Wx Infinity Forums

djmike wrote: ↑Tue Apr 12, 2022 7:16 pm Sooooooo are we done with the storms for SETX for today/tonight? I was expecting a little more action? Or is something supposed to transpire overnight?

There's a chance of storms tomorrow also but just like today was, its conditional on the cap breaking.I wouldn't get my hopes up on that happening but its possible.

5.5 inch hail has been confirmed in Salado, TX

Iceresistance wrote: ↑Tue Apr 12, 2022 7:54 pm 5.5 inch hail has been confirmed in Salado, TX

I just saw a picture of that. Wow, I can’t believe that! Unreal.

Impressive hail. the tornado looked like an F0.

The energy is north of here. As expected:

Wouldn’t surprise me if some areas around Temple picked up 3 or 4” of rain or more. That was quite a cell that just parked over them for a good while.

5.5 inch size hail? Man thats some serious damage right their

Looks like a close call for Hearne (not too far north of BCS).

This is the most promising run of the GEFS yet:

CPV17 unfortunately thats 16 days out

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Tue Apr 12, 2022 9:27 pm CPV17 unfortunately thats 16 days out

It’s an ensemble. That’s what you look at when you’re talking long range. It’s a good sign.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Tue Apr 12, 2022 9:30 pm

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Tue Apr 12, 2022 9:27 pm CPV17 unfortunately thats 16 days out

It’s an ensemble. That’s what you look at when you’re talking long range. It’s a good sign.

What I always like to remind people is that sometimes it only takes one storm to break a drought for us. Lol

Where are our storms supposed to start forming? My NWS in Beaumont has 70% storms around 3-5pm. I dont see anything except whats up north.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Tue Apr 12, 2022 9:00 pm Looks like a close call for Hearne (not too far north of BCS).

As predicted.

We had a few sprinkles this am. That's about it.

Some storms may develop around Cleveland, TX this afternoon.

Not much rain in the forecast over the next week. 90° days in April are happening each week, which is early. Lots of trepidation about late Spring and Summer re: drought, heat.

djmike wrote: ↑Wed Apr 13, 2022 12:23 pm Where are our storms supposed to start forming? My NWS in Beaumont has 70% storms around 3-5pm. I dont see anything except whats up north.

Hot and muggy and not much else. Gonna be a long miserable summer

000
FXUS64 KHGX 131745
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1245 PM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022

.AVIATION [18Z TAF Issuance]...

MVFR to occasional IFR conditions are expected to improve from
west to east through early evening. The cold front is currently
west of KCLL and will gradually shift east-southeast, reaching the
coastal terminals early this evening. Showers and isolated storms
are expected ahead and along the boundary mainly after 20-21Z
Wed. Gusts up to 30 knots can be expected with any storms.
Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected this evening through the
end of the TAF period. Gusty southerly winds early this afternoon
will decrease after late this afternoon/early evening before
shifting to the NNE.

05

When I woke-up, NWS had raised my chances to 50% for today and the weather app showed 80%.

NWS midday update lowered them to 30%. Just refreshed my phone app and just like that - zap - shows no rain today. In fact, no rain for the next 10 days.

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Wed Apr 13, 2022 1:18 pm

djmike wrote: ↑Wed Apr 13, 2022 12:23 pm Where are our storms supposed to start forming? My NWS in Beaumont has 70% storms around 3-5pm. I dont see anything except whats up north.

Hot and muggy and not much else. Gonna be a long miserable summer

It's always miserable in the summer. Haha! As far as the rain pattern, it's still too early. Remember, last spring was dry like this until about late-April to early May.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Wed Apr 13, 2022 1:56 pm When I woke-up, NWS had raised my chances to 50% for today and the weather app showed 80%.

NWS midday update lowered them to 30%. Just refreshed my phone app and just like that - zap - shows no rain today. In fact, no rain for the next 10 days.

12z EURO is showing another system in about a week for us. It looks more promising because this time, the heavier action is more SW in the state.