Long range model discussion
Re: Long range model discussion
This time of the year and into June we see a lot of crossovers from the EPAC and the Euro seems to be favoring the EPAC right now for possible consolidation/genesis if anything comes out of this. Regardless, at least it’s something to watch.
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Re: Long range model discussion
Lol the 18z GFS had too much whisky
stalls a cat 4 in the middle of the GOM and just keeps it their haha before eventually heading towards Louisiana


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Re: Long range model discussion
The 12Z ECMWF ensembles suggests the possibility of a Western Caribbean disturbance. We do not discourage discussions of potential tropical mischief on our Forum. There are plenty of folks that monitor our discussions here on Wx Infinity. Carry on...
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Re: Long range model discussion
Just sayin'


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Re: Long range model discussion
12z GEFS continues to signal for some early season development around days 7-9, the GFS operational runs are still pretty crazy, EPS still not that aggressive though, still bears watching as a favorable phase of the MJO and an active CCKW will be passing through during that time, could make things interesting
Re: Long range model discussion
The GFS Fantasy now slams through Gainesville, FL on May 24.
Re: Long range model discussion
The latest superblend rainfall anomaly from the UKMET+ECMWF for the August through October time period is favoring the central Gulf states for a lot of rain. The western Gulf and Texas looks high and dry.
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Re: Long range model discussion
Cpv17 that is so far though, id take that with a massive grain of salt
Re: Long range model discussion
Yeah I know but with how dry it’s been and the feedback loop were stuck in, it wouldn’t surprise me. I could see that verifying.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Fri May 13, 2022 11:23 pmCpv17 that is so far though, id take that with a massive grain of salt
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Re: Long range model discussion
Cpv17 Lets hope not! Its already bad enough in west texas