January 2025

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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tireman4
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DoctorMu wrote: Fri Jan 17, 2025 7:07 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Fri Jan 17, 2025 5:27 pm
txsnowmaker wrote: Fri Jan 17, 2025 5:21 pm HGX playing it extremely conservatively in their afternoon update…

“ Most likely amounts currently fall between a trace and 2". However, depending on a potential mesoscale banded snow setup impacting localized areas, it`s possible we could see a few
higher end amounts.”

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... glossary=1
I think they’re concerned about the warm nose. That’s why they’re being conservative.
Warm nose ain't happening.
The doctor has spoken. Works for me!
Tx2005
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Is it still expected that roads should be clear during the day Monday in the Houston area?
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Rip76
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DoctorMu wrote: Fri Jan 17, 2025 7:37 pm The first 84 hr sneak preview on NAM has snow starting in the Hill Country, extending to Waco and College Station.
Nice. Filling in all the gaps.
jabcwb2
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Did I see that this system is moving east? We started at 6 inches now down to 2. By the time Tuesday gets here, who knows. In Tomball.
Cpv17
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jabcwb2 wrote: Fri Jan 17, 2025 8:18 pm Did I see that this system is moving east? We started at 6 inches now down to 2. By the time Tuesday gets here, who knows. In Tomball.
Nah, it hasn’t changed.
Cpv17
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Tx2005 wrote: Fri Jan 17, 2025 8:01 pm Is it still expected that roads should be clear during the day Monday in the Houston area?
More than likely, but check back tomorrow.
Stratton20
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Cpv17 david paul just said not only tuesday but plan on staying home wednesday , looks likes hes not buying much of a warm up on wednesday either
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snowman65
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I got a fever.. and the only cure, is more snow graphics lol. show em...
Stratton20
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NAM 12kz is in, mid 20’s when precipitation is falling, but its just sleet/ ice, no snow, warm nose is strong
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Fri Jan 17, 2025 8:48 pm NAM 12kz is in, mid 20’s when precipitation is falling, but its just sleet/ ice, no snow, warm nose is strong
Coastal low needs to trend west.
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https://x.com/mattlanza/status/18804248 ... _m1NXPw4Cg

Nice to see someone agree with me lol
Cpv17
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ICON trended a bit south! Awesome! Pummels Harris County.
davidiowx
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Cpv17 wrote: Fri Jan 17, 2025 9:15 pm https://x.com/mattlanza/status/18804248 ... _m1NXPw4Cg

Nice to see someone agree with me lol

Well one thing we know for sure.. History tends to repeat itself.
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snowman65
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sure got quiet...
Stratton20
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models are really backing off on snow across here, now looking more like a sleet/ ice storm unfortunately
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Fri Jan 17, 2025 10:19 pm models are really backing off on snow across here, now looking more like a sleet/ ice storm unfortunately
ICON looked good earlier. GFS looks flat awful, CMC has good precip for us, but all sleet and freezing rain.
biggerbyte
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Folks, there is a lot of hype going on right now. Keep an open mind. One thing to consider is the possibility of this not being a snow event, or at least not just.. Think warm nose and freezing rain. I'd rather get nothing. Ice is no picnic.

Anyway, a lot of people are winding themselves up like a top. If this event never unfolds be prepared for that unwind we get here nearly every winter.

I'll leave it there for now
Stratton20
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Cpv17 need that warm nose to go away, id rather not having a quarter inch of ice on the ground lol
AtascocitaWX
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That warm nose popping up tonight on the models Smh. I was really thinking we would get the snow. Don't want no ice storm.
Tx2005
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I'm pretty ignorant about the weather overall. So I'm assuming this "warm nose" everybody is referencing means this could end being an ice storm vs snow?
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