December 2022

[brazoriatx]

Further west is better for us correct

[DoctorMu]

The CMC with a pretty big shift west as well.

CMC was the only model to nail the 2021 Feb winter storm.

[DoctorMu]

Classic, GFS Giveth and GFS taketh, but at least models are maybe starting to come closer to agreement on the cold, that is a good thing

When the ABC13 Mets say Arctic Blast, it's happening.

[Cpv17]

Further west is better for us correct

Yes. We want a deep trough to dig out towards west Texas and the 4 corner region and into Mexico. That would be ideal for us.

[DoctorMu]

so whats the reason behind the models trending back to the west with the trough? Is it just the arctic air?

Yes. Density.

They are moving toward the Ensembles in cold prog.

[Cpv17]

Wow! 1064 MB HP in Montana on the 12z Euro. That would tie the record from 1983.

[redneckweather]

Where is the cold air right now that is supposed to be coming down?

[brazoriatx]

Where is the cold air right now that is supposed to be coming down?

It's supposed to be on the move to North West Canada this weekend..it's still in Siberia

[Cpv17]

Where is the cold air right now that is supposed to be coming down?

It’s crossing over the pole right now about to enter NW Canada. It’s getting displaced out of Siberia due to the strongly negative EPO.

[Dls2010r]

I miss BLAKE!!!!!!

[Cpv17]

The HP peaked at 1065 MB on the 12z Euro. Wild.

[brazoriatx]

That's a pretty stout hp

[DoctorMu]

Where is the cold air right now that is supposed to be coming down?

It's supposed to be on the move to North West Canada this weekend..it's still in Siberia

Getting colder.

[DoctorMu]

Wow! 1064 MB HP in Montana on the 12z Euro. That would tie the record from 1983.

It's going to come down on us like a ton of bricks. 40+ mph winds as well.

[Stratton20]

Joe Bastardi still believes temps arent cold enough even with todays runs, wow

[Cpv17]

Joe Bastardi still believes temps arent cold enough even with todays runs, wow

I mean he’s not lying. If these HP’s are coming into Montana at 1060 MB+ then yeah it’s probably gonna get pretty dang cold especially if the models are overdoing the PNA.

[Dls2010r]

I’m confused. I live in Galveston county in the mainland. How cold are we talking. I’m not Houston.

[vci_guy2003]

I’m confused. I live in Galveston county in the mainland. How cold are we talking. I’m not Houston.

You’re close enough. We’re all gonna get some.

[Stratton20]

Dls2010r likely low to mid 30’s for highs in galveston

[Dls2010r]

I’m pier and beam. My pipes? Lows?