All famine, all the time here. Still.
Allegedly climo may take a hand next week...but they said that for this week as well...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YYtBF1OVciU
The first half of June...you made me promises, promises...you knew you'd never keep.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
625 PM CDT Tue Sep 5 2023
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 316 PM CDT Tue Sep 5 2023
Showers and thunderstorms are continuing this afternoon, courtesy of
a mid-upper level shortwave and elevated PWAT values. The trend
today has been a combination of showers/storms moving inland from
the Gulf of Mexico and showers/storms firing up from the outflow
boundaries of dying storms. Expect this trend to continue with the
sea breeze, with precipitation dissipating around sunset with the
loss of heating.
Unfortunately, the rainfall has not been enough to suppress the
heat in most locations. Heat index values remain in the triple
digits for the majority of the area, with several locations
reaching/exceeding 108 degrees.
Expecting a similar trend with temperatures for tomorrow, so have
issued a Heat Advisory for much of SE Texas for Wednesday afternoon
(NW counties are excluded for now, but may need to be reassessed
with the overnight forecast).
High pressure is expected to stake claim over the area tomorrow and
moisture will become more shallow as winds at the 925mb layer become
NE by afternoon hours and usher in drier air. While rain chances
will be lower than what has been observed today due to the high
pressure, residual moisture and PVA could allow for some isolated
development closer to the coast.
Adams
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Monday)
Issued at 316 PM CDT Tue Sep 5 2023
Broad mid level ridging generally centered in West Tx and NM should
dominate area wx for the rest of the work week and into the weekend
keeping hot & dry wx in place. H85 temps, currently in the 18-22C
range, will increase back up to between 22-27C. Corresponding
surface temps should be in the triple digits areawide except for
the beaches. Heat Advisories are again likely.
Later in the weekend and into early next week, the ridge retreats
back to the west. Heights will lower and surface temps will trend
back down some. Expecting some higher PW`s to make their way in from
the east early next week. This combined with what appears to be a
messy northerly flow aloft should hopefully provide for scattered
shower and thunderstorm chances as several models suggest. At this
point, it`s still too early to speculate much on the timing,
coverage and other finer details.