Long range model discussion

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Stratton20
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Yes, nothing severe, but march is going to be cooler than normal
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sambucol
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Better than hotter than normal. I’ll take it!
Stratton20
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Thats quite some impressive blocking setting up over Alaska on the Euro
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Sun Feb 26, 2023 1:45 pm Thats quite some impressive blocking setting up over Alaska on the Euro
The CPC still has us with above normal temps for the next two weeks. Trash.
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snowman65
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We are going to be in Branson, MO Mar 12-17. Is that an arctic blast hitting there during that time??? Please tell me no.. lol
Stratton20
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Cpv17 look at the past several CPC outlooks, its getting better every update, i think those below normal temps are going to win out, heck NOAA went all in on the 3-4 week march outlook being cooler than normal across the entire state, EPO, NAO and AO all go negative
Stratton20
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lol 12z GFS😂😂
Stratton20
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12z Euro😁 talk about heavenly!
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Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Wed Mar 01, 2023 1:34 pm 12z Euro😁 talk about heavenly!
Damn!!
Stratton20
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Cpv17 yeah its got the attention of POW ponder, would this be something? A snowy start to spring break in SE texas😁😁, MJO going into PHASE 8 definitely does support the chance for a southern slider event
kyzsl51
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Stratton20 wrote: Wed Mar 01, 2023 2:06 pm Cpv17 yeah its got the attention of POW ponder, would this be something? A snowy start to spring break in SE texas😁😁, MJO going into PHASE 8 definitely does support the chance for a southern slider event
I love how how your holding on to whatever hope of anymore cool weather that comes down this way! It will definitely be a long summer lol
Stratton20
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kyzsl51 not hoping, colder weather is coming, their is way more than enough support and evidence to back up my comments, and again a warmer than normal february doesnt mean the summer is going to be brutal especially with El Nino coming back
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Wed Mar 01, 2023 9:57 pm kyzsl51 not hoping, colder weather is coming, their is way more than enough support and evidence to back up my comments, and again a warmer than normal february doesnt mean the summer is going to be brutal especially with El Nino coming back
Yeah it’s definitely going to get cold. The question is how cold?
Stratton20
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Cpv17 thats the big question, i will say the EPS and the operational euro are by far the most aggressive with the cold air, GEFS still chilly but not as cold, GEPS still chilly as well, at least we have agreement, it will be interesting to see the overnight Euro, that 12z run blew up all over social media haha
the CPC has over half the state in at least a slight chance for hazardous temperatures between the 9-14th
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sambucol
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Yep. Pow Ponder is talking about it!
kyzsl51
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Hope so! would love one more weekend with lows in the 30s and highs in the 50s!
Stratton20
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kyzsl51 might be around longer than a weekend, pattern looks to lock in for at least 5-7 days maybe longer
Stratton20
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Lol the 18z GFS has a rain/snow mix on the 13/14th for prta of central and se texas, interesting pattern ahead
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sambucol
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That would be awesome!!!
Stratton20
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That CPC outlook is going to bust miserably
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