January 2025

[tireman4]

CSI! Conditional Symmetry Instability

[DoctorMu]

It's starting to look like Dec 2004 + heavy snow bands through LA, MS, AL, etc.

[jabcwb2]

CSI! Conditional Symmetry Instability

Ha! I googled it. Thundersnow!....right?

[redneckweather]

Yep, starting to get strong 2004 vibes with a solid cutoff line for snow around The Woodlands and points south getting all the snow/wintry precipitation.

[tireman4]

CSI! Conditional Symmetry Instability

Ha! I googled it. Thundersnow!....right?

Sorta. It is Banding

[christinac2016]

Now my area down to 53%.

[Brazoriatx979]

Now my area down to 53%.

Don't worry! You are still going to see snow

[txsnowmaker]

Wxman57 saying no warm nose. All snow for Houston.

[jabcwb2]

Now my area down to 53%.

Hi, I'm in Magnolia, where in Montgomery cty are you? It's been such a crazy ride this week!!

[Brazoriatx979]

Wxman57 saying no warm nose. All snow for Houston.

I dont think there is much of a warm nose anymore anywhere..and if there is it will be gone after sunrise Tuesday morning

[Nuby33]

It's really cool seeing some of the familiar names from the old KHOU board. I was a member of that forum back during the 2004 Christmas event and until it was gotten rid of. Glad I was able to find you guys again! And happy I get to spend this one with y'all!

[MH5]

Here we go, 0Z HRRR is running. 24 hours out, this run should give us the first peak in our area of the entirety of the event.

[user:null]

Wxman57 saying no warm nose. All snow for Houston.

Indeed. But the whole height/thickness field is also trending southward. That is consistent with the NAM suppression trend. So, while the event might be all snow for Houston ... totals are also lowering as well.

Look at that arctic air "winning out," and taking the height field away with it.

[user:null]

It wouldn't surprise me if we only got a mere dusting out of this event. Like on the latest UKMET here:

[NWHouston]

Yeah the Weather.com app picked this up hours ago and lowered snow totals
For spring to 1-3 monday night and nothing tuesday. Also showing 38 for a high tuesday. We got nothing in spring 2004 and afraid it will play out like that again

[christinac2016]

I’m in The Woodlands

Now my area down to 53%.

Hi, I'm in Magnolia, where in Montgomery cty are you? It's been such a crazy ride this week!!

Now my area down to 53%.

Hi, I'm in Magnolia, where in Montgomery cty are you? It's been such a crazy ride this week!!

[Brazoriatx979]

Looking like the costal counties may win out if the south trends keep going

[Stratton20]

Lol relax folks, houston is right under the gun for some of the heaviest snow, I really do not by the NAM at all, it has been by far the most suppressed and “ driest” of all the short range guidance, so i wouldnt be concerned about it at all, se texas can expect 3-5 inches widespread with some isolated 6+ totals

[tireman4]

Not to be in disagreement with the mighty UKMET, but I trust the mesocycle models within a 24 hour period. I think 3 to 5 inches will be the norm

[txsnowmaker]

3-5 inches will indeed be the norm for greater Houston region, with localized higher amounts quite possible.