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Cpv17 yeah the difference between who gets just an inch of rain and who gets like 4,5,6+ inches could be nuts, as they say it’s feast or famine when it comes to this event

S of 59 and I-10 now looks like far less rain as the models flipped. I'm kind of amazed at this much rain on the cold side of a spring front without SJT support.

Hope you guys get it. I would actually like a little less rain. (save it for the summer!)

Yeah south of I-10 it’s not looking good for rain on Thursday. Overnight mesoscale models have really pushed the rain further NW. Friday looks more promising for the rest of us but I’m no longer expecting a big rain event from this. And by big I mean 4+ inches. That looks to be more towards Columbus and Brenham instead of along the 59 corridor like originally thought. I would say 1-3” for the rest of us. And don’t be surprised if you don’t see much of anything on Thursday. Unless the models change today.

So freaking lame if that pans out. Badly need rain now because we for sure aren't getting jack during the summer.

We're in range of the HRRR model. It shows a VERY active Friday as the coastal low cranks up. Looks like Thursdays rain wil be focused more in the northern counties with the axis of heaviest rain shifting south on Friday due to the coastal low.

The HRRR has a bullseye of 15 inches of rain in Brazoria county FWIW.

NAM 3K even has some large bullseyes, flash flood watch may be needed tommorow for some counties, thursday- friday fwiw
I get nearly a foot of rain if that model verifies, yikes

So anywhere between 1 to 15 inches...

12Z GFS also showing the heavy precip associated with the coastal low.

It’s almost time for everyone’s favorite April game…

“WHERE. WILL. THAT. FRONT. STALL???”

*cheers and applause*

Damn..only if it was cold that would be one hell of a winter storm...maybe next year

I’m glad that wasn’t it because I didn’t get a drop here. Of course, now it has congealed into a solid line.

First batch of heavy rain moving into the metro with the front

12z Euro rainfall

Looks like the euro has a couple of bullseyes , interesting to see if a FFW gets issued later

Its pouring here.Parts of north Houston have already picked up almost 2 inches today with more rain coming...

don wrote: ↑Wed Apr 05, 2023 2:29 pm Its pouring here.Parts of north Houston have already picked up almost 2 inches today with more rain coming...

All south of here…. so far… nada.

I’m loving the latest CPC forecast!!

Cpv17 agreed! Definitely think we are in for quite a wet month

The latest WPC total 7 day QPF forecast has significantly cut back on totals: