February Ends Warm and Dry

[matthouston]

Multiple classes have been cancelled at UH. If you have evening classes, I would suggest checking with your professor.

[ticka1]

Wow flurry of posting and now the board is quiet.

Looks like temps have moderated and holding steady now - no more downward plunge until after sunset.

[srainhoutx]

Wow flurry of posting and now the board is quiet.
Looks like temps have moderated and holding steady now - no more downward plunge until after sunset.

Oh, there are still folks around...

In total there are 78 users online :: 20 registered, 1 hidden and 57 guests (based on users active over the past 5 minutes)

[TxMomof2]

Klein ISD just canceled all afterschool activities for today.

[sean]

Klein ISD just canceled all afterschool activities for today.

Clear Creek ISD as well.

[srainhoutx]

Just curious. How many folks were surprised by todays event?

[Paul]

Just curious. How many folks were surprised by todays event?

nothing surprises me anymore.....after Ike at 20n plunges all the way to Cuba and into the GOM, with according to Ed has sreaming westerlies only to intensify to Cat 2 status because of a double eye wall , however hurricane winds had spread at so far that Ike had a cat 4 storm surge similar to the 1900 storm....

in other words absolutly nothing....

[sean]

I know it sounds crazy, but I have ice pellets mixing with the rain here just south of Beltway @ I45S. Temp is showing 34.3 according to station in my backyard.

[wxman57]

A comparison of two ice events in Houston. First, last Friday, February 4th:


And now today. Not so bad.

[ticka1]

There will never be a model that can predict what the weather will do. Sure some can get it close but not 100%. Am I surprised - no - but then again I stepped away from this weather event for a few days and only returned this morning to the actual event happening - while others downplayed it. We did see freezing precipation but thankful for the drying now because I can not drive in ice and hopefully will make it home safe and sound.

Thats my two cents...for what its worth.

[Paul]

I see drier air moving into NTX now.....still some slight EPAC moisture along the front...temps holding at 34F here with plenty of cloud deck might not see the hard freeze as suggested.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/browse3.html

[wxman57]

Roads are drying out in the Hobby airport area now.

[tireman4]

Roads are drying out in the Hobby airport area now.

In our parking lot too Wxman...( I am 3 miles from you)...so that is a good sign...

[Ptarmigan]

nothing surprises me anymore.....after Ike at 20n plunges all the way to Cuba and into the GOM, with according to Ed has sreaming westerlies only to intensify to Cat 2 status because of a double eye wall , however hurricane winds had spread at so far that Ike had a cat 4 storm surge similar to the 1900 storm....

in other words absolutly nothing....

Exactly. Nothing surprises me either. Cape Verde Hurricanes rarely hit our area. Ike was unusual that it was further north and normally would be a fish storm or hit the East Coast. I remember before Ike enter the Gulf of Mexico, it was forecasted to hit Florida and would be the strongest since Andrew. Also, Hanna was in that area and had stalled out. The Great Galveston Hurricane was a Cape Verde Hurricane, but formed further south and hit Cuba as a tropical storm, unlike Ike, as a hurricane,

[wxman57]

Roads are drying out in the Hobby airport area now.

In our parking lot too Wxman...( I am 3 miles from you)...so that is a good sign...

I'm actually about 3 miles from Hobby, too. Where are you?

[tireman4]

Roads are drying out in the Hobby airport area now.

In our parking lot too Wxman...( I am 3 miles from you)...so that is a good sign...

I'm actually about 3 miles from Hobby, too. Where are you?

Outside your window ...LOL...no no...Houston Community College-Southeast.

[jdman]

light snow flurry in conroe. more grains than anything.

[BiggieSmalls]

Honest question:

Is winter storm forecasting any better now than it was 10 or 20 years ago? I mean, it seems like every forecast has a 50% chance of happening in regards to winter storm predictions.

Of the 3 snows Dallas has gotten this year, two have been much less than forecast, and one has been much more than forecast (last Friday). Seems to be the pattern across the state, and maybe the country.

Of every field that technology has helped, is weather forecasting the least affected? I'd like to see a study of 3 day out forecasts for winter temps and precip in 1980, 1990, 2000, and 2010, and see if the accuracy is actually improving.

Edit: this isn't to bash the profession or call anyone out, it just seems to be a science that even modern technology can't crack...

[wxman57]

Light flurries in NW Harris County at this time.

As I look at the latest RUC sounding for your area, it shows a shallow sub-freezing layer (around 1000ft thick) at the surface and a 8000 ft thick layer of well above-freezing air (into the 40s) just above that surface layer. One would think snow would be impossible with such a sounding. Of course, that depends on if the RUC model sounding is accurate. Nearest RAOB stations are Corpus, Lake Charles, and Longview.

It's scary if the models can be so far off with a projected sounding just with their initialization.

[srainhoutx]

Light flurries in NW Harris County at this time.

As I look at the latest RUC sounding for your area, it shows a shallow sub-freezing layer (around 1000ft thick) at the surface and a 8000 ft thick layer of well above-freezing air (into the 40s) just above that surface layer. One would think snow would be impossible with such a sounding. Of course, that depends on if the RUC model sounding is accurate. Nearest RAOB stations are Corpus, Lake Charles, and Longview.

It's scary if the models can be so far off with a projected sounding just with their initialization.

That is one of the reasons I wanted to get that information out. Even as I type there are still spits of flurries flying, although light and sporadic.