April 2021

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5360
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

Satellite shows a period of sun coming-up for the next few hours - that should heat things up for later today. I think there may be a bit more instability than expected with the sun coming out.
JDsGN
Posts: 125
Joined: Tue May 23, 2017 10:25 pm
Contact:

jasons2k wrote: Thu Apr 29, 2021 9:29 am Satellite shows a period of sun coming-up for the next few hours - that should heat things up for later today. I think there may be a bit more instability than expected with the sun coming out.
Our good friend Captain Cap will keep it in check have no fear! Haha hope we get some showers blossoming this afternoon
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5647
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

This afternoon should be interesting. However, the air outside looks a lot more stable than yesterday. No sun out. I'm calling bust...for today at least. We'll see.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5647
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Moderate CAPE, lowish shear. IF we get anything it should be a light, moderate rain today.

A lot of dry, mid level air over the Hill Country today on GOES.



https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/s ... &length=24

We'll see what daytime heating brings. If anything looks favorable it's actually SOUTH of HWY Unmentionable.
Cromagnum
Posts: 2592
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:42 pm
Contact:

DoctorMu wrote: Thu Apr 29, 2021 10:45 am Moderate CAPE, lowish shear. IF we get anything it should be a light, moderate rain today.

A lot of dry, mid level air over the Hill Country today on GOES.



https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/s ... &length=24

We'll see what daytime heating brings. If anything looks favorable it's actually SOUTH of HWY Unmentionable.
Is that the 2 or 3 number unmentionable highway? LOL
User avatar
don
Posts: 2575
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Heights
Contact:

Not expecting any significant rain today, widespread rain wont start till after midnight tonight and continuing tomorrow.GFS is still painting some very high rainfall totals.
Attachments
Screenshot_2021-04-29 Models GFS — Pivotal Weather(2).png
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5647
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Cromagnum wrote: Thu Apr 29, 2021 11:13 am
DoctorMu wrote: Thu Apr 29, 2021 10:45 am Moderate CAPE, lowish shear. IF we get anything it should be a light, moderate rain today.

A lot of dry, mid level air over the Hill Country today on GOES.



https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/s ... &length=24

We'll see what daytime heating brings. If anything looks favorable it's actually SOUTH of HWY Unmentionable.
Is that the 2 or 3 number unmentionable highway? LOL
3 :lol:
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5647
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

don wrote: Thu Apr 29, 2021 11:18 am Not expecting any significant rain today, widespread rain wont start till after midnight tonight and continuing tomorrow.GFS is still painting some very high rainfall totals.
Guess I'm mowing later today. ;)
Cpv17
Posts: 5234
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

I think the WPC will upgrade the excessive rainfall forecast to either slight or moderate for a good part of southeast TX in their next update. Based on the latest run of models I’m seeing potential for 4+” for a large part of the area. Pw’s will be around 2” and at times could be exceeding that. We will be getting a large batch of unstable moist air from the western Caribbean/Gulf of Mexico.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5647
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Cpv17 wrote: Thu Apr 29, 2021 1:17 pm I think the WPC will upgrade the excessive rainfall forecast to either slight or moderate for a good part of southeast TX in their next update. Based on the latest run of models I’m seeing potential for 4+” for a large part of the area. Pw’s will be around 2” and at times could be exceeding that. We will be getting a large batch of unstable moist air from the western Caribbean/Gulf of Mexico.
Maybe so. It's looks pretty dry to me at the moment, with just a hair of a swirl over the western Caribbean

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/s ... &length=24

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/c ... &length=24

The low over SE New Mexico is more likely the potential wellspring of showers tonight and tomorrow.
Post Reply
  • Information
  • Who is online

    Users browsing this forum: Ahrefs [Bot], Amazon [Bot], Bing [Bot] and 68 guests