Yes, and especially with the entire state being affected with much colder temps. We are expecting outages.
January 2024
our local mets dont seem to be concerned about anything over here.
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00z CMC is more bullish with a winter storm , GFS not quite their yet but its trending a little more south- SW with the trough
0Z Canadian onboard. (Remember this model was mostly dry a couple of days ago.)
![Image](https://i.ibb.co/4p4Qy6M/gem-mslp-pcpn-frzn-scus-17-1.png)
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...and it is really cold too!!!
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If the canadian verifies, we are going to have significant problems
Getting into the range of the mesoscale models. The 0Z NAM has the front moving into SE Texas late Saturday night and nearing the coast by Sunday morning...Not uncommon at all for this kind of fronts to move in quicker than what the global models show. So I'm not surprised at all that the NAM is faster than the globals.
How so?Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 10:49 pm If the canadian verifies, we are going to have significant problems
Power grid, roads, etc.sambucol wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 11:11 pmHow so?Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 10:49 pm If the canadian verifies, we are going to have significant problems
I have a feeling this is going to be worse, meaning lower temps and ice, than what is being forecasted.
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Ensembles coming in more bullish, and now almost every member of the GEPS has a winter storm
Does the Euro still show a winter storm of sorts?
ICON and CMC in agreement. CMC and Euro in agreement about precip.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 3:57 pm 18z ICON is way colder on monday, those wind chills are absolutely brutal!
![Image](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2024011100/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_17.png)
We've been seeing this potential for weeks. The last half of January will be full of set-ups that could be very interesting. I suspect the active pattern will continue and the cold will stick around. Our wintry precip chances are obviously better in the upper 20s than 8°F in SETX.
Yep, I'm seeing colder and wetter all the way around. Local KBTX is calling for 3 straight days of 30s, teens for lows. Chance of wintry stuff...and they are conservative about these things.
Ensemble frozen tundra season:Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 11:40 pm Ensembles coming in more bullish, and now almost every member of the GEPS has a winter storm
![Image](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem-ens/2024011100/gem-ens_T2m_us_23.png)
Be Prepared:
![Image](https://m2o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gdps/2024011100/120/zr_acc-imp.conus.png)
![Image](https://m2o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gdps/2024011100/120/zr_acc-imp.conus.png)
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The NWS is mentioning it now, but only a slight chance.
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It will grow as the days go on
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All going to depend when the cold gets here