December 2022
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MontgomeryCoWx
- Posts: 2360
- Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
- Location: Weimar, TX
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Looks like Houston stations hugging ensembles right now which is logical. They are becoming bullish though.
Team #NeverSummer
Well, I’m getting it now! Heavy downpours!
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Stratton20
- Posts: 4345
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
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Well the GFS 00z has a storm system moving in on christmas eve producing light snow lol
We’ll take it lolStratton20 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 11:11 pm Well the GFS 00z has a storm system moving in on christmas eve producing light snow lol
0z GFS gives me 1” of snow on Christmas Eve. Will gladly take it and be more than happy about it.
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Stratton20
- Posts: 4345
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- Location: College Station, Texas
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00z Euro is hot dog 
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txsnowmaker
- Posts: 632
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- Location: SW Houston (Galleria area)
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What does that mean?
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Stratton20
- Posts: 4345
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- Location: College Station, Texas
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txsnowmaker it shoves all the cold air off to the east of us, has to be a garbage run
Tornadoes in LA tonight. Hope damage is minimal and no lives are at risk. I hate night tornadoes.
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Harveyvsallison
- Posts: 51
- Joined: Fri Jun 11, 2021 3:39 pm
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Yes, models are trending warmer and more east with cold air. Season canceled !!!! Try again in a decade
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Harveyvsallison
- Posts: 51
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Temps could be in the 90’s on Christmas at the rate of trendsStratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 14, 2022 1:47 am txsnowmaker it shoves all the cold air off to the east of us, has to be a garbage run
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brazoriatx
- Posts: 332
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I think it was one bad run. It should correct itself I dont see this cold air being pushed to the east and us being in the 90s next week
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brazoriatx
- Posts: 332
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From the professor on s2k..
Models are trying to break down the EPO ridge and develop a PNA ridge instead. Problem is that their own teleconnection forecast doesn't support that. A slightly positive PNA won't override a strongly negative EPO. On top of that they keep sliding the storm east when you have a 1050+ surface high in Canada. The position of the high east and southeast of the storm acts as a block. The storm can't go east, it has to go south. The models are being stupid right now so don't fret
Models are trying to break down the EPO ridge and develop a PNA ridge instead. Problem is that their own teleconnection forecast doesn't support that. A slightly positive PNA won't override a strongly negative EPO. On top of that they keep sliding the storm east when you have a 1050+ surface high in Canada. The position of the high east and southeast of the storm acts as a block. The storm can't go east, it has to go south. The models are being stupid right now so don't fret
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Stormlover2020
- Posts: 457
- Joined: Mon Jun 01, 2020 6:04 pm
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It’s wed and y’all are model jumping like crazy lol, let’s wait till Sunday or Monday
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tireman4
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Remember, and I have been on the fence in this with Wxman57 ( not the cold, but the intensity of it) one run does not make a forecast. It is the ensembles and the trend. 5 days out is usually a good starting point.
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Harveyvsallison
- Posts: 51
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Season is canceled, looking like record highs for Christmas. Could be a 100 degrees. Buy your water now it’s going to get hotbrazoriatx wrote: ↑Wed Dec 14, 2022 5:57 am I think it was one bad run. It should correct itself I dont see this cold air being pushed to the east and us being in the 90s next week
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brazoriatx
- Posts: 332
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K...Harveyvsallison wrote: ↑Wed Dec 14, 2022 7:01 amSeason is canceled, looking like record highs for Christmas. Could be a 100 degrees. Buy your water now it’s going to get hotbrazoriatx wrote: ↑Wed Dec 14, 2022 5:57 am I think it was one bad run. It should correct itself I dont see this cold air being pushed to the east and us being in the 90s next week
