December 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cpv17
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 9:58 am Image

0z EPS
This is an ensemble mean. Expect those pinks to be much further south in reality as we move closer towards the event. That is one heck of a signal for being that far out.
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snowman65
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Thats pretty impressive if it happens.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Cpv17 wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 10:24 am
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 9:58 am Image

0z EPS
This is an ensemble mean. Expect those pinks to be much further south in reality as we move closer towards the event. That is one heck of a signal for being that far out.
Correct. An ensemble mean of 37 (daily) for me is damn cold.
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Stratton20
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12z GFS and CMC are very very cold
Cpv17
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 10:32 am
Cpv17 wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 10:24 am
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 9:58 am Image

0z EPS
This is an ensemble mean. Expect those pinks to be much further south in reality as we move closer towards the event. That is one heck of a signal for being that far out.
Correct. An ensemble mean of 37 (daily) for me is damn cold.
I mean 37 is cold for a high don’t get me wrong but we just had low to mid 40’s for highs in mid/late November. You could argue that being more impressive than 37 for a high in late December.
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jasons2k
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user:null wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 1:51 am
jasons2k wrote: Thu Dec 08, 2022 5:36 pmI’ve been away for awhile. I’m back and enjoying the last bit of warm weather for awhile it seems. Christmas period could get interesting.
I haven't been active awhile, but noticed from the November thread that you shifted to the Hawaii option compared to the previous Florida.
Howdy there - we’ll see how things pan out. I have a lot of ties to Florida so we may end-up with property in multiple states. Nothing beats the weather in Hawaii though. Never gets too hot and never gets too cold.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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jasons2k wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 11:12 am
user:null wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 1:51 am
jasons2k wrote: Thu Dec 08, 2022 5:36 pmI’ve been away for awhile. I’m back and enjoying the last bit of warm weather for awhile it seems. Christmas period could get interesting.
I haven't been active awhile, but noticed from the November thread that you shifted to the Hawaii option compared to the previous Florida.
Howdy there - we’ll see how things pan out. I have a lot of ties to Florida so we may end-up with property in multiple states. Nothing beats the weather in Hawaii though. Never gets too hot and never gets too cold.
Very true and you can ski in Hawaii at times !!
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snowman65
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what the frick??? lol. 10 inches here for Christmas lolol
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sambucol
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snowman65 wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 11:17 am what the frick??? lol. 10 inches here for Christmas lolol
Make it so!!!!
Stratton20
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Remember that 10 inches isnt all snow, thats a mix of snow sleet and ice
brazoriatx
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I'd do 10"..he'll or even a trace would work for me.
I may even share with those north of hwy 1*5...maybe..hahahahab :lol:
brazoriatx
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Hmmm.. this looks fun
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jasons2k
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I experienced a white Christmas one time. 1997 - Lubbock, TX. Had a girlfriend still at Tech and went to visit her for Christmas. Went to see Titanic Christmas night. Came outside to about 6” of heavy snow falling. It was magical.
Cpv17
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brazoriatx wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 11:28 am Hmmm.. this looks fun
Yes it does. Sign me up!
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sambucol
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brazoriatx wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 11:28 am Hmmm.. this looks fun
Are those temps actual temps or “feels like” temps?
brazoriatx
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sambucol wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 11:35 am
brazoriatx wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 11:28 am Hmmm.. this looks fun
Are those temps actual temps or “feels like” temps?
I believe actual..someone correct me if I'm wrong
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MontgomeryCoWx
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sambucol wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 11:35 am
brazoriatx wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 11:28 am Hmmm.. this looks fun
Are those temps actual temps or “feels like” temps?
Actual
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Cpv17
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sambucol wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 11:35 am
brazoriatx wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 11:28 am Hmmm.. this looks fun
Are those temps actual temps or “feels like” temps?
Feels like temps would probably be in the negatives.
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sambucol
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Holy smokes!!! Those are some cold temps along the upper Tx coast and SETX! Does the GFS have a good track record seeing what’s coming and forecasting when it comes to cold intrusions?
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snowman65
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surely those temps cant actually happen here.. surely.
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