January 2024

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:12 pm Euro shows a winter storm setup, and its likely still too warm, but sheesh that CMC run is a doosy!🥶
That CMC run might have even been colder than Feb 21.
Dls2010r
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I’ll start wrapping the pipes. Ty!!
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Dls2010r wrote: Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:28 pm I’ll start wrapping the pipes. Ty!!
Regardless of this pattern coming up, it’s good to do that every Winter.

I have an atmospheric water generator in build form right now that I will need to insulate.
Team #NeverSummer
Cpv17
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don wrote: Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:59 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:48 pm
don wrote: Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:45 pm Latest mesoscale models are only showing isolated severe storms at best. 12Z EURO getting colder .🥶
And that’s still way warmer than what the ICON and CMC have.
Yikes! 🥶

Image
Never seen that model before.
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don
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:46 pm
don wrote: Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:59 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:48 pm

And that’s still way warmer than what the ICON and CMC have.
Yikes! 🥶
Never seen that model before.
The GDPS is the CMC/Canadian model.
Last edited by don on Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Stratton20
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Thats as cold of a run as ive seen since the February 2021 event, absolutely brutal, you get any precipitation with that kind of cold and you’re in big trouble, even without precipitation that would put a serious strain on the grid
Last edited by Stratton20 on Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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sambucol
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Dls2010r wrote: Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:28 pm I’ll start wrapping the pipes. Ty!!
That’s what we are doing today.
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sambucol
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Stratton20 wrote: Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:52 pm Thats as cold of a run as ive seen since the February 2021 event, absolutely brutal, you get any precipitation with that kind of cold and you’re in big trouble, even without precipitation that would put a serious strain on the grid
And count on power outages
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sambucol
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Tractor Supply last night had Mr Buddy heaters on sale. Just letting y’all know.
Cpv17
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don wrote: Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:52 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:46 pm
don wrote: Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:59 pm

Yikes! 🥶
Never seen that model before.
The GDPS is the CMC/Canadian model.
Oh okay, thanks lol
Cpv17
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Dang, Texans won their division lol crazy!
TexasBreeze
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Cleveland comes to our house now!!!
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tireman4
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It might be a bit bumpy tomorrow
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snowman65
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jan 07, 2024 3:25 pm Dang, Texans won their division lol crazy!
From a Titans fan, you're welcome lol
Cromagnum
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tireman4 wrote: Sun Jan 07, 2024 3:36 pm It might be a bit bumpy tomorrow
Maybe for the squall line. All the discreet stuff is mostly gonna be out east of us if current models hold.
Cpv17
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Cromagnum wrote: Sun Jan 07, 2024 3:52 pm
tireman4 wrote: Sun Jan 07, 2024 3:36 pm It might be a bit bumpy tomorrow
Maybe for the squall line. All the discreet stuff is mostly gonna be out east of us if current models hold.
Yeah I’m not worried about tomorrow.
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don
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Of course, take this with a big grain of salt. But the GFS,CMC,ICON and EURO are close to showing a statewide winter storm setup around the 16th. Just need the shortwave they show to slow down and dig a little bit more to the south before ejecting. I bring this up just because this is the first time this season that I feel that enough pieces are showing up in the medium- long range for me to say that there is a non-zero chance of a winter storm around the middle of the month, with the secondary surge of arctic air. Of course, we'll have to watch trends in the models and real time data as the week continues to see if those chances go up from the "non-zero territory".Stay tuned....
Last edited by don on Sun Jan 07, 2024 5:35 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Cpv17
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Today’s 12z CMC:

Image

Wowzers! :shock:
brazoriatx
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When Don starts to mention it I start tonpay attention a little more
Stratton20
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Cpv17 heres comes the invasion of Barney!😄
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