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Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2022 3:58 pm
by DoctorMu
The NWS forecast is now right in line with Montgomery and my predictions. If we can only get lucky with a little moisture!
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2022 3:58 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
I still think CLL could see 8-9 degrees
And I’m certainly not throwing in the towel on potential precip late Christmas Eve.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:00 pm
by DoctorMu
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sun Dec 18, 2022 3:58 pm
I still think CLL could see 8-9 degrees
It's very possible, although the Aggie UHI could mitigate by a few degrees.
It ain't over until it's over on precip! (except during the summer in CLL)
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:03 pm
by Cpv17
Ptarmigan wrote: ↑Sun Dec 18, 2022 3:43 pm
TexasMetBlake wrote: ↑Sun Dec 18, 2022 3:34 pm
NWS has lowered the expected low at IAH to 15°F on Thursday night and 19°F on Friday night. Still might not be low enough. Yikes.
Often when the temperature does not go above freezing, it is cloudy. The forecast has it as clear.
Strong CAA could overcome that.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:10 pm
by Stormlover2020
Icon showing 10 degrees now in southeast texas
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:21 pm
by Cpv17
The ICON has a 1044 MB HP close to central Texas lol that’s just silly.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:30 pm
by brazoriatx
Any moisture that falls will probably fall north of hwy 1*5
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:33 pm
by cperk
The NWS has my area with a high of 48 on Christmas day i think that may be a bit high.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:38 pm
by bdog38
accuweather has katy at 9 degrees on thursday and 18 on friday as lows .
its worse than thier saying. if they can't get temp right how do we know about precip.
hoping for a white out.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:42 pm
by Stratton20
As I say, these arctic airmasses always have surprises with them, I mean im not calling for snow, but I wouldnt be shocked to see a few flakes fly somewhere,
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:43 pm
by christinac2016
Please remind me what CLL stands for
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:44 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
College Station
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:51 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
cperk wrote: ↑Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:33 pm
The NWS has my area with a high of 48 on Christmas day i think that may be a bit high.
Where are you located? I looked across a few models…. I see nothing remotely in that range. I’m guessing some coastal areas could see low-mid 40s on Christmas but that would be it.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:53 pm
by brazoriatx
Sat high of 39 and Xmas day a high of 47 for me in angleton..
I call bs on those highs...
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:55 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
brazoriatx wrote: ↑Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:53 pm
Sat high of 39 and Xmas day a high of 47 for me in angleton..
I call bs on those highs...
Must be some climo factored in, because the majors don’t show that.
I’m beginning to wonder if I pop above freezing Saturday…. Maybe 34-35 max.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:55 pm
by suprdav2
Wife and I are supposed to fly out to Charlotte on Christmas day, then drive to Gatlinburg/Pigeon Forge on the 26th until the 29th for our 25th anniversary. Do you think we should cancel due to the weather, or should we be ok? Our main concern is driving across the Smokies on the 26th.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:56 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
suprdav2 wrote: ↑Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:55 pm
Wife and I are supposed to fly out to Charlotte on Christmas day, then drive to Gatlinburg/Pigeon Forge on the 26th until the 29th for our 25th anniversary. Do you think we should cancel due to the weather, or should we be ok? Our main concern is driving across the Smokies on the 26th.
I’ll defer to srain on that.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2022 5:17 pm
by cperk
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:51 pm
cperk wrote: ↑Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:33 pm
The NWS has my area with a high of 48 on Christmas day i think that may be a bit high.
Where are you located? I looked across a few models…. I see nothing remotely in that range. I’m guessing some coastal areas could see low-mid 40s on Christmas but that would be it.
In Richmond about 15 to 20 miles south of Houston.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2022 5:56 pm
by srainhoutx
suprdav2 wrote: ↑Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:55 pm
Wife and I are supposed to fly out to Charlotte on Christmas day, then drive to Gatlinburg/Pigeon Forge on the 26th until the 29th for our 25th anniversary. Do you think we should cancel due to the weather, or should we be ok? Our main concern is driving across the Smokies on the 26th.
You folks should be just fine. It's going to be cold, but currently no precipitation in our local forecast for the 26th. North Carolina DOT does a remarkable job keeping I-40 open. There is some construction on I-40 near the Tennessee State Line in the Pigeon Gorge, but delays are nothing like the Houston metro area. Enjoy your trip and Happy Anniversary!
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2022 6:14 pm
by suprdav2
srainhoutx wrote: ↑Sun Dec 18, 2022 5:56 pm
suprdav2 wrote: ↑Sun Dec 18, 2022 4:55 pm
Wife and I are supposed to fly out to Charlotte on Christmas day, then drive to Gatlinburg/Pigeon Forge on the 26th until the 29th for our 25th anniversary. Do you think we should cancel due to the weather, or should we be ok? Our main concern is driving across the Smokies on the 26th.
You folks should be just fine. It's going to be cold, but currently no precipitation in our local forecast for the 26th. North Carolina DOT does a remarkable job keeping I-40 open. There is some construction on I-40 near the Tennessee State Line in the Pigeon Gorge, but delays are nothing like the Houston metro area. Enjoy your trip and Happy Anniversary!
Thanks, Steve!!
