Long range model discussion

[Cpv17]

This time of the year and into June we see a lot of crossovers from the EPAC and the Euro seems to be favoring the EPAC right now for possible consolidation/genesis if anything comes out of this. Regardless, at least it’s something to watch.

[Stratton20]

Lol the 18z GFS had too much whisky stalls a cat 4 in the middle of the GOM and just keeps it their haha before eventually heading towards Louisiana

[srainhoutx]

The 12Z ECMWF ensembles suggests the possibility of a Western Caribbean disturbance. We do not discourage discussions of potential tropical mischief on our Forum. There are plenty of folks that monitor our discussions here on Wx Infinity. Carry on...

[DoctorMu]

Just sayin'

[Stratton20]

12z GEFS continues to signal for some early season development around days 7-9, the GFS operational runs are still pretty crazy, EPS still not that aggressive though, still bears watching as a favorable phase of the MJO and an active CCKW will be passing through during that time, could make things interesting

[DoctorMu]

The GFS Fantasy now slams through Gainesville, FL on May 24.

[Cpv17]

The latest superblend rainfall anomaly from the UKMET+ECMWF for the August through October time period is favoring the central Gulf states for a lot of rain. The western Gulf and Texas looks high and dry.

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 that is so far though, id take that with a massive grain of salt

[Cpv17]

Cpv17 that is so far though, id take that with a massive grain of salt

Yeah I know but with how dry it’s been and the feedback loop were stuck in, it wouldn’t surprise me. I could see that verifying.

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 Lets hope not! Its already bad enough in west texas