in this range i wouldn't pay too much attention to precip type and placement until atleast within 48 hours.Just the fact that it shows this setup is more important in this range.

[Stratton20]

the operational gfs continues to be hot garbage, i think we should discard this model

[Kingwood36]

the operational gfs continues to be hot garbage, i think we should discard this model

It probably won't come into agreement till Thursday morning lol

[mcheer23]

Less 18z GEFS members showed winter precip, and it also ran about 4 to 8 degrees warmer on Friday. We’ll see if this is a trend or just one run.

[Iceresistance]

the operational gfs continues to be hot garbage, i think we should discard this model

Or better yet, place it as "Do not trust" Category.

[Stratton20]

I will say i am not liking the 18z GEFS trend just like mcheer said, i hope its a. one time run and not a trend

[Kingwood36]

I will say i am not liking the 18z GEFS trend just like mcheer said, i hope its a. one time run and not a trend

Probably just a bad run..let's see what tonight holds..it's common for them to lose it

[Stratton20]

Kingwood36 I really hope so man because quite a few 18z GEFS members dropped this system