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Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 4:41 pm
by djmike
brazoriatx wrote: ↑Sat Dec 17, 2022 4:40 pm
Where are yall seeing that? Mine only goes to Saturday during the day with a 20% chance
NWS for Thursday night! Im in Beaumont and Orange.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 4:42 pm
by brazoriatx
I have a low of 22 and zero precip..not sure how that works if Katy and Beaumont have 20 or 30%
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 4:44 pm
by Cpv17
djmike wrote: ↑Sat Dec 17, 2022 4:41 pm
Curious, can it actually just rain at 18 degrees?
Yes.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 4:44 pm
by christinac2016
Oooh snow! 🌨🌨
My luck The Woodlands will be left out.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 4:53 pm
by Stratton20
18z GFS gets so so close to showing snow, at the 500 mb vort level, the shortwave is not as sheared out on this run
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 5:05 pm
by TexasBreeze
Precip trend is good and the run is a little colder too to boot!
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 5:49 pm
by art3
Query because last time I couldn't move inside 2 big potted plants. If I get them into garage us that enough?
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 6:24 pm
by Cpv17
It looks like things are slowly trending better and better for some wintry weather down here.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 6:30 pm
by djmike
My percentage for Thursday night went up from 20% now to 30% with a temp of 22 for Beaumont. Hmmm…
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 6:34 pm
by brazoriatx
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 17, 2022 6:24 pm
It looks like things are slowly trending better and better for some wintry weather down here.
How so
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 6:37 pm
by Stratton20
brazoriatx 500mb vorticity is looking better on the GFS, its not as sheared out meaning it produces more lift
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 6:38 pm
by Cpv17
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 17, 2022 6:37 pm
brazoriatx 500mb vorticity is looking better on the GFS, its not as sheared out meaning it produces more lift
Ditto and trough placement is looking a lil better.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 6:40 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
brazoriatx wrote: ↑Sat Dec 17, 2022 6:34 pm
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 17, 2022 6:24 pm
It looks like things are slowly trending better and better for some wintry weather down here.
How so
Trough keeps moving in our direction.
Stop looking at precip output and look at the energy.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 7:18 pm
by sambucol
We have started our winter prepping of our home. Hope it snows and sticks here!
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 7:30 pm
by Cpv17
sambucol wrote: ↑Sat Dec 17, 2022 7:18 pm
We have started our winter prepping of our home. Hope it snows and sticks here!
Watch the trough placement. The further south and west it can go the better chance we’ll have for some wintry weather.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 8:31 pm
by sambucol
Do you think that will happen? I’ve been checking on and off today, but have been busy.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 8:34 pm
by Stratton20
its possible
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 10:09 pm
by Texaspirate11
Just finishing wrapping our pipes in Galveston.
Not really comfortable with any of these forecasts.
Just wanna be prepared.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 10:20 pm
by Stratton20
00z ICON has some light snow moving across northern counties in SE Texas fwiw
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 11:11 pm
by DoctorMu
Follow the money.