January 2024

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
spadilly
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Here come the school districts with their “no school tomorrow” announcements now.
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DoctorMu
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The snowflakes remain tiny, but it's actually been snowing harder.

I suspect the snow is being formed underneath the warm nose... Thus the flakes are tiny. Alternatively, the warm nose is thin. and much of the snowfall is evaporating, but some survives. From the HRRR sounding, it looks like shallow overrun. If it were rain, it would just be a mist.
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 12:03 pm Pattern looking wet? Ill believe it when i see it, models have burned us way too many times….
This upcoming wet period looks much different than previous events. My confidence is pretty high this time around.
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don
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Cpv17 wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 2:40 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 12:03 pm Pattern looking wet? Ill believe it when i see it, models have burned us way too many times….
This upcoming wet period looks much different than previous events. My confidence is pretty high this time around.
Yep a classic El nino pattern with a large trough digging into Mexico and becoming cut off.
gfs_z500a_us_37.png
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Katdaddy
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Finally some small snow flurries down here in NW Galveston County and below freezing at 30F
Thundersleet
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My neighborhood, here in Baytown, received snow flurries for over thirty minutes.
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Rip76
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Lindner 2:30pm update

Winter Weather Update (Monday 230pm)

Light freezing drizzle/rain and periods of sleet and even a few snow flurries combined with surface temperatures well below freezing are resulting in dangerous icing conditions across the north and western portions of the area…mainly along the northwest of US 59.

Light areas of freezing drizzle and sleet continues over the area but will gradually end from the west to the east late this afternoon and evening. However, accumulations of ice and temperatures well into the 20’s will prevent much if any recovery of the poor roadway conditions. While the main concerns are the bridges and overpasses, even surface streets are reporting light ice accumulations in areas where temperatures have fallen into the mid 20’s…including sidewalks, parking lots, and some roadways. All bridges/overpasses/flyovers/connector ramps should be treated as if they have ice. Extreme caution should be used if traveling into early Tuesday.

Several school districts have announced closures for Tuesday…follow your districts communication platforms.

How quickly area roadways recover on Tuesday will be determined by several factors including, if/when the sun comes out, if surface temperatures reach freezing and for how long, and application of anti-ice methods by transportation agencies. It is likely that conditions will not see any significant improvement until midday Tuesday at the earliest.

Very cold conditions will remain for tonight and again on Wednesday morning with hard freezes likely over much of the area. While there has been a focus on travel and road conditions today…do not disregard the cold and everyone should maintain their cold weather preparations until Wednesday. Dangerous wind chill values will remain in place through Tuesday.
Cpv17
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don wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 2:49 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 2:40 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 12:03 pm Pattern looking wet? Ill believe it when i see it, models have burned us way too many times….
This upcoming wet period looks much different than previous events. My confidence is pretty high this time around.
Yep a classic El nino pattern with a large trough digging into Mexico and becoming cut off.

gfs_z500a_us_37.png
This looks like it could be our biggest rain event since last spring.
Dls2010r
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It’s f$&cking cold!!!!!!! Lol!!!!!
Cpv17
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Dls2010r wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 3:16 pm It’s f$&cking cold!!!!!!! Lol!!!!!
Lol and I f’n love it!! Although it could be a foot of snow on the ground. That’s my only complaint.
Cpv17
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59 had to be shut down over here earlier today. There was a ton of accidents happening.
vci_guy2003
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So it’s not a freezing rain event next week ?
Cpv17
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Holy bazookas 😳

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Can’t remember the last time I’ve seen that for our area.
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djmike
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IMG_1323.jpeg
Flurries in beaumont.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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snowman65
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Cpv17 wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 3:47 pm Holy bazookas 😳

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Can’t remember the last time I’ve seen that for our area.
but will there be any cold to make it interesting...
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Tail end of it, possibly. Our next big cold dump comes last week of January
Team #NeverSummer
Cpv17
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snowman65 wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 4:10 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 3:47 pm Holy bazookas 😳

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Can’t remember the last time I’ve seen that for our area.
but will there be any cold to make it interesting...
Think we’re gonna have to wait till the end of the month and into February for any significant cold.
Stratton20
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I cant recall the last time ive seen those darker shades of green over our neck of the woods
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 3:30 pm 59 had to be shut down over here earlier today. There was a ton of accidents happening.
Trucks were jackknifing and wrecking all over this morning in the Brazos Valley. The wise folks just stayed off the road.
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 4:19 pm
snowman65 wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 4:10 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 3:47 pm Holy bazookas 😳

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Can’t remember the last time I’ve seen that for our area.
but will there be any cold to make it interesting...
Think we’re gonna have to wait till the end of the month and into February for any significant cold.
Ensembles have bought in. This will be a cold rain with wintry stuff in north Texas. It won't be a balmy spring rain.

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So, no thank you for me! Save it for July!
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