jasons2k wrote: ↑Fri May 08, 2020 4:38 pm
Well it will be interesting to see if the US and other places get to herd immunity, leaving these untouched places at high risk for new infections.
If you can’t tell, I’ve pretty much bought into the Swedish philosophy with this one. Get to herd immunity as a long-term solution and then you can move on. Otherwise, we’ll be endlessly putting out fires.
It takes 60-70% of the population to reach herd immunity.
Sweden has the US equivalent of 100,000 deaths and rising and will have a 5.4% economic contraction. They are still on the left side of the curve...and remember most people in Sweden live alone.
South Korea has a US equivalent of about a 1000 deaths and will only have a 0.6% contraction.
The US response could even generate $0.75 masks for all and sufficient tests. We cranked out 8 combat aircraft every hour at the peak of WWII. I can't get the PCR test without hospitalization in Brazos Co.
We can't abandon hard data for wishful thinking. Only 15% of the public is wearing masks out and about.
The level of a lack of readiness is astounding. We don't contact trace or target quarantine.
Whether it's a CAT 4-5 hurricane or a CAT4-5 Pandemic
preparedness is the key.