October 2025

[Stratton20]

Cromagnum last year was a la nina year and we had that massive snowstorm in january, 2021 was a la nina year and we remember how february went, we will have periods when it gets cold down here, and obviously warm spells as well, considering this is just a weak la nina signature that will trend back to enso neutral for the 2nd half of winter, I dont anticipate this being a crazy warm winter lol

[DoctorMu]

Yep. Snowfalls in CLL are almost always in La Nina winters. We got a twofer (Jan, Feb.) in 2021.

But for now...

"It's always the same."

https://youtu.be/qumXaS_Lw-4?si=UojuGTCB5RoaTBCw

[tireman4]

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... suedby=HGX

[Stratton20]

And just like that, the CPC has backed off on above normal precipitation across se texas, see yall in the winter, when hopefully we have a pattern thats even worth talking about, because it looks incredibly boring down here the next 3-4 weeks

[Cromagnum]

Pretty much everything in central Texas is dead or about to be. We had the one flood in July, and a couple of popcorn events since. We are around 1% of our normal rainfall for Sep-Nov and its not looking any better anytime soon.

I'm going to Los Maples and Garner State Park next week so hopefully its a little cooler. Not looking forward to hiking in the 90s in late October otherwise.

[DoctorMu]

Low chance of rain with the front and really not any cooler behind it. Saturday will feel awful.

Foliage is desiccating. The rabbits were fat in August - I don't even see them now.

The weekend of the 24/25/26th - maybe some relief. It's always 2 weeks away.

[DoctorMu]

Waiting for Godot precipitation. I mean at least it's not GFS (Euro AI):

[Cromagnum]

Rain chances reduced to 20% here. Fully expect to be dropped from forecast completely by Friday. Trees have given up for the year, some for good.

[tireman4]

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... glossary=1

[Cromagnum]

Time for another "cold front" that brings neither rain, nor cold. I remember when we used to get nice squall lines out of them, but hardly ever see that now.

[Stratton20]

Hot and dry for the remainer of the month, need the MJO to really getting moving in the western hemisphere to help force a pattern change, because this is quite frankly one of the most miserable patterns we have seen in some time, just sucks no matter how you look at it

[tireman4]

Just my opinion. I think, as Steve says, this might be a gradual step down. Many times we have a serious cold front that will knock temperatures down 10-15 degrees within a frontal boundary. I feel, with the factors in front of us, it will take a series of gradual fronts to move into the CWA. Just my take.

[Cpv17]

My only complaint is the lack of rain. I’m loving the temperatures and lower DP’s.

[jasons2k]

Montgomery County added to the burn ban list.

[Ptarmigan]

Hot and dry for the remainer of the month, need the MJO to really getting moving in the western hemisphere to help force a pattern change, because this is quite frankly one of the most miserable patterns we have seen in some time, just sucks no matter how you look at it

Agreed. Time for some cooler weather.

[captainbarbossa19]

Hi everyone! It's been a while. I've been working hard getting our weather company going. We recently launched an app on Apple and Google Play which is slowly gaining traction. We actually hit #5 briefly on Apple in the weather category. Weather has definitely been boring lately. Need the jet stream to dig south more to really get us into a more favorable pattern for rain and cooler air. I think we will see some changes as we get closer to November though. Seeing subtle hints of a potential pattern change. It would be nice to get some more active weather because that would reinforce the need for meteorologists in dynamic weather.

[tireman4]

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... suedby=HGX

[DoctorMu]

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... suedby=HGX

Remember back in the summer and we were looking forward to October
so that we could finally get some relief from the heat? Oh how naive
we were to think we`d have some fall-like weather for more than 2-3
days at a time. What do we even call this...Hot-ober, Summer-tober,
August 75th (yep I did the math)? With ridging remaining in place
going into Thursday, expect the heat to continue.

Batiste is always good for a quip or two. He feels our pain.

Math....hmmmm. 31 + 30 + 15 = August 76th...close enough

At least the lows at night in CLL have been in the upper 50s...but the upcoming weekend offers compression heating in front of the front, high humidity, passage of a dry fake FROPA, then return flow on Monday. So, if the weather can get worse...the answer as we head towards Halloween is YES.

[tireman4]

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... suedby=HGX

Remember back in the summer and we were looking forward to October
so that we could finally get some relief from the heat? Oh how naive
we were to think we`d have some fall-like weather for more than 2-3
days at a time. What do we even call this...Hot-ober, Summer-tober,
August 75th (yep I did the math)? With ridging remaining in place
going into Thursday, expect the heat to continue.

Batiste is always good for a quip or two. He feels our pain.

At least the lows at night in CLL have been in the upper 50s...but the weekend offers compression heating in front of the front, high humidity, passage of a dry fake FROPA, then return flow on Monday. So, if the weather can get worse...the answer as we head towards Halloween is YES.

Man Doc, Halloween has the potential to be a warm one. There might be some relief with rain 27/28th, but could we break the record of 88.

[DoctorMu]

I'm definitely not leaving candy on the porch! What a melted mess.

Feel the burn.

Yes, the next "real" FROPA continues to be 2 weeks away. Every day.