JUNE 2016: Showers/Storms Possible

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srainhoutx
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Morning briefing from Jeff:

Dangerous flash flood threat next 48 hours over SE TX.

Strong disturbance approaching the area this morning with numerous thunderstorms developing over northern Harris County yet again. While storm motions have been a little faster than last evening this morning, storm motions west of the area are very slow. Air mass is extremely moist and will easily support 2-3 inch per hour rainfall rates with the stronger storms. Given the saturated ground and already flooding watersheds that were hit hard last night…flooding is likely today and Friday.

Additional rainfall of 3-5 inches widespread with isolated totals of 8-12 inches is possible through Saturday. Dangerous flooding will result under the high total areas

Watersheds:

Cypress Creek: the creek rose overbanks overnight from Stuebner Airline downstream to the Spring Creek confluence and remains near bankfull or overbanks east of I-45 this morning. Additional heavy rain falling on the watershed currently will likely begin a new rise on the creek this morning.

West Fork of the San Jacinto River: The river has returned into major flood levels as run-off from Spring and Cypress Creeks moves downstream. Several subdivisions have become cut-off on both the north and south sides of the river.

Spring Creek: creek is near bankfull at I-45 and slowly falling, but heavy rainfall across middle Spring Creek will likely result in additional rises this morning.

Brazos River: the river crested overnight at Richmond at 54.78 ft and has slowly fallen to 54.72ft this morning. Massive flooding continues across many areas of Fort Bend and Brazoria Counties near the river with several roads closed and subdivisions cut off.

Additional excessive rainfall over the next 48 hours will likely result in slow recessions or new rises on many area watersheds.

This is a serious flash flood and flood situation across the region.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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djjordan
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THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 845 AM CDT

* AT 647 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS
PRODUCING RAINFALL RATES BETWEEN 3 AND 4 INCHES PER HOUR IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
SPLENDORA...PATTON VILLAGE...ROMAN FOREST... WOODBRANCH...CUT AND
SHOOT...PORTER HEIGHTS...PORTER AND NEW CANEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
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djjordan
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This is an updated list of all road closures throughout Ft. Bend County due to the Brazos River. Please check before heading out and remember Turn Around Don't Drown.

http://www.fbcoem.org/go/doc/1528/26159 ... d-Closures
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~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
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djjordan
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Very concerned about this line of Thunderstorms heading Northeast from Matagorda Bay.... The individual storms are moving NE but the line is crawling east.... Torrential rainfall rates with this line and it could cause problems as it moves NE through Matagorda, Jackson, Wharton, and Fort Bend Counties. Stay aware of this.....

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
CENTRAL CALHOUN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 945 AM CDT

* AT 647 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A BAND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN. THESE STORMS ARE MOVING NORTHEAST
AROUND 30 MPH...WITH THE AREA ITSELF MOVING EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
THE PERSISTENT HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN MINOR
FLOODING AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER IF THE LINE DOES NOT PROGRESS EAST
THEN A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY BEEN ESTIMATED, AND ANOTHER
1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
PORT LAVACA...PORT O`CONNOR...POINT COMFORT...POINT COMFORT...MATAGORDA
ISLAND STATE PARK...OLIVIA...SCHICKE POINT...INDIANOLA...MAGNOLIA BEACH
AND ALAMO BEACH.
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
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srainhoutx
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NWS Houston/Galveston is very concerned about the training of thunderstorms developing from offshore of Matagorda Bay on NE.

Image
06022016 mcd0288.gif
MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0288
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
736 AM EDT THU JUN 02 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING LIKELY

VALID 021125Z - 021530Z

SUMMARY...VERY HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TX HILL
COUNTRY THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY LIFT NORTHEAST AND CONTINUE TO
FOSTER HEAVY RAINS AND A LIKELIHOOD OF FLASH FLOODING.

DISCUSSION...THE EXPERIMENTAL GLD-LIGHTNING DENSITY PRODUCT SHOWS
A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF STRIKE ACTIVITY ALONG AND ADJACENT A LINE
FROM AUSTIN TO BURNETT AND EMBEDDED WITHIN A LARGER SCALE MCS THAT
IS SLOWLY LIFTING NORTHEAST THIS MORNING. SOME UPTICK IN THE
STRIKE ACTIVITY COUPLED WITH SOME COOLING OF THE CONVECTIVE TOPS
IS SUGGESTING SOME STRENGTHENING OF THE OVERALL UPDRAFTS AND AN
INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION.

THE CONVECTION IS BEING FACILITATED BY A BROADLY DIVERGENT FLOW
PATTERN ALOFT OUT AHEAD OF A LARGER SCALE UPPER TROUGH AND CLOSED
MID LEVEL LOW CENTER APPROACHING THE BIG BEND AREA OF TX.
MEANWHILE...A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITH SBCAPE VALUES OF
1500 TO 2000 J/KG AND PWATS OF 1.7 TO 2.0 INCHES IS IN PLACE OUT
AHEAD OF THE MCS.

HIRES GUIDANCE IS NOT PARTICULARLY GOOD WITH THE HANDLING OF THE
NORTHERN FLANK OF THE CONVECTION OVER THE TX HILL COUNTRY...AND
GIVEN THE OVERALL FAVORABLE LARGER SCALE ENVIRONMENT FOR
CONVECTION...THE CURRENT ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO PERSIST OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.

THE RATHER DEEP WARM AND TROPICAL ENVIRONMENT THAT THE CONVECTION
IS EMBEDDED WITHIN SHOULD FAVOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO
2.5 INCHES/HR. EXPECT ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH 1530Z TO
BE ON THE ORDER OF 3 TO 6 INCHES. THESE RAINS WILL FALL OVER
SUBSTANTIALLY WET IF NOT SATURATED GROUND AND WILL LIKELY RESULT
IN ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING.

ORRISON

ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...HGX...SJT...
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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Cloud tops have cooled rapidly along the Middle Texas Coast/Matagorda Bay. The upper/mid level low is spinning just S of the Big Bend and beginning to take on warm core characteristics. Certainly will need to monitor the movement of the feature particularly tonight when some of the shorter fuse guidance bring it very close to portions of Central and SE Texas before stalling it.
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06022016_1145Z_AUS_ir.jpg
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djjordan
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
732 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN BURNET COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
WILLIAMSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1030 AM CDT

* AT 731 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF WILLIAMSON AND NORTHERN BURNET COUNTIES.
UP TO ONE INCH OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
ROUND ROCK...GEORGETOWN...TAYLOR...GRANGER...BERTRAM...SERENADA...HUTTO...
FLORENCE...JARRELL...LIBERTY HILL...THRALL...WEIR...GEORGETOWN DAM...
ANDICE...SUN CITY...SHADY GROVE...COUPLAND...WATSON...LAKE VICTOR AND
GRANGER DAM.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WARNED AREA.
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
Snowman
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It seems like these incoming storms have a good enough eastward motion to prevent a training set up over downtown
Texashawk
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It seems like once this big line passes we'll be Ok? Completely clear behind that line it seems all the way to the border...
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djjordan
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THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN GALVESTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTH CENTRAL BRAZORIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1130 AM CDT

* AT 829 AM CDT...GAUGE REPORTS INDICATED ALMOST 1 INCH OF RAIN IN
15 MINUTES. A SMALL CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA AND WILL LIKELY
CAUSE STREET FLOODING WITH THE INTENSE RAIN RATES.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
PASADENA...NORTHEASTERN PEARLAND...LEAGUE CITY...BAYTOWN...FRIENDSWOOD...
DEER PARK...SOUTH HOUSTON...GALENA PARK...JACINTO CITY...WEBSTER...CLEAR
LAKE...BARRETT...GREATER EASTWOOD...GREATER HOBBY AREA...SOUTH BELT /
ELLINGTON...CHANNELVIEW...HIGHLANDS...CLOVERLEAF...SECOND WARD AND
MACGREGOR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS
WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
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tireman4
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Texashawk wrote:It seems like once this big line passes we'll be Ok? Completely clear behind that line it seems all the way to the border...
I am not Andrew, Srain or Wxman 57 ( our mets), but the threat is real all day. The air mass is such that showers and thunderstorms will develop all day. There will be times with no rain and times with heavy rain. Stay vigilant
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tireman4
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000
FXUS64 KHGX 020944
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
444 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

.DISCUSSION...
What can be said that hasn`t already been communicated over these
past few days? We are entering into this latest high severe
weather event that will again likely produce another 2 to 4
inches of areawide rainfall...with localized amounts in excess of
8 inches...over the next 48 to 72 hours. The upper low over the
Trans Pecos region has transitioned to a broad open wave trough
whose positive tilted axis lays over the western half of the
state. A vigorous shortwave disturbance ejecting eastward from
this trough is initializing flood-producing convection over San
Antonio`s forecast area this morning...and this wave will be
rotating across our CWA through the daylight hours. This most
likely scenario will be for this shortwave to trigger periods of
moderate to locally heavy precipitation from near sunrise through
early evening... clusters of thunderstorms will drop an average 1
to 3 inches of precipitation with localized amounts exceeding 6
inches. This...in short...will reaggravate the regions` flooding
woes both from a sheet/flash flooding and rising... swollen river
flood threat. The real secondary threat will be wind...it will
not take as much wind to topple trees within this very saturated
soil. Thunderstorm wet downbursts on the range of 30 to 40 kts
will bring trees down...strongest winds in excess of 45 knots may
produce residential and business damage. Can`t rule out a brief
weak tornado forming along any bowed segment or line break but...
with this very tropical near 2" PWAT tropical air mass...early
day offshore waterspouts may be observed within nearshore convection
moving ashore.

The warm core mid-upper low sitting sitting over the forecast area
for a good day or so will eventually shear out over the weekend
(high confidence mention). As it does...lowering coastal pressures
Friday into Saturday will aid in enhancing lower level convergence
that may focus higher rainfall further south...this all dependent
on the location of the trough axis --> sets up along near a Highway
59 corridor then high rainfall occurs over the coastal counties
while if it sets up along or near parallel to the upper Texas coastline
then the high rainfall will occur where most want it...over the
Gulf. As the surface trough stretches out/low moves northeast...a
frontal boundary will travel over the CWA and veer winds northerly
early Sunday. This will be the beginning of the end of this early
June high rainfall event. Higher rain chances will linger along
the coast and points offshore Sunday before falling to below
mentionable early Monday. Slight chance POPs will only exist along
the sea breeze boundary Monday through Wednesday as the state falls
on the far eastern edge of a eastern Pacific/Baja region upper
ridge.

Rain and overcast will maintain relatively cooler temperatures of
near 10 degrees below normal afternoon maximums...muggy upper 70
to lower 80 maximums/upper 60 to middle 70 minimums through Saturday.
Once the bulk of the inclement weather clears early next
week...subsequent work week temperature readings will warm back
up into the mean upper 80s to lower 90s through the dry out
period. 31

&&

.MARINE...
Onshore flow has come back up in advance of storm complex currently
in cntl Tx. Will re-hoist the caution flags in the Gulf waters into
the early aftn hours. Anticipate this storm complex to move
into/impact the upper Tx coastal waters between now and that time as
well with locally higher/rough waters. Expect winds/seas to weaken a
bit late in the day, but repeat scenarios can be expected into the
weekend as a series of upper level disturbances move overhead and
produce periods of unsettled weather. May see a weak frontal
boundary approach the coast later this weekend, but there is still
considerable uncertainty in regards to timing. 47

&&

.AVIATION...
Look for increasing tstm coverage this morning...persisting into the
mid/late aftn hours. Favorable upper level pattern for locally
heavy/training cells. Will probably see somewhat a break in the
precip this evening...followed by regeneration overnight. As long
the the upper low remains to our west (which it should going into
the weekend) look for disturbances rotating around it to trigger
periods of unsettled wx and storm complexes. Outside of convection,
expect mostly VFR conditions, but maybe some patchy shallow fog at
night. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 79 68 81 68 81 / 100 50 60 60 70
Houston (IAH) 79 69 83 69 82 / 90 60 70 60 70
Galveston (GLS) 81 74 81 76 81 / 90 90 70 80 50

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Flash Flood Watch through Friday evening FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: Austin...Brazoria...Brazos...Burleson...Chambers...
Colorado...Fort Bend...Galveston...Grimes...Harris...
Houston...Jackson...Liberty...Madison...Matagorda...
Montgomery...Polk...San Jacinto...Trinity...Walker...
Waller...Washington...Wharton.

GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION until 3 PM CDT this
afternoon FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: Coastal waters from
Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM...Coastal
waters from High Island to Freeport out 20 NM...Waters from
Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM...
Waters from High Island to Freeport from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

Discussion...31/47
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srainhoutx
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Will need to watch for redevelopment this afternoon/evening and certainly overnight for additional thunderstorms and a potential core rain event as the mid/upper storm system becomes more warm core. Typically during the daytime hours with these warm core systems, the thunderstorms spread out and then contract back closer to the core of the main storm system. I see thunderstorms firing West of Eagle Pass across the border with additional storms close to the mid/upper low near Big Bend.
Attachments
06022016 1330Z TX WV latest.jpg
06022016 1330Z TX VIS latest.jpg
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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djjordan
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This line of storms going through Sugar Land right now have some tremendous wind energy and an absolute downpour of rainfall with it as they move ENE..... could easily see trees knocked over with these downbursts.
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
Ounce
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Texashawk wrote:It seems like once this big line passes we'll be Ok? Completely clear behind that line it seems all the way to the border...
As much as the NWS and the mets here are talking a lot of rain, I would probably characterize this line as the warm up act for the main event. At least, the clear area behind this line will allow for this rain to get to the bayous and creeks before more arrives.
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djmike
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FLASH FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
906 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.LOW PRESSURE ADVANCING VERY SLOWLY EAST ACROSS TEXAS WILL BRING
OCCASIONAL MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHWEST
AND WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

LAZ027-030-031-041-042-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-022100-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FF.A.0006.160602T1406Z-160604T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VERNON-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-WEST CAMERON-
EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-
NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT POLK...PICKERING...LEESVILLE...
SLAGLE...BUNDICK LAKE...DE RIDDER...FIELDS...ORETTA...OAKDALE...
KINDER...LAKE CHARLES...SULPHUR...HATHAWAY...JENNINGS...TOPSY...
ROANOKE...WELSH...LAKE ARTHUR...HACKBERRY...JOHNSON BAYOU...
GRAND LAKE...KLONDIKE...CAMERON...CREOLE...GRAND CHENIER...
RUTHERFORD BEACH...TOWN BLUFF...FRED...HILLISTER...IVANHOE...
SPURGER...WARREN...WOODVILLE...LUMBERTON...SILSBEE...BEAUMONT...
SABINE PASS...SEA RIM STATE PARK...ORANGE...VIDOR...BRIDGE CITY...
HOLLY SPRINGS...JASPER...KIRBYVILLE...MAGNOLIA SPRINGS...
MT. UNION...ROGANVILLE...BURKEVILLE...FARRSVILLE...JAMESTOWN...
NEWTON...WIERGATE...BLEAKWOOD...CALL...GIST...BUNA...EVADALE...
DEWEYVILLE
906 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST
TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN LOUISIANA...ALLEN...
BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...EAST CAMERON...JEFFERSON DAVIS...
VERNON AND WEST CAMERON. IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...HARDIN...
JEFFERSON...NORTHERN JASPER...NORTHERN NEWTON...ORANGE...
SOUTHERN JASPER...SOUTHERN NEWTON AND TYLER.

* THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING

* LOW PRESSURE ADVANCING SLOWLY EAST ACROSS TEXAS WILL RESULT IN
OCCASIONAL MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS
WITHIN A VERY TROPICAL AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR
EXTREME RAINFALL RATES ALONG WITH DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING.
DAILY RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE COMMON...WITH ISOLATED
AREAS RECEIVING 4 TO 8 INCHES. THIS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS ACROSS AREAS WHERE GROUNDS ARE ALREADY
SATURATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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srainhoutx
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06022016 mcd0290.gif

MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0290
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1018 AM EDT THU JUN 02 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING LIKELY

VALID 021400Z - 021800Z

SUMMARY...SLOW-MOVING AXIS OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.

DISCUSSION...EARLY MORNING WV IMAGERY AND A 0844Z MODIS PASS SHOWS
A WELL-DEFINED MID LEVEL LOW CENTER MOVING TOWARD THE BIG BEND
AREA OF TX. THIS IS FOSTERING AN AXIS OF DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT
AROUND THE NORTHERN FLANK OF THE CLOSED LOW INVOLVING MUCH OF
CENTRAL TX. STRONG DEEP LAYER ASCENT AS A RESULT IS IN PLACE AND
IS INTERACTING WITH A POOL OF MODEST INSTABILITY THAT HAS BEEN
LIFTING NORTH OUT OF THE TX HILL COUNTRY. MEANWHILE...PWATS ARE
RUNNING AS HIGH AS 1.5 INCHES WITH THE GREATER VALUES FOCUSED EVEN
FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST. THE COMBINATION OF STRONGER DYNAMICAL
FORCING AND THERMODYNAMICS HAS BEEN RESULTING IN THE PERSISTENCE
OF STRONG CONVECTION.

HEAVY RAINFALL RATES CONTINUE TO REACH AND LOCALLY EXCEED 2
INCHES/HR GIVEN THE DEEPER COLUMN OF MOISTURE AND EFFICIENT NATURE
OF THE CONVECTION. CONSEQUENTLY...THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING
CONTINUES AND SHOULD REMAIN IN PLACE FOR AT LEAST SEVERAL MORE
HOURS.

EXPECT ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 3 TO 5 INCHES AT LEAST
LOCALLY THROUGH 18Z. GIVEN THE WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS...THESE
AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO PROMOTE MORE FLASH FLOODING.

ORRISON

ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...LUB...MAF...SJT...
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
929 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
EASTERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHEASTERN CHAMBERS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1230 PM CDT

* AT 927 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE
ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
EASTERN LIBERTY...AMES...DAISETTA...HARDIN...DEVERS...DAYTON LAKES...
WINNIE...STOWELL...RYE...MOSS HILL...WALLISVILLE...HANKAMER AND
ROMAYOR.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE AS THIS LINE OF STORMS INTENSIFIES.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
938 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016
LIBERTY TX-MONTGOMERY TX-HARRIS TX-
938 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
WEST CENTRAL LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
CENTRAL HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1230 PM CDT

* AT 937 AM CDT...HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH A CLUSTER OF STORMS
MOVING THROUGH HARRIS COUNTY HAS BEEN PRODUCING RAINFALL RATES OF
ALMOST 2 INCHES PER HOUR. THIS WILL CAUSE STREET FLOODING AS
IT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
HUMBLE...JERSEY VILLAGE...HUNTERS CREEK VILLAGE...PINEY POINT VILLAGE...
SPRING VALLEY...GREATER FIFTH WARD...FOURTH WARD...SPRING BRANCH WEST...
NEARTOWN / MONTROSE...SECOND WARD...GREATER EASTWOOD...GREATER
GREENSPOINT...DOWNTOWN HOUSTON...GREATER HEIGHTS...NEAR NORTHSIDE
HOUSTON...SPRING...KINGWOOD...NORTHSIDE / NORTHLINE...AFTON OAKS /
RIVER OAKS AREA AND GREATER THIRD WARD.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Texashawk
Posts: 175
Joined: Wed Feb 02, 2011 1:29 pm
Location: Sienna, Texas
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Clear blue skies to the west - looks like we're clear (at least for a while). East Siders - hope is coming!
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