October 2023

[tireman4]

The first truly fall month. Will it start hot, normal or cool? Will it rain? We shall see.

[Cpv17]

The first truly fall month. Will it start hot, normal or cool? Will it rain? We shall see.

Watch for the potential of a pretty significant front mid to late October.

[Stratton20]

Rainy and cooler than normal looks like a pretty good bet

[DoctorMu]

Word of the month: FROPA

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Fall Severe Weather season engage!

Maybe some 30s/40s late month around Halloween

[Ptarmigan]

El Nino in October is often wet. There have been floods.

[DoctorMu]

El Nino in October is often wet. There have been floods.

Need an EPAC tropical system to feed the SJT firehose. Oct. 1994 (Hurricane Rosa remnants), for example.

https://abc13.com/river-fire-flood-san- ... o%20River.


https://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/fs-073-94/pdf/FS-94-073.pdf

https://www.chron.com/neighborhood/arti ... 737148.php

[Cpv17]

Rain chances on the rise as we enter October!

[DoctorMu]

Around 100° around the Autumnal Equinox.

That's just wrong.

[Stratton20]

Seeing some hints on the globals at our first real fall front around the 5th-7th timeframe in october, we will see

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Seeing some hints on the globals at our first real fall front around the 5th-7th timeframe in october, we will see

Just in time for the Bama game. 230 kick so let’s get some dry air and 80s….

[Ptarmigan]

Heavy rain next week? Too early to tell.

[Cpv17]

Seeing some hints on the globals at our first real fall front around the 5th-7th timeframe in october, we will see

Just in time for the Bama game. 230 kick so let’s get some dry air and 80s….

I’ll be there again!

[Stratton20]

gfs and CMC are hinting at our first potential major fall front in the 10-12 day period fwiw

[Pas_Bon]

gfs and CMC are hinting at our first potential major fall front in the 10-12 day period fwiw

Even though you’re an eaTme fan, I thank you for this information.

[Cpv17]

gfs and CMC are hinting at our first potential major fall front in the 10-12 day period fwiw

Even though you’re an eaTme fan, I thank you for this information.

I plan on going to the A&M vs LSU game in Baton Rouge at the end of the season. I hope it’s a night game so I can get the full experience of that crazy atmosphere.

[Stratton20]

Now the Euro is starting to see a potential stronger fall front at the end of its run, we shall see

[Pas_Bon]

gfs and CMC are hinting at our first potential major fall front in the 10-12 day period fwiw

Even though you’re an eaTme fan, I thank you for this information.

I plan on going to the A&M vs LSU game in Baton Rouge at the end of the season. I hope it’s a night game so I can get the full experience of that crazy atmosphere.

It will be an experience you will not forget.

[Ptarmigan]

Shifting pattern in the horizon for the North Pacific? A more El Nino pattern?

[Ptarmigan]

Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)
Negative-Warm water around Japan. Cool water off the West Coast of America.
Positive-Cool water around Japan. Warm water off the West Coast of America.



PDO does have an affect similar to El Nino or La Nina.

Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/pdo/

We are currently in negative PDO. Strong El Nino can drive PDO into positive territory.