February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
southerngale
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snowman65 wrote:Yea, I saw saw James Browns report......According to the graphics it show 70% of clouds??? for Friday..lol...I'm think rain/snow event all night Thursday maybe....Wondering if they may close schools possibly......hhmmm..
They need to do something about that graphic online as it looks like just clouds. lol
It was animated on the news, showing snow and sleet.
TexasBreeze
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wxman57 wrote:I notice the 12Z Canadian shows about 1/2" of liquid precip across Houston Thu nite/Fri and the temps aloft are much colder than in earlier runs. It's now indicating snow, not rain across Houston. Could be quite an interesting snow event here Thu PM to Fri PM.
Are you biting on this potential "snow event" now wxman? It's a good sign if you are going for it! :P
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don
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Looking at the Euro in more detail, it shows a band of moderate snow moving through Southeast Texas hence the higher snow totals.
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snowman65
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weather101 wrote:From Beaumont area...If Bostwick saying anything about frozen stuff...must be pretty good odds of seeing it. Bostwick is very conservative when it comes to winter weather.

Should hear from Greg at 5:00...I'm curious to see what he says. You are right, though. He is conservative about these events..
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djmike
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southerngale wrote:
snowman65 wrote:Yea, I saw saw James Browns report......According to the graphics it show 70% of clouds??? for Friday..lol...I'm think rain/snow event all night Thursday maybe....Wondering if they may close schools possibly......hhmmm..
They need to do something about that graphic online as it looks like just clouds. lol
It was animated on the news, showing snow and sleet.
Yeah...it's animated on TV and I think online it's just a snaphot, so the snapshot of it only caught the part not spitting out all the frozen precip..I've noticed this many times. I take it as 70% frozen precip! ....time to go buy a snow shovel! j/k
Mike
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(IH-10 & College Street)
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OFF TOPIC KINDA: ***PLEASE PROTECT THE ANIMALS****

Folks, it is no mistake that there are a lot of ignorant people in this world. Animals get cold. Their fur only goes so far. With temps now forecast to hit the teens for many of us (especially on the north side) it is CRUEL to leave your animals outside. I'm begging you, please, PLEASE, bring your animals in. If you don't like them in your house, put them in the garage with warm blankets to sleep on. Just do SOMETHING to get them out of the elements. I worry about the animals. I love them. If you are in a position to do so, pick the strays up walking the streets and offer them a place for the night. That is what we do. I worry about the dogs and cats that people let wonder. It is mean, cruel and selfish not to bring them in. Please don't forget about our furry friends. They love us and hopefully you love them.
weather101
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Yea noticed that...new graphic...accuweather Joe Bastardi, video 1pm said another big shot of cold air around same time frame to make its way to Texas, next week...said he was pummped about another snow in and around the Houston area...showed model with general 1 inch to 3 inch in most areas with more in isolated areas, but looks like it going to happen.
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snowman65
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djmike wrote:
southerngale wrote:
snowman65 wrote:Yea, I saw saw James Browns report......According to the graphics it show 70% of clouds??? for Friday..lol...I'm think rain/snow event all night Thursday maybe....Wondering if they may close schools possibly......hhmmm..
They need to do something about that graphic online as it looks like just clouds. lol
It was animated on the news, showing snow and sleet.
Yeah...it's animated on TV and I think online it's just a snaphot, so the snapshot of it only caught the part not spitting out all the frozen precip..I've noticed this many times. I take it as 70% frozen precip! ....time to go buy a snow shovel! j/k
Good idea about the snow shovel. Just hang on to your receipt and bring it back Saturday :lol: :lol:
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wxman57
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TexasBreeze wrote:
wxman57 wrote:I notice the 12Z Canadian shows about 1/2" of liquid precip across Houston Thu nite/Fri and the temps aloft are much colder than in earlier runs. It's now indicating snow, not rain across Houston. Could be quite an interesting snow event here Thu PM to Fri PM.
Are you biting on this potential "snow event" now wxman? It's a good sign if you are going for it! :P
I've been biting for several days now. Looking more likely that we'll see some significant accumulations with each model run. Temps aloft won't be an issue, and it seems moisture won't be an issue. Upper low moving right across our area - that's all we need for snow.
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djmike
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Question....I'm hearing a lot about snow north of IH-10 and south of IH-10. What if we are in the Beaumont area? IH-10 is a LOT further north than IH-10 in HOU.....Is it our IH-10 or HOU I-10? ....I know, stupid question... :roll:
Mike
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wxman57
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weather101 wrote:Yea noticed that...new graphic...accuweather Joe Bastardi, video 1pm said another big shot of cold air around same time frame to make its way to Texas, next week...said he was pummped about another snow in and around the Houston area...showed model with general 1 inch to 3 inch in most areas with more in isolated areas, but looks like it going to happen.
Yes, next Tue-Wed may be an even bigger (stronger) cold air outbreak, but a dry one that covers all the southern U.S. Euro has the 1050+ high dropping straight south to the lower Valley next week and the 850mb freezing line almost down to the Yucatan and NE to Miami.
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snowman65
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weather101 wrote:Yea noticed that...new graphic...accuweather Joe Bastardi, video 1pm said another big shot of cold air around same time frame to make its way to Texas, next week...said he was pummped about another snow in and around the Houston area...showed model with general 1 inch to 3 inch in most areas with more in isolated areas, but looks like it going to happen.
Lets get through and enjoy this one first ;)
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wxman57
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djmike wrote:Question....I'm hearing a lot about snow north of IH-10 and south of IH-10. What if we are in the Beaumont area? IH-10 is a LOT further north than IH-10 in HOU.....Is it our IH-10 or HOU I-10? ....I know, stupid question... :roll:
I'd say you have a very good shot at snow in Beaumont. Projected soundings certainly indicate any falling precip would be sleet/snow.
weather101
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djmike wrote:Question....I'm hearing a lot about snow north of IH-10 and south of IH-10. What if we are in the Beaumont area? IH-10 is a LOT further north than IH-10 in HOU.....Is it our IH-10 or HOU I-10? ....I know, stupid question... :roll:
Looking at the models it seems reasonable that the entire area should see a pretty good shot of frozen precip
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updraft
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AccuWeather pro site updated ~30 min ago: now calling for 50/50 chance Thur/Fri - 1"-3"

Confidence increased along with total's .... :D
"Weather forecast for tonight: dark. Continued dark overnight, with widely scattered light by morning." - The late/great George Carlin
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snowman65
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This board is lit up like the New Years ball at Times Square!!!
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Mr. T
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My only worry is if the drier GFS is right. Tho, we'd still see snow anyway
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cristina99
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I agree with CC - PROTECT THOSE PETS!! Bring them inside if they are usually outside. My beloved cat is an indoor cat and she is already settling in for her long winter's nap. It's going to be exciting. I just noticed that the temp on the top of the forum page says 41. But before it was 39. Are the temps going to drop for sure?
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WIND CHILL WARNING FOR BROWNSVILLE!!!


Wind Chill Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1218 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

...WIND CHILL VALUES TO PLUMMET IN WAKE OF ARCTIC COLD SNAP...

.AN ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL SPREAD OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL COMBINE WITH
NORTH WINDS TO DRIVE WIND CHILL VALUES DOWN INTO THE TEENS FOR
SEVERAL HOURS TONIGHT AND ALSO MOST LIKELY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

TXZ248>257-020400-
/O.NEW.KBRO.WC.W.0001.110202T0600Z-110202T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBRO.WC.A.0001.110203T0400Z-110203T1800Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ZAPATA...HEBBRONVILLE...FALFURRIAS...
SARITA...RIO GRANDE CITY...ROMA...MCALLEN...EDINBURG...PHARR...
MISSION...WESLACO...RAYMONDVILLE...BROWNSVILLE...HARLINGEN...
PORT MANSFIELD...PORT ISABEL...SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...
LAGUNA HEIGHTS...LAGUNA VISTA
1218 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...
...WIND CHILL WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A WIND
CHILL WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
CST WEDNESDAY. A WIND CHILL WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND
CHILL WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.

WIND CHILL VALUES WILL DECREASE INTO THE TEENS FOR MOST IF NOT
ALL OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FOR A FEW HOURS FROM AROUND MIDNIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AT DAWN. WIND CHILL VALUES ACROSS NORTHERN AND
INLAND AREAS MAY REMAIN BELOW 20 DEGREES FOR A FEW HOURS LONGER...
FROM BEFORE MIDNIGHT THROUGH MID WEDNESDAY MORNING. SIMILAR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS AN ARCTIC AIR MASS
RETAINS ITS ICY GRIP ON DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN WIND CHILL INDEX VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL TO OR BELOW 20 FOR AT LEAST 3 HOURS. PERSONS
NOT ACCLIMATED TO THESE EXTREME VALUES MAY EXPERIENCE FROSTBITE
IF NOT PROTECTED...AND COULD DIE.

A WIND CHILL WATCH MEANS DANGEROUS WIND CHILL INDEX VALUES...
GENERALLY 20 OR BELOW...ARE POSSIBLE FOR AT LEAST 3 HOURS IN THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO. RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY COLD WEATHER.
PROTECTIVE CLOTHING SUCH AS SWEATERS AND JACKETS IS RECOMMENDED.
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snowman65 wrote:This board is lit up like the New Years ball at Times Square!!!
LOL..lit up like a drunk at Specs. hahahahahahaha
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