October 2020

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cromagnum
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Cromagnum wrote: Sat Oct 17, 2020 1:23 pm It can't even stay cool for 24 hours
Yep. Every year is:

Withoutnter
Early summer
Hell
Late summer
Fake fall
More summer
Repeat
redneckweather
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jasons2k
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Well, on Saturday they had a 50% chance of rain penciled-in for me today.

Yesterday, I had a sinking feeling when it was lowered to 30% for today.

I woke-up to tropical downpours and it’s been raining on and off all morning, and my windows are fogged-up because it’s so muggy outside. My dew point has been steadily rising this morning too. Interesting time of the year, for sure.
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DoctorMu
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jasons2k wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:52 am Well, on Saturday they had a 50% chance of rain penciled-in for me today.

Yesterday, I had a sinking feeling when it was lowered to 30% for today.

I woke-up to tropical downpours and it’s been raining on and off all morning, and my windows are fogged-up because it’s so muggy outside. My dew point has been steadily rising this morning too. Interesting time of the year, for sure.

Sea breeze and Gulf moisture are cranking up early. October is supposed to be the rainiest month here as capping is low. We've had just a few tenths of an inch this month so far.
txbear
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DoctorMu wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 10:28 am
jasons2k wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:52 am Well, on Saturday they had a 50% chance of rain penciled-in for me today.

Yesterday, I had a sinking feeling when it was lowered to 30% for today.

I woke-up to tropical downpours and it’s been raining on and off all morning, and my windows are fogged-up because it’s so muggy outside. My dew point has been steadily rising this morning too. Interesting time of the year, for sure.

Sea breeze and Gulf moisture are cranking up early. October is supposed to be the rainiest month here as capping is low. We've had just a few tenths of an inch this month so far.
I'm just going to put it bluntly, it's atrocious and disgusting. I'm here for the rains, which if I'm not mistaken, should be driven by cool fronts and/or front overriding. Impacts to the folks in Louisiana aside (really feel for them), seems like Delta really did a number (negatively) to the NW/N flow we had going on.

I'm over it.
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DoctorMu
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txbear wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 10:33 am
DoctorMu wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 10:28 am
jasons2k wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:52 am Well, on Saturday they had a 50% chance of rain penciled-in for me today.

Yesterday, I had a sinking feeling when it was lowered to 30% for today.

I woke-up to tropical downpours and it’s been raining on and off all morning, and my windows are fogged-up because it’s so muggy outside. My dew point has been steadily rising this morning too. Interesting time of the year, for sure.

Sea breeze and Gulf moisture are cranking up early. October is supposed to be the rainiest month here as capping is low. We've had just a few tenths of an inch this month so far.
I'm just going to put it bluntly, it's atrocious and disgusting. I'm here for the rains, which if I'm not mistaken, should be driven by cool fronts and/or front overriding. Impacts to the folks in Louisiana aside (really feel for them), seems like Delta really did a number (negatively) to the NW/N flow we had going on.

I'm over it.

Agreed.

There's actually a cold front stuck between Calvert and Hearne. Emphasis on stuck.
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jasons2k
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That is true. In fact, west of I-35 you can see it nudging back north on the radar loops. It looks like a see-saw.
unome
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thankful for rain we get today, however much - seems to penetrate the soil better than when we water & also cleans the roof & trees, etc - hearing rumbles of thunder & have had a bit already

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https://www.harriscountyfws.org/
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DoctorMu
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jasons2k wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 1:28 pm That is true. In fact, west of I-35 you can see it nudging back north on the radar loops. It looks like a see-saw.
It's 15° cooler just 90 miles away in Waco. 25°F cooler heat index. Northerly breeze. So close, but so far away! :lol:
TXWeatherMan
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GFS has highs next Tuesday in the upper 30’s and low 40’s around our area. Not sure I’m buying that yet lol.
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srainhoutx
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The Climate Prediction Center suggests temperatures will be falling as October comes to an end.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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srainhoutx wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 7:05 pm The Climate Prediction Center suggests temperatures will be falling as October comes to an end.
Such wonderful news Srain had to post it twice!
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srainhoutx
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 7:14 pm
srainhoutx wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 7:05 pm The Climate Prediction Center suggests temperatures will be falling as October comes to an end.
Such wonderful news Srain had to post it twice!
We had a freeze this weekend in the Smokey Mountains and it was right on que climatology wise. I suspect that the late Fall and the coming Winter season will deliver surprises as Canada and Alaska cool down in the weeks ahead. La Nina Winters have delivered record breaking chill to SE Texas in the past....wink
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MontgomeryCoWx
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srainhoutx wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 7:28 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 7:14 pm
srainhoutx wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 7:05 pm The Climate Prediction Center suggests temperatures will be falling as October comes to an end.
Such wonderful news Srain had to post it twice!
We had a freeze this weekend in the Smokey Mountains and it was right on que climatology wise. I suspect that the late Fall and the coming Winter season will deliver surprises as Canada and Alaska cool down in the weeks ahead. La Nina Winters have delivered record breaking chill to SE Texas in the past....wink
I’ll be out your way in mid November for the A&M-Tenn game. Hoping for a cold Knoxville weekend!
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jasons2k
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What happened to having some occasional shortwaves passing by this week, giving us some chances of rain? Looks like they quietly exited stage left.
Kingwood36
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So im hearing rumblings about "strongest front of the season" chatter and lows POSSIBLY in the 30s and highs in the 40s and 50s...any truth to this?
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jasons2k
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I’m not really looking that far ahead yet. It’s probably overdone this far out. I’m more focused on today. My forecast is “Mostly Sunny” with no chance of rain, but I am keeping an eye on that activity towards Winnie building inland.
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DoctorMu
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The last frost/freeze around Halloween I can remember was 1993. We'll see. It's GFS after all.

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DoctorMu
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jasons2k wrote: Tue Oct 20, 2020 12:23 pm I’m not really looking that far ahead yet. It’s probably overdone this far out. I’m more focused on today. My forecast is “Mostly Sunny” with no chance of rain, but I am keeping an eye on that activity towards Winnie building inland.
Yeah, even I have a better chance of rain on Monday and Tuesday than near Spring. Nothing until then.
txbear
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DoctorMu wrote: Tue Oct 20, 2020 12:35 pm The last frost/freeze around Halloween I can remember was 1993. We'll see. It's GFS after all.
So basically, it'll actually end up being 89 degrees, dewpoint of about 70, with a S to SE wind.
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