August 2017: Looking Back at Harvey 5 Year Later

[jasons2k]

https://www.houstonpublicmedia.org/arti ... -continue/

[Texaspirate11]

INVERNESS FOREST - MANDATORY EVACUATION - BREACH OF LEVY

[srainhoutx]

INVERNESS FOREST - MANDATORY EVACUATION - BREACH OF LEVY

[DoctorMu]

It looks to me like Harvey is moving east at a fairly fast pace right now. Does anyone else agree or am I looking at it wrong?

Sure looking like that to me as well.

The center is moving slowly eastward around Freeport. Rearrangement of core and dry slot moving east makes the storm appear to be moving faster than it is. heavier rains converging on Hillcrest, Baytown.

[srainhoutx]

From Jeff:

Flow likely to engage the N end Addicks spillway. Flooding of Twin Lakes, Eldridge Lakes, and N Eldridge Lakes is increasingly likely

[unome]

Folks, I just got this on emergency alert on my phone - " LAE in this area till 5:59 PM CST. Assess. TX Galevsto."

What does this mean?

possibly "Local Area Emergency" - see pg 18
http://transition.fcc.gov/Daily_Release ... 5165A1.pdf

[srainhoutx]

Live feed up at Addicks from Mark Sudduth...

http://www.ustream.tv/channel/JgyNETD3X ... 0828164215


http://www.ustream.tv/channel/SPvAJLUah ... 0828164416

[Texaspirate11]

Folks, I just got this on emergency alert on my phone - " LAE in this area till 5:59 PM CST. Assess. TX Galevsto."

What does this mean?

possibly "Local Area Emergency" - see pg 18
http://transition.fcc.gov/Daily_Release ... 5165A1.pdf

Because of impending ts harvey

[DoctorMu]

Yeah, flow into the reservoirs is exceeding the amount of water they are letting out. Breaches imminent over the levees.

[basketballrox88]

What do the models look like tonight? I know they were not looking good earlier.

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Harvey Intermediate Advisory Number 34A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
700 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING INTO THE GREATER HOUSTON AREA WHERE
CATASTROPHIC FLOODING CONTINUES...
...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL IN THE AFFECTED AREAS IF YOU ARE IN
A SAFE PLACE AND DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED ROADWAYS...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.2N 95.5W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM E OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
ABOUT 150 MI...245 KM SW OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 120 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Mesquite Bay to Intracoastal City

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Port Bolivar to Morgan City

Catastrophic and life-threatening flooding continues in southeastern
Texas and portions of southwestern Louisiana. Please see warnings
and other products issued by your local National Weather Service
office for additional information on this life-threatening
situation.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

Interests elsewhere along the middle and upper Texas coast and in
southern Louisiana should continue to monitor the progress of
Harvey.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Harvey was
located near latitude 28.2 North, longitude 95.5 West. Harvey is
moving toward the east-southeast near 3 mph (6 km/h), and a slow
motion toward the southeast is expected through tonight. A gradual
turn toward the northeast and a continued slow forward speed are
expected Tuesday and Tuesday night. On the forecast track, the
center of Harvey is expected to be just offshore of the middle and
upper coasts of Texas through Tuesday night, then move inland over
the northwestern Gulf coast on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48
hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center. The National Ocean Service automated station at
the Matagorda Bay entrance recently reported sustained winds of 41
mph (67 km/h) and a wind gust of 55 mph (89 km/h).

The minimum central pressure estimated from buoy observations is
997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Harvey is expected to produce additional rainfall
accumulations of 10 to 20 inches through Thursday over parts of the
upper Texas coast into southwestern Louisiana. Isolated storm
totals may reach 50 inches over the upper Texas coast, including the
Houston/Galveston metropolitan area. These rains are currently
producing catastrophic and life-threatening flooding over large
portions of southeastern Texas. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL IN THE
AFFECTED AREA IF YOU ARE IN A SAFE PLACE. DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED
ROADWAYS. Please see warnings and products issued by your local
National Weather Service office for additional information on this
life-threatening situation.

Elsewhere, Harvey is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
5 to 15 inches farther south into the middle Texas coast and farther
east across south-central Louisiana. Rainfall amounts of 5 to 10
inches are expected in southeast Louisiana.

A list of rainfall observations compiled by the NOAA Weather
Prediction Center can be found at:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is
expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak
surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Port Aransas to Morgan City including Galveston Bay...1 to 3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near the
area of onshore winds. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring in rain bands well
to the east of the center of Harvey, and along the coast to the
southwest of the center. Tropical storm conditions are likely to
persist within the warning area during the next couple of days.

SURF: Swells generated by Harvey are affecting the coasts of Texas
and Louisiana. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible through Tuesday across
southern Louisiana and extreme southeast Texas.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
716 PM CDT MON AUG 28 2017

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Eastern Wharton County in southeastern Texas...
Southeastern Austin County in southeastern Texas...
Galveston County in southeastern Texas...
Fort Bend County in southeastern Texas...
Brazoria County in southeastern Texas...
Chambers County in southeastern Texas...
Southeastern Waller County in southeastern Texas...
Southeastern Liberty County in southeastern Texas...
Northeastern Matagorda County in southeastern Texas...
Harris County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 1115 PM CDT.

* At 713 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. 2 to 5
inches of rain have fallen in the last 6 hours. Flash flooding is
expected to begin shortly.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Pasadena, Pearland, League City, Sugar Land, Baytown, Missouri
City, Galveston Island West End, Galveston Causeway, Texas City,
Friendswood, La Porte, Deer Park, Rosenberg, Lake Jackson, Alvin,
Angleton, Dickinson, Stafford, Bay City and South Houston.

Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in the
warned area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.

[wthrwave]

Rainfall totals for my area

Wed 8-23
2.16

Thurs 8-24
.81

Sat 8-26
6.18

Sun. 8-27
9.83

Today 8-28
1.73

Total as of this posting is 20.71 inches. Unless there is a gremlin messing with my station atop…numbers are fairly accurate. We compared readings on our gauge in the yard. It ran over Saturday in the evening but it was raining too hard to dump it so we lost a little.

I just wanted to say that as usual this forum has done an outstanding job posting information. It’s the place I go to for the comm. before, during and after the storm.

As I watched the forecast, I thought…dude, enuff already…this storm wants to take up residency here.

There was creek overflow here in Bryan, reminiscent of our tornado/flood event in June of ‘16. As we drove around town, I wondered if people may have evacuated towards us, but it did not appear as so.

I’m just sick about the flooding and what people must be going through. I pray for everyone’s safety.

[Katdaddy]

Heavy rains ongoing with gusting winds in W League City.

[srainhoutx]

Jeff will hold a press conference regarding Addicks and Barker Reservoirs @ 8 PM

[unome]

Jeff will hold a press conference regarding Addicks and Barker Reservoirs @ 8 PM

https://www.facebook.com/KHOU11/videos/ ... 135034062/
https://www.click2houston.com/live/watc ... prc-2-news
https://www.facebook.com/abc13Houston/v ... 412614342/

[Freeporttx3334]

Wow it's pouring in freeport..streets are starting to flood

[BlueJay]

Does anyone have any updates regarding the mandatory evacuation in Bay City? They were expecting 10 feet of water in their downtown today.

http://baycitytribune.com/community/art ... 930e0.html

[Ptarmigan]

Six family members feared dead in weekend flooding incident
http://www.chron.com/news/houston-weath ... 080594.php

Horrible!

[Rip76]

Looks like this may be ending in not too long.

Hopefully