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Re: January 2023
Posted: Sun Jan 01, 2023 2:29 am
by MontgomeryCoWx
My belief is we have a very real shot at winter weather the last week of January and first week of February based on what I see in the ensembles, MJO and EPO/WPO.
This setup and the hints in weeks 3-4 is astonishingly similar to the 2011 storm that gave us ice and DFW a week long winter storm leading up to the Super Bowl
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sun Jan 01, 2023 9:21 am
by CrashTestDummy
A bit froggy this morning in northern Brazoria county.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sun Jan 01, 2023 10:50 am
by Cromagnum
CrashTestDummy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 01, 2023 9:21 am
A bit froggy this morning in northern Brazoria county.
It was like that last night during the New Year celebration. I could hear fireworks everywhere but there was so much fog I couldn't see anything
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sun Jan 01, 2023 11:17 am
by Cpv17
Cromagnum wrote: ↑Sun Jan 01, 2023 10:50 am
CrashTestDummy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 01, 2023 9:21 am
A bit froggy this morning in northern Brazoria county.
It was like that last night during the New Year celebration. I could hear fireworks everywhere but there was so much fog I couldn't see anything
Your famous pea soup weather out there this morning.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sun Jan 01, 2023 12:18 pm
by sambucol
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sun Jan 01, 2023 2:29 am
My belief is we have a very real shot at winter weather the last week of January and first week of February based on what I see in the ensembles, MJO and EPO/WPO.
This setup and the hints in weeks 3-4 is astonishingly similar to the 2011 storm that gave us ice and DFW a week long winter storm leading up to the Super Bowl
Sounds great.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sun Jan 01, 2023 12:58 pm
by Cpv17
This next rain event tomorrow into Tuesday will once again favor the eastern part of the viewing area. Areas west of 45 might not even get anything. Beaumont could once again get another solid round of rain.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sun Jan 01, 2023 1:10 pm
by Stratton20
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sun Jan 01, 2023 1:12 pm
by CrashTestDummy
Beats the snot out of what it was like this time last week!!
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sun Jan 01, 2023 1:18 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
CrashTestDummy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 01, 2023 1:12 pm
Beats the snot out of what it was like this time last week!!
No, no it doesn’t.
This weather is for Latin America. I won’t go outside today because of the weather.
If it was 60 or colder, then it would be nice.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sun Jan 01, 2023 2:00 pm
by Cpv17
CrashTestDummy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 01, 2023 1:12 pm
Beats the snot out of what it was like this time last week!!
What we had last week was tremendously better. It’s not even close. We had sunny clear blue skies last week at this time with temps in the mid to upper 40’s.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sun Jan 01, 2023 2:40 pm
by DoctorMu
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 01, 2023 2:00 pm
CrashTestDummy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 01, 2023 1:12 pm
Beats the snot out of what it was like this time last week!!
What we had last week was tremendously better. It’s not even close. We had sunny clear blue skies last week at this time with temps in the mid to upper 40’s.
Very nice. Our dog loved it.
Friday was Chamber of Commerce weather, especially in comparison with today.
Milder weather- 60s for highs - after tomorrow.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sun Jan 01, 2023 4:26 pm
by djmike
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 01, 2023 12:58 pm
This next rain event tomorrow into Tuesday will once again favor the eastern part of the viewing area. Areas west of 45 might not even get anything. Beaumont could once again get another solid round of rain.
Yup NWS issued a flood watch for us already starting tomorrow Monday till Tuesday for Beaumont.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Mon Jan 02, 2023 7:46 am
by Cpv17
djmike wrote: ↑Sun Jan 01, 2023 4:26 pm
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 01, 2023 12:58 pm
This next rain event tomorrow into Tuesday will once again favor the eastern part of the viewing area. Areas west of 45 might not even get anything. Beaumont could once again get another solid round of rain.
Yup NWS issued a flood watch for us already starting tomorrow Monday till Tuesday for Beaumont.
Not sure y’all will get much of anything anymore. Mesoscale models have really dried up all across the area.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Mon Jan 02, 2023 10:34 am
by Katdaddy
Yep, rapidly moving low clouds along the Upper TX Coast this morning and a few rapidly moving showers as the stage is set. The main area of concern remains N and NE of Houston but will be interesting to see if there is any shift to the SW with the next Day 1 Outlook in several minutes.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Mon Jan 02, 2023 11:39 am
by DoctorMu
We have streamer showers in the CLL area. That should be about it for the next few hours. Maybe a tenth or two or rain. We're pretty wet right now, so that is OK.
Partly cloudy and mild for the remainder of the week.
Any arctic or polar outbreak will have to be in the last 12-13 days of the month per Ensembles.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Mon Jan 02, 2023 11:49 am
by CrashTestDummy
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 01, 2023 2:00 pm
CrashTestDummy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 01, 2023 1:12 pm
Beats the snot out of what it was like this time last week!!
What we had last week was tremendously better. It’s not even close. We had sunny clear blue skies last week at this time with temps in the mid to upper 40’s.
We had a couple of frozen pipes that luckily thawed out before bursting, but also it seems we may have lost everything we moved into our greenhouse, in spite of adding heat, and we're not sure about our citrus trees that were just recovering from 2021.
So, yeah, this, to us, is MUCH better. If you want ice and snow, there are places for that. Not here.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Mon Jan 02, 2023 11:57 am
by Cpv17
CrashTestDummy wrote: ↑Mon Jan 02, 2023 11:49 am
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 01, 2023 2:00 pm
CrashTestDummy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 01, 2023 1:12 pm
Beats the snot out of what it was like this time last week!!
What we had last week was tremendously better. It’s not even close. We had sunny clear blue skies last week at this time with temps in the mid to upper 40’s.
We had a couple of frozen pipes that luckily thawed out before bursting, but also it seems we may have lost everything we moved into our greenhouse, in spite of adding heat, and we're not sure about our citrus trees that were just recovering from 2021.
So, yeah, this, to us, is MUCH better. If you want ice and snow, there are places for that. Not here.
And that’s your opinion. Not everyone agrees with you. Some of us are passionate about the weather and enjoy wintry weather. You want to be safe from cold and snow then go to south Florida. Cold and snow is still very well possible down here whether you like it or not.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Mon Jan 02, 2023 12:09 pm
by Stratton20
Cpv17 agreed if i wanted a warm winter id move to south florida as cold fronts rarely get that far south, highs in the 70’s and high humidity is awful here, ill tale snow and ice any day
Re: January 2023
Posted: Mon Jan 02, 2023 1:12 pm
by Stratton20
And all of the rain is off to the east of me again, crickets here, yawn!
Re: January 2023
Posted: Mon Jan 02, 2023 2:30 pm
by tireman4
Starting to fill in..rain and thunder in Humble
