August 2021: Major Hurricane Ida/SE Louisiana Landfall
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Don yep looking likely that we have another potential system to track soon
Really hot.jasons2k wrote: ↑Thu Aug 26, 2021 11:56 amMonday’s forecast: hot and dry.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Aug 26, 2021 10:45 am Jasons2k I wouldnt say that just yet, until the upper texas coast is out of the cone, its not all clear just yet
- captainbarbossa19
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I am starting to get 2008 vibes this season now.
Why? I thought the models are showing it heading away from us?captainbarbossa19 wrote: ↑Thu Aug 26, 2021 12:27 pm I am starting to get 2008 vibes this season now.
- captainbarbossa19
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They are generally. I just think that this will not be the last threat and the next one might be a direct hit. This is reminding me of Gustav before Ike.sambucol wrote: ↑Thu Aug 26, 2021 12:32 pmWhy? I thought the models are showing it heading away from us?captainbarbossa19 wrote: ↑Thu Aug 26, 2021 12:27 pm I am starting to get 2008 vibes this season now.
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RECON in the air.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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Man that next storm looks nasty!! Like Scott was saying a few days back, that one could have big potential.
FWIW 2008 is one of the analogs for this years season.captainbarbossa19 wrote: ↑Thu Aug 26, 2021 12:37 pmThey are generally. I just think that this will not be the last threat and the next one might be a direct hit. This is reminding me of Gustav before Ike.sambucol wrote: ↑Thu Aug 26, 2021 12:32 pmWhy? I thought the models are showing it heading away from us?captainbarbossa19 wrote: ↑Thu Aug 26, 2021 12:27 pm I am starting to get 2008 vibes this season now.
I feel bad for Louisiana. 5 storms last year, and here they are getting another one. Can't catch a break.
- tireman4
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Wxman 57 on S2K
Not much time to post. I have Cat 3 landfall south of Morgan City around 6pm Sunday. I'm east of TVCN (consensus) and a little faster, thinking consensus is shifting east of Vermilion Bay. Need to get this one inland before the big Labor Day Hurricane hits Louisiana the Tuesday after Labor Day (GFS).
Not much time to post. I have Cat 3 landfall south of Morgan City around 6pm Sunday. I'm east of TVCN (consensus) and a little faster, thinking consensus is shifting east of Vermilion Bay. Need to get this one inland before the big Labor Day Hurricane hits Louisiana the Tuesday after Labor Day (GFS).
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Wait..we have another coming after labor day?tireman4 wrote: ↑Thu Aug 26, 2021 1:14 pm Wxman 57 on S2K
Not much time to post. I have Cat 3 landfall south of Morgan City around 6pm Sunday. I'm east of TVCN (consensus) and a little faster, thinking consensus is shifting east of Vermilion Bay. Need to get this one inland before the big Labor Day Hurricane hits Louisiana the Tuesday after Labor Day (GFS).
Possibly, the GFS and CMC are already picking up on TC genesis as early as next Wednesday in the northwest caribbean like TD 9.Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Thu Aug 26, 2021 1:19 pmWait..we have another coming after labor day?tireman4 wrote: ↑Thu Aug 26, 2021 1:14 pm Wxman 57 on S2K
Not much time to post. I have Cat 3 landfall south of Morgan City around 6pm Sunday. I'm east of TVCN (consensus) and a little faster, thinking consensus is shifting east of Vermilion Bay. Need to get this one inland before the big Labor Day Hurricane hits Louisiana the Tuesday after Labor Day (GFS).
Last edited by don on Thu Aug 26, 2021 1:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Kingwood36 I assume hea talking about the storms that the GFS is showing around day 8-10 after IDA, dont know why hes claiming its going to hit Lousiana when that literally is 11 days out on the model
He was being sarcastic...Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Aug 26, 2021 1:22 pm Kingwood36 I assume hea talking about the storms that the GFS is showing around day 8-10 after IDA, dont know why hes claiming its going to hit Lousiana when that literally is 11 days out on the model
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He was being sarcastic...Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Aug 26, 2021 1:22 pm Kingwood36 I assume hea talking about the storms that the GFS is showing around day 8-10 after IDA, dont know why hes claiming its going to hit Lousiana when that literally is 11 days out on the model
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Ah gotcha lol, sarcasm is hard to pick up on social media a lol
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He was being a smart ***. He has a dry sense of humor. The GFS spins up systems all the time, the GEFS shows nothing ATM. He was trying to be funny.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Aug 26, 2021 1:22 pm Kingwood36 I assume hea talking about the storms that the GFS is showing around day 8-10 after IDA, dont know why hes claiming its going to hit Lousiana when that literally is 11 days out on the model
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225forlyfe ah gotcha haha, I dont follow his twitter account ao I didnt know if he was joking or being serious lol
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The 12Z ECMWF is a little faster with TD Nine and a tad weaker. Makes it a little further west which would be a better solution compared to the GFS for NOLA region
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