February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins

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Kingwood36
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Damn, sure is dead in here being what is about to be on our door step
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don
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LOL, I think we're all waiting for the 12z models to come in... ;)
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Kingwood36
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don wrote: ↑Fri Feb 05, 2021 9:54 am LOL, I think we're all waiting for the 12z models to come in... ;)
That's what I figured lol
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Cpv17
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We’re entering the middle range now. I would expect the models to start backing off the cold slowly each run.
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Kingwood36
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Cpv17 wrote: ↑Fri Feb 05, 2021 10:27 am We’re entering the middle range now. I would expect the models to start backing off the cold slowly each run.
Ya and start to pick it back up again Tuesday..happens damn near everytime
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Stormlover2020
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You say that now when the 12z are already running and past the 140 hour range
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djmike
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Dang. Temp was 56 at 6am and now at 10am its 45. We might not get out of the 40s today in Beaumont. Been raining solid for a few hours now.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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don
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12z GFS is very cold with a 1044mb high sitting over north central Texas valentines weekend lol.The air is much drier also because of that and the shortwave(s) doesn't really produce any precipitation in the cold air.While the ICON still has an ice storm.
Last edited by don on Fri Feb 05, 2021 10:47 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Kingwood36
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Lol..ya not buying that
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Cromagnum
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Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Fri Feb 05, 2021 9:50 am Damn, sure is dead in here being what is about to be on our door step
Because nobody believes Lucy anymore.
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don
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12z CMC and ICON are still very cold also with the CMC showing a wintry mix on valentines day. We still have a ways to go before we really have a good idea on how next week will turn out.
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Cpv17
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Honestly, I don’t think I’ve ever seen the models be so aggressive with the cold. Not even in 2018.
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Kingwood36
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Ummmmm...the euro is 20 degrees warmer on thurs in dallas has 50s....freaking Houston is at 80 
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TexasMetBlake
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Wow, the Euro just threw a wrench in everything. No arctic air at all through next Friday. 65 degrees for a high on Saturday. The 12z CMC has a high of 21 degrees at the same time. LOL
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tireman4
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KHOU BLake wrote: ↑Fri Feb 05, 2021 12:59 pm Wow, the Euro just threw a wrench in everything. No arctic air at all through next Friday.

Well you know the models flip flop ..:)
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danmaloney
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don wrote: ↑Fri Feb 05, 2021 10:42 am 12z GFS is very cold with a 1044mb high sitting over north central Texas valentines weekend lol.The air is much drier also because of that and the shortwave(s) doesn't really produce any precipitation in the cold air.While the ICON still has an ice storm.
Thats good. That would mean a deeper cold air column. and snow not ice
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danmaloney
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The euro is smoking something called highway 1$5.
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Cpv17
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danmaloney wrote: ↑Fri Feb 05, 2021 1:48 pm The euro is smoking something called highway 1$5.
Yeah it’s just one run so I wouldn’t put much stock in it. It’s the outlier right now. More interested in seeing the ensembles.
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Rip76
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danmaloney wrote: ↑Fri Feb 05, 2021 1:48 pm The euro is smoking something called highway 1$5.
Haha nice.
You owe me a new keyboard.
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danmaloney
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Cpv17 wrote: ↑Fri Feb 05, 2021 1:53 pm
danmaloney wrote: ↑Fri Feb 05, 2021 1:48 pm The euro is smoking something called highway 1$5.
Yeah it’s just one run so I wouldn’t put much stock in it. It’s the outlier right now. More interested in seeing the ensembles.
The euro has to be wrong. ALL trends are showing an arctic instrusion down the plains with a strong high pressure cell.
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