ENSO Updates

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 0.1ºC
Niño 3 -0.3ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.5ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 4 warmed. Region 3 and 3.4 remain the same.
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Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
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Posts: 4095
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.6ºC
Niño 3.4 0.0ºC
Niño 3 -0.2ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.6ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

All regions cooled, except for Region 3. It warmed.
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Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4095
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.5ºC
Niño 3.4 0.3ºC
Niño 3 -0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.9ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 4 cooled. Region 3 and 3.4 warmed.
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Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4095
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.7ºC
Niño 3.4 0.4ºC
Niño 3 -0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.6ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

All regions warmed, except for Region 3. Region 3 warmed.
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Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4095
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.5ºC
Niño 3.4 0.3ºC
Niño 3 -0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 0.0ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 warmed. Region 3 remains the same. Region 3.4 and 4 cooled.
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Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4095
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.7ºC
Niño 3.4 0.3ºC
Niño 3 -0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.2ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. Region 3 and 3.4 remain the same. Region 4 warmed.
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Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4095
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.6ºC
Niño 3.4 0.2ºC
Niño 3 -0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.5ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

All regions cooled, except for Region 3. It remains the same.
869MB
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Joined: Fri Oct 30, 2015 8:44 am
Location: Katy, TX
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Ptarmigan wrote: Mon Jul 22, 2024 9:21 pm This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.6ºC
Niño 3.4 0.2ºC
Niño 3 -0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.5ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

All regions cooled, except for Region 3. It remains the same.

Hopefully, all the statistical models are wrong at this forthcoming La Nina will not get as strong as advertised. Maybe this will leave the door open for a possible return of El Nino by the middle of 2026. Wishful thinking.
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Ptarmigan
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Posts: 4095
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
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869MB wrote: Mon Jul 22, 2024 9:46 pm
Ptarmigan wrote: Mon Jul 22, 2024 9:21 pm This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.6ºC
Niño 3.4 0.2ºC
Niño 3 -0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.5ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

All regions cooled, except for Region 3. It remains the same.

Hopefully, all the statistical models are wrong at this forthcoming La Nina will not get as strong as advertised. Maybe this will leave the door open for a possible return of El Nino by the middle of 2026. Wishful thinking.
I would not put a lot of stock on those forecast models.
869MB
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Joined: Fri Oct 30, 2015 8:44 am
Location: Katy, TX
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Ptarmigan wrote: Tue Jul 23, 2024 8:51 pm
869MB wrote: Mon Jul 22, 2024 9:46 pm
Ptarmigan wrote: Mon Jul 22, 2024 9:21 pm This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.6ºC
Niño 3.4 0.2ºC
Niño 3 -0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.5ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

All regions cooled, except for Region 3. It remains the same.

Hopefully, all the statistical models are wrong at this forthcoming La Nina will not get as strong as advertised. Maybe this will leave the door open for a possible return of El Nino by the middle of 2026. Wishful thinking.
I would not put a lot of stock on those forecast models.
I still feel some form of La Nina is inevitable at this point...my only question right now is how much staying power will it have this go around and how long will it influence our weather here in Texas going into late 2025 & through 2026. A long duration La Nina will only put us back in the dryer with warmer & drier anomalous weather in the long term again - Especially with the seemingly never-ending -PDO for the foreseeable future.
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Ptarmigan
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Posts: 4095
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
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869MB wrote: Tue Jul 23, 2024 9:42 pm
Ptarmigan wrote: Tue Jul 23, 2024 8:51 pm
869MB wrote: Mon Jul 22, 2024 9:46 pm


Hopefully, all the statistical models are wrong at this forthcoming La Nina will not get as strong as advertised. Maybe this will leave the door open for a possible return of El Nino by the middle of 2026. Wishful thinking.
I would not put a lot of stock on those forecast models.
I still feel some form of La Nina is inevitable at this point...my only question right now is how much staying power will it have this go around and how long will it influence our weather here in Texas going into late 2025 & through 2026. A long duration La Nina will only put us back in the dryer with warmer & drier anomalous weather in the long term again - Especially with the seemingly never-ending -PDO for the foreseeable future.
Not all La Ninas are the same. Some can be dry, while others can be wet. Other factors come to play.
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