I will start.
10/5/2
ACE: 80
2012 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll
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srainhoutx
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As posted on Amwx...
I’m not so sure the season will be a total dud. The tendency has been to rush the ENSO state a bit too fast, IMO thus lending to neutral conditions during the summer and possibly the beginning of peak season. My favored areas continue to be the Western Caribbean and Western Gulf for early storm activity transitioning to the Central Caribbean as peak season nears.
As far as an early WAG, I believe that 13/5/2 seems reasonable at this point, but realizing that a bit earlier arrival of El Nino conditions could lead to a bit lower numbers. We will see.
I’m not so sure the season will be a total dud. The tendency has been to rush the ENSO state a bit too fast, IMO thus lending to neutral conditions during the summer and possibly the beginning of peak season. My favored areas continue to be the Western Caribbean and Western Gulf for early storm activity transitioning to the Central Caribbean as peak season nears.
As far as an early WAG, I believe that 13/5/2 seems reasonable at this point, but realizing that a bit earlier arrival of El Nino conditions could lead to a bit lower numbers. We will see.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
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Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
As posted on Storm2k:
13/9/4 ACE 125....yeah some long trackers and some intense storms. Leaning towards Nuetral or weak Nino come peak....
13/9/4 ACE 125....yeah some long trackers and some intense storms. Leaning towards Nuetral or weak Nino come peak....